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大概講講為什麽房市不會崩盤,而是調整?

(2019-05-02 05:43:58) 下一個

For the past 8 or 9 years, Federal Reserve Bank has had a very accommodated policy to help US economy, which translates to 'Cheap Money'.  As the US economy recovers, more people have jobs and buying power.  Decent economy plus cheap money translates to housing market recovery.  That is one of reason that a lot of us see the housing price going up and accelerating in 2016 and 2017.

As Federal Reserve Bank stopped the accommodated policy, started raising interest rates, money gets expensive, mortgage rates have been going up for the past year.  That is a shock to the home buyers, especially, young home buyers who have only seen the low mortgage rates, 5% for 30year fixed is too high for them.  My first mortgage rate was 11%!  With the high home price and mortgage rates, the housing market is going through an adjustment.  As long as US economy humming along, you will see the housing market activities coming back.

Another reason I think that the housing market is going through adjustment, not a crash, is that we are actually having a housing shortage!  Because the 08 crisis, we have not built enough housing units to keep up with the population growth!  

http://blog.wenxuecity.com/myblog/72332/201707/12960.html

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hhtt 回複 悄悄話 回複 'sefree28' 的評論 : 謝謝來訪。
sefree28 回複 悄悄話 Agree. Not to mention that the institutions have been giving out loan discreetly since the 09 housing crash. I believe most home owners have stable income for the mortgages.
hhtt 回複 悄悄話 回複 'sakuraba' 的評論 : 謝謝來訪,投資房房價固然要緊,但不是最決定因素,我有一貼講過這個。
http://blog.wenxuecity.com/myblog/72332/201707/2999.html
sakuraba 回複 悄悄話 希望回調能繼續漲啊 18年買了個房踩在高點了 最近在考慮再買個投資房 還在觀望市場
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