世界衛生組織宣布結束三年的新冠疫情緊急狀態。
新冠疫情造成了全球確診新冠死亡七百萬人,全球超額死亡人數約兩千萬人,經濟損失萬億美元數量級。
這個是公共衛生係統的災難性戰略失敗。
如果各國政府放任自流什麽都不做,新冠疫情在大約兩個月結束,全球超額死亡人數約兩百萬而不是現在的兩千萬,經濟損失也要減少100倍。非洲比較接近放任自流,死亡和經濟損失較少。
如果采用我的反向隔離戰略效果更好。放任自流是自發的反向隔離。反向隔離就是正常健康人群自然感染新冠病毒,而有基礎病的高危人群自願居家隔離。
壓平曲線是最差的戰略。這是我2020年四月就預測過的,沒有人相信。
世界衛生組織還沒有醒悟過來。總幹事譚德賽說,最壞的情況就是一個國家以新冠疫情緊急狀態結束為借口而取消疫情防控措施。其實,真相恰恰相反,最好的情況就是取消之前的錯誤的防控措施。
即使隻有少數人繼續壓平曲線的戰略,新冠病毒可以持續低強度地在人群中傳播和變異,最終變異到原來的免疫失效,新冠疫情卷土重來。勿謂言之不預。
譚德賽原話如下:
"Yesterday, the Emergency Committee met for the 15th time and recommended to me that I declare an end to the public health emergency of international concern. I've accepted that advice. It is therefore with great hope that I declare Covid-19 over as a global health emergency," Dr Tedros said.
He added that the decision had been considered carefully for some time and made on the basis of careful analysis of data.
But he warned the removal of the highest level of alert did not mean the danger was over and said the emergency status could be reinstated if the situation changed.
"The worst thing any country can do now is to use this news as a reason to let down its guard, to dismantle the systems it has built, or to send the message to its people that Covid-19 is nothing to worry about," he said.