關於 CPC 和 SPX 相關性 和 大市

CPC 和 SPX negative highly correlated on MACD peak and through in bull market.

In bear market, CPC MACD peak may be followed with SPX big drop (happened in 2008 mid-Sept. and mid-Oct.) even we only has the single data point. Lehman bankrupted in Sept. 15 2008. 　

http://web.wenxuecity.com/BBSView.php?SubID=finance&MsgID=1947091

從基本麵看，這次歐洲債務危機演化成2008金融海嘯的可能性很低，1 Trillion 買來了解決問題的時間,希臘短期不會default。換句話說，現在可能是短期/中期底幾率大。

my 2 cents