TQQQ的股市博弈思考 七 QQQ 20EMA/MA五分鍾圖的觀察 20101025

20EMA/MA五分鍾圖

在過去一周的交易時間內，以20EMA/MA五分鍾圖為參考標準，金叉買入，死叉賣出，一共是7次機會，6次有明顯獲利機率，一次金叉未突破。

我又觀察了7/20以來的圖形（Tradingview的免費數據隻到7/20），

78次有明顯獲利機率

7次死叉位置低於金叉，但是都是非常小的幅度

18次金叉之後未能持續上升，理論上是平手，但是考慮交易成本和操作誤差，可以歸類為極小幅度的虧損交易。

QQQ做為一個投資標的有一些比較普通但對普通投資者非常有利的特征：

可以長期持有

越跌越值得買

不需要頻繁投資分析

TQQQ的波動幅度比QQQ大得多，對投資者的能力要求也相應的高出許多，對一般投資者，QQQ可能是一個更好的選擇。

've learned many things from him （George Soros）, but perhaps the most significant is that it's not whether you're right or wrong, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong.

• Stanley Druckenmiller as quoted in The New Market Wizards 

The trouble with you, Byron [Byron Wein – Morgan Stanley], is that you go to work every day [and think] you should do something. I don’t, I only go to work on the days that make sense to go to work. And I really do something on that day. But you go to work and you do something every day and you don’t realise when it’s a special day. - George Soros