1,說是看盤,其實根本不需要看盤。隻要記住當前是牛市就行了。
牛市的一個重要指標就年線,SPY 的年線是267.84。今天SPY觸及267.84這根年線的時候便折返一路向上,這就是典型的牛市的表現。
曆史上是任何一次熊市,其主要特征就是K線長時間在年線之下運行造成的。由此,建議做空或看空的大師等SP破了年線再發威。
2,經曆近期的顛簸整理,眾多牛股已經脫離底部,開始起飛。
十步之內,必有芳草。即使在道瓊斯30成份股裏麵,也有很多牛股。下麵是DOW 30成份股的趨勢與買入點位。
DOW 30 |
TREND |
POTENTIAL (UP) |
POTENTIAL (DOWN) |
SUPPORT |
RESISTENCE |
OVER BOUGHT/SOLD, HEDGE AND TRAP |
BUY |
EXIT |
CUT |
AAPL |
TREND DOWN |
1.07% |
2.86% |
185.93 |
193.46 |
|
188.39 |
197.81 |
185.9 |
AXP |
TREND UP |
0.96% |
2.91% |
106.42 |
110.65 |
HEDGE: PUT |
106.26 |
111.57 |
105.4 |
BA |
TREND DOWN |
2.30% |
3.79% |
328.63 |
349.44 |
|
330.63 |
348.97 |
326.0 |
CAT |
RANGE |
7.35% |
2.78% |
125.82 |
138.93 |
|
123.43 |
130.58 |
121.6 |
CSCO |
TREND UP |
3.57% |
2.28% |
45.70 |
48.44 |
|
46.26 |
48.81 |
44.1 |
CVX |
TREND DOWN |
0.24% |
2.58% |
113.94 |
117.23 |
BULL TRAP |
111.57 |
118.16 |
109.9 |
DIS |
TREND UP |
2.64% |
1.06% |
115.87 |
120.20 |
|
116.43 |
122.25 |
115.6 |
DWDP |
RANGE |
2.93% |
1.69% |
57.74 |
60.45 |
|
57.46 |
60.33 |
56.8 |
GS |
TREND DOWN |
7.97% |
3.06% |
197.52 |
219.98 |
|
201.80 |
221.82 |
196.8 |
HD |
TREND DOWN |
1.36% |
3.64% |
170.91 |
179.77 |
|
179.01 |
188.62 |
176.6 |
IBM |
TREND DOWN |
1.25% |
1.53% |
119.58 |
122.96 |
BULL TRAP |
117.14 |
123.00 |
115.9 |
INTC |
RANGE |
2.45% |
1.98% |
47.16 |
49.29 |
BEAR TRAP |
46.74 |
49.08 |
46.2 |
JNJ |
TREND UP |
1.56% |
1.00% |
143.05 |
146.75 |
|
143.41 |
150.58 |
142.6 |
JPM |
TREND DOWN |
1.11% |
2.01% |
107.85 |
111.30 |
BULL TRAP |
108.24 |
113.65 |
106.0 |
KO |
TREND UP |
1.01% |
1.20% |
49.14 |
50.24 |
|
49.54 |
52.02 |
49.3 |
MCD |
TREND UP |
2.10% |
0.91% |
181.90 |
187.42 |
|
182.97 |
192.12 |
181.8 |
MMM |
RANGE |
2.30% |
2.36% |
200.08 |
209.63 |
HEDGE: PUT |
196.72 |
206.56 |
194.7 |
MRK |
TREND UP |
1.54% |
1.53% |
73.70 |
75.99 |
|
73.21 |
76.87 |
72.6 |
MSFT |
RANGE |
0.33% |
5.34% |
101.55 |
107.64 |
BULL TRAP |
101.22 |
106.45 |
99.9 |
NKE |
RANGE |
1.05% |
1.60% |
73.14 |
75.11 |
|
72.95 |
76.60 |
72.1 |
PFE |
RANGE |
0.77% |
3.59% |
41.66 |
43.54 |
BULL TRAP |
41.74 |
43.83 |
41.4 |
PG |
TREND UP |
0.35% |
2.29% |
91.68 |
94.16 |
|
92.29 |
96.90 |
91.6 |
TRV |
TREND DOWN |
1.47% |
2.04% |
123.03 |
127.44 |
BULL TRAP |
118.54 |
124.46 |
117.4 |
UNH |
RANGE |
0.42% |
1.20% |
261.75 |
266.05 |
BULL TRAP |
257.21 |
270.07 |
255.1 |
UTX |
TREND UP |
1.72% |
1.37% |
127.95 |
131.96 |
|
126.69 |
133.02 |
125.6 |
V |
RANGE |
0.89% |
1.90% |
139.15 |
143.11 |
BULL TRAP |
134.56 |
141.29 |
133.1 |
VZ |
TREND UP |
0.54% |
2.20% |
57.78 |
59.40 |
|
58.53 |
61.46 |
58.2 |
WBA |
TREND UP |
1.08% |
1.35% |
81.18 |
83.18 |
|
81.25 |
85.31 |
80.7 |
WMT |
RANGE |
1.60% |
2.10% |
97.45 |
101.13 |
|
98.91 |
103.85 |
98.1 |
XOM |
TREND DOWN |
2.22% |
2.52% |
76.22 |
79.93 |
HEDGE: CALL |
74.57 |
78.51 |
73.6 |
3,上圖比較淩亂,看不出所以然。如果把其中趨勢向上的牛股抽出來,就比較爽心悅目了(下圖)。
|
TREND |
POTENTIAL (UP) |
POTENTIAL (DOWN) |
SUPPORT |
RESISTENCE |
OVER BOUGHT/SOLD, HEDGE AND TRAP |
BUY |
EXIT |
CUT |
AXP |
TREND UP |
0.96% |
2.91% |
106.42 |
110.65 |
HEDGE: PUT |
106.26 |
111.57 |
105.4 |
CSCO |
TREND UP |
3.57% |
2.28% |
45.70 |
48.44 |
|
46.26 |
48.81 |
44.1 |
DIS |
TREND UP |
2.64% |
1.06% |
115.87 |
120.20 |
|
116.43 |
122.25 |
115.6 |
JNJ |
TREND UP |
1.56% |
1.00% |
143.05 |
146.75 |
|
143.41 |
150.58 |
142.6 |
KO |
TREND UP |
1.01% |
1.20% |
49.14 |
50.24 |
|
49.54 |
52.02 |
49.3 |
MCD |
TREND UP |
2.10% |
0.91% |
181.90 |
187.42 |
|
182.97 |
192.12 |
181.8 |
MRK |
TREND UP |
1.54% |
1.53% |
73.70 |
75.99 |
|
73.21 |
76.87 |
72.6 |
PG |
TREND UP |
0.35% |
2.29% |
91.68 |
94.16 |
|
92.29 |
96.90 |
91.6 |
UTX |
TREND UP |
1.72% |
1.37% |
127.95 |
131.96 |
|
126.69 |
133.02 |
125.6 |
VZ |
TREND UP |
0.54% |
2.20% |
57.78 |
59.40 |
|
58.53 |
61.46 |
58.2 |
WBA |
TREND UP |
1.08% |
1.35% |
81.18 |
83.18 |
|
81.25 |
85.31 |
80.7 |
4,按圖索驥。明天可以以例買入AXP CSCO DIS JNJ KO MCD MRK PG UTX VZ WBA等股票,應當有相當豐厚的回報。