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古有庖丁憑一解牛技術名震天下。如今在花街,解牛技術已經過時,流行的是K線解剖。
K線解剖有5個維度:
一是趨勢。趨勢向上或向下,這是花街的炒家必須回答的一個問題。有人說“一條均線打天下”,就是指趨勢。
二是趨勢強弱。強者恒強,弱者恒弱。弱肉強食,適者生存,亙古不變。超強的趨勢往往會出現非理性的上漲或下跌,俗稱MELT UP 或MELT DOWN。
三是行情。是對上漲或下跌幅度預測。換一種說法,行情預測就是炒股者的遠見。人無遠見必有近憂。可見,遠見是炒股者輸贏的另一個關鍵。
四是超買超賣。超買的時候,可以減倉,不可隨手做空。K線可以騷,炒者不可以隨便侵擾。
五是頂部底部。頂部做空,底部做多,天經地義。K線一邊騷一邊跑媚眼,被侵擾也就理所當然。
下麵以道瓊斯成份股為例,嚐試K線解剖:
| TREND VALUE | MARKET TREND | MELT UP/ MELT DOWN | VISION | OVER BOUGHT/ OVER SOLD | TOP/ BOTTOM | |
| DIS | 87% | TREND UP | N/A | |||
| JPM | 80% | OVER BOUGHT | OVER BOUGHT | TOP TOP TOP | ||
| MSFT | 73% | TREND UP | N/A | |||
| JNJ | 53% | TREND UP | N/A | |||
| MRK | 73% | TREND UP & CALL | N/A | |||
| NKE | 67% | TREND UP & CALL | N/A | |||
| UNH | 60% | MELT UP | MELT UP | OVER BOUGHT | N/A | |
| INTC | 43% | MELT UP | MELT UP | OVER BOUGHT | TOP TOP TOP | |
| AAPL | 43% | MELT UP | MELT UP | OVER BOUGHT | TOP TOP TOP | |
| WBA | 43% | TREND UP & BUY | N/A | |||
| PFE | 20% | TREND UP | 10.6%UP | N/A | ||
| KO | 13% | TREND UP & CALL | 5.5%UP | N/A | ||
| BA | 40% | TREND UP & CALL | N/A | |||
| TRV | 1% | TREND UP & CALL | N/A | |||
| PG | -10% | TREND DOWN | -12.9%DOWN | N/A | ||
| VZ | -3% | TREND DOWN | N/A | |||
| GS | -7% | TREND DOWN & BUY PUT | -4.1%DOWN | N/A | ||
| V | -7% | TREND DOWN | -4.2%DOWN | N/A | ||
| WMT | -7% | TREND DOWN | N/A | |||
| DOW | -7% | TREND DOWN & BUY PUT | -7.6%DOWN | N/A | ||
| UTX | -20% | TREND DOWN & BUY PUT | -2.9%DOWN | N/A | ||
| CAT | -20% | TREND DOWN & BUY PUT | N/A | |||
| MMM | -33% | TREND DOWN | N/A | |||
| AXP | -33% | TREND DOWN | N/A | |||
| CVX | -27% | TREND DOWN | N/A | |||
| HD | -33% | BOTTOM | OVER SOLD | N/A | ||
| MCD | -40% | BOTTOM | OVER SOLD | BOTTOM BOTTOM BOTTOM | ||
| IBM | -73% | TREND DOWN | N/A | |||
| XOM | -53% | BOTTOM | OVER SOLD | N/A | ||
| CSCO | -80% | TREND DOWN | N/A |
(附):庖丁解牛