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Analysis of economic development: implications for the world power balance
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再論中國GDP

(2022-06-18 11:34:54) 下一個

On China GDP, again

My view on China GDP is that it has been much undercountered for a long time. This is based on the products or goods produced or made in China as well as China annual electricity production (AEP). A reserve estimated China 2018 GDP per capita was ~US$30000. That was about half of the US counterpart. Intriguingly, China AEP per capita last year was 5300 kwh, also little short of the half of the US figure (11000 kwh).  

China population is ~1.4 billion, and thus China 2018 GDP was about US$42 trillion much higher than the officially announced figure $14 trillion (nominal rate) and also higher the World Bank's estimation $23 trillion (ppp).

What is the implication of this?

China may not be a developing country.

再論中國GDP

我對中國國內生產總值的看法是,它長期以來一直處於不利地位。這是基於在中國生產或製造的產品或產品以及中國的年度電力生產(AEP)。估計中國2018年人均國內生產總值約為3萬美元。這大約是美國同行的一半。有趣的是,去年中國人均AEP為5300千瓦時,也略低於美國數字的一半(11000千瓦時)。

中國人口約為14億,因此中國2018年的國內生產總值約為42萬億美元,遠高於官方宣布的14萬億美元(名義利率),也高於世界銀行估計的23萬億美元(ppp)。

這意味著什麽?

中國已成為一個發達國家?

 

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