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美股看盤與操作。(11/14/2018)

(2018-11-14 18:38:08) 下一個

0,先說結論。買。至少明天做空獲利空間不大。

1,大盤主要指標。

INDEX VALUE LONG/ SHORT
MARKET (BULL /BEAR) BULL MARKET LONG
MARKET STENGTH -100.00% SHORT
DAILY TREND TREND DOWN SHORT
WEEKLY TREND TREND DOWN SHORT
CONFIDENCE INDEX 36% SHORT
OVER B /S INDEX 0  
CRASH INDEX 5.00%  
SPIKE INDEX 91.88% LONG
BOTTOM INDEX 60.00% LONG

指標解讀:牛市,但是發生了周線,甚至月線基別的回調。

2,大盤及主要板塊趨勢圖解。

  TREND POTENTIAL (UP) POTENTIAL (DOWN) SUPPORT RESISTENCE OVER BOUGHT/SOLD AND TRAP BUY EXIT CUT
SPY TREND DOWN 1.08% 3.83% 259.85 273.13   267.05 280.40 265.5
DIA TREND DOWN 1.00% 3.93% 241.05 253.42   248.30 260.72 246.8
QQQ TREND DOWN 3.14% 3.09% 160.09 170.39   162.32 170.44 160.9
IWM TREND DOWN 1.91% 3.18% 144.70 152.30   147.22 154.58 146.0
MDY TREND DOWN 1.02% 4.08% 321.76 338.86   331.29 347.85 329.1
XLY RANGE 1.55% 5.57% 100.99 108.61   105.36 110.63 104.4
XLP TREND UP 0.58% 1.44% 55.20 56.34   55.99 58.79 55.7
XLE TREND DOWN 3.93% 1.62% 64.37 68.00   63.20 66.44 62.4
XLF TREND DOWN 1.29% 5.12% 25.02 26.71 BULL TRAP 26.09 27.39 25.9
XLV RANGE 0.87% 3.83% 86.86 91.10 BULL TRAP 89.51 93.98 89.0
XLI RANGE 1.05% 5.74% 66.99 71.82   69.56 73.04 69.1
XLB TREND DOWN 1.03% 1.26% 53.27 54.50 BULL TRAP 53.01 55.66 52.6
XLU TREND UP 1.82% 0.44% 54.26 55.49   54.26 56.97 53.9
IBB TREND DOWN 5.39% 1.24% 100.66 107.42   100.80 105.84 99.7
IYR TREND UP 1.07% 0.94% 79.44 81.05   80.10 84.10 79.7
XHB TREND DOWN 1.72% 0.35% 34.15 34.86 BULL TRAP 33.55 35.23 33.2
SMH TREND DOWN 1.45% 6.48% 86.95 94.32   93.98 98.68 92.1
FNG TREND DOWN 6.06% 1.41% 17.37 18.69   17.59 18.54 17.4
IYT TREND UP 2.62% 0.76% 187.03 193.40   187.44 196.81 185.9
ITA RANGE 2.01% 5.58% 182.35 197.01   189.47 198.94 188.0

3,如何買。昨天說過:順勢交易如戲水,震蕩交易如玩火,逆勢交易如觸電。因此,買入應該買趨勢向上的板塊。如下圖:

  TREND POTENTIAL (UP) POTENTIAL (DOWN) SUPPORT RESISTENCE OVER BOUGHT/SOLD AND TRAP BUY EXIT CUT
XLP TREND UP 0.58% 1.44% 55.20 56.34   55.99 58.79 55.7
XLU TREND UP 1.82% 0.44% 54.26 55.49   54.26 56.97 53.9
IYR TREND UP 1.07% 0.94% 79.44 81.05   80.10 84.10 79.7
IYT TREND UP 2.62% 0.76% 187.03 193.40   187.44 196.81 185.9

4,買入之後繼續暴跌怎麽辦?首先,順勢交易再加上恰當的介入時機,贏率應該在90%以上。其次,萬一那10%較小的概率發生了怎麽辦?很簡單,每個買入點之後都有一個較為緊湊的止損點。這就是順應趨勢,截斷虧損,讓利潤奔跑的精髓。

 

 

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