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Jeffrey Gundlach on CNBC Fast Money Halftime Report 2021-10-22

(2021-11-18 11:04:11) 下一個

  • market capitalization of sp500 / size of fed's balance sheet  = constant
  • 12% cash,  25% stock
  • switched to Europen stocks several months ago in the history of doubel line (because dollar will go down and european stocks are really cheap)
  • what affect the dollar is the twin deficit (bugdet deficit at a level never seen before; trade deficit is increasing)  these two correlates to a negative dollar trend
  •  dollar already topped out
  •  He like real assets, commodies and real estate more than gold
  •  commodity index has been very strong 75% up vs the bottom in last year
  •  cycle of commodity is very long,  (so still cheap in long term basis)
  •  has 30-35%  commodities
  •  long term bond make sense (because of potential debt deflation), he is 30% long term bonds as a hedge for the risky assets

 

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