正文
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Primary Basic Skills ---- stock watch
First, space, time, momentum
Read the tape, make use of space, time, momentum three elements.
(A) of the resistance and support - the space in two ways.
Index chart is both long and short proof of the balance of forces, when the multi-power is stronger, go up, when the short power of strength, to the decline, it is so simple. Like a man mountain climbing and skiing. When climbing obstacles affecting the intensity up, skiing, resistance will not go so smooth, the stock market will evolve resistance and support.
Resistance: short power Sheng, long power where weak natural resistance, in practice, because of public expectations of consistency, the following areas will be significant resistance often ：
1. If the day before the closing index opened below the previous close, then climb in to the process of resistance in this encounter. This is because, after thinking through the night, long and short sides reached a consensus on the previous close, opened the day when a large number of investors participating auction closing level Yi Qian, if the opening is low, indicating that in a mood to sell. Rebound in the index process, on the one hand will be selling at any time was a new blow to the other, close to the pre-closing, the morning will play a role in the accumulation of selling, so long, but this gate more easily.
2. After the opening day of this opening, if lower, due to the accumulation in the opening price when bidding a lot of selling office, which will bounce back here in time, will encounter significant resistance.
3. MA location short run in the 5th line, 10 lines were particularly valued technical school, where once the index to climb, there will be decisive embrace technology, short-term sell-off, Guer resistance, it is very natural form.
4. Previous high of the previous intraday record high of the reason why is because there are obviously selling the backlog here, when the index fell again in this Difficult rise, the once close to the previous high point, there will be new for air forces to intervene, while bulls will become cautious. Therefore, in the chart on the formation of a clear M will be the first form, and most of the time right below the left side of the high points will be the high point.
5. Previous low of the previous low of the formation due to long and short sides of the balance, that the strong buyer power, this low when the index is gradually lost support, there will be considerable for air to join the ranks of selling to lead to broader market plunge, shaped like diving, for diving time is too short, settling in here under the no transaction is selling, so when the index rebounded to encounter resistance at this time.
6. Integer crossing the psychological effect as people, some integer constant will be increased when the location of an important resistance, such as 660,680,700,800,1000 points, and so, in the stock price on, such as 9.8 yuan, 10 yuan, 20 yuan mark and so on. In particular, some individual stocks often accumulate a large number of integer mark sell orders.
Of course, there are other resistance areas, but mainly it 6.
Identify a resistance zone is intended to sell at the highest point or the second highest point, the resistance generally can be ascertained before the sale area. If short-term expert generally not sold in 10.00, and prefer to 9.99 or 9.98 yuan in sales reported to increase in sales. Or, when the index fell from a height, after the second close to the Times, sell high.
Support: do not go places or shall support common support area the following categories ：
1. If today opened higher after the opening bell, down to the opening price in the office, because of buying more precipitation, support will be strong. The similar reason with resistance.
2. Before the close if the index (or stock) fall from a height, front office support is also strong closing.
3. MA location mainly on the 5th line, 10 lines.
4. Previous low of the last form of low areas will generally become the psychological support and resistance areas of their argument is the same.
5. Previous high of the previous high resistance to large, once the effective cross, because of accumulation of buying under the more so when another fall, generally supported.
6. Integer crossings such as the index fell 700 points, 600 points, the natural cause for reluctant sellers, not easy to break 600 points, the share price fell from a height will be 10 per office support.
Ascertain support for the low area to buy.
As can be seen from the above analysis, support and resistance is a contradiction that can be transformed into each other, the resistance of the original breakthrough in turn can become a support, the support of the original breakthrough in turn can also be a drag.
Grasp on the support and resistance also contributes to a large city judged. For example, when crossed resistance zone, said the market is even stronger, to buy or sell; when below the support zone, said the market is weak, you can sell or buy.
(B) the time effect
1. Opening the qualitative nature of the first to confirm opening. Relative to the previous close, if it is to open higher, indicating strong popularity, the psychological rush chips more potential there is for the better city. But if too many high-opened, so that those who bought the day before yesterday profitable, it may lead to heavy profit-taking pressure. If the high open or only a few points about the popularity that calm, long and short sides no mood to go on fighting. If the lower opening, it means that profits or losses of flesh were eager to wait, so the situation has deteriorated city possible.
If the bottom of the suddenly high-opened, and the steep increases in the strength is often a fundamental reversal of both long and short time, therefore, constitute a purchase Jiancang but retreated when the opportunity. Conversely, if the tide is rising substantially Gaps occurred more often is a symbol of multi-power last eruption, indicating that the bull market had come to an end, but rather constitutes a shipping opportunities. Similarly, opened sharply lower in the bottom of hysteria is often short of a strike, but constitutes a bottom opportunities, a lower opening in the top of the popularity is that lax, Jie Yu rushed out to escape, but also market potential to see weakness. Although subsequent rebound, but the basic sharp drops in on. In the middle of the market up or down the high way to open or to open lower, the general trend of the means to continue the original, which opened promising high-rise, low fall open bearish.
2. Opening 30 minutes after the arrival of long to eat well, opening will often wait to rush into a short position to complete the distribution, will be deliberately pulled up, creating a rapid spikes after opening, this is a strong common market . In the weak market, long to eat cheap, that is down will drop at the open, while the short frightened, also desperate to sell, resulting in the rapid decline after the opening bell. Therefore, the first 10 minutes after opening the market to judge the performance of the market contribute to the nature of the right.
The reason why both long and short attention after opening the first 10 minutes, because this time the small number of investors involved in the transaction, intraday trading volume is not great, so much the amount that can be used to achieve the intended purpose, commonly known as spend less, gain big.
The second is the long and short sides 10 minutes into the break period of time, the general trend will be to amend the original, such as air-side forced too fast, long will organize counter, bargain-hunting site would be large-scale intervention; such as multi-attack too hard , will be short counter, disk will actively taking profits. Therefore, this time is to buy or sell a turning point.
10 minutes in the third person involved in the transaction because of an increasing number of orders has become more concrete, less false components, so the credibility of a larger trend of this period is basically the foundation for the day to .
In order to correctly grasp the trend of characteristics that can be opened as a starting point to the first index for moving points 10,20,30 minutes together into three segments, where bread contains information on the future direction of the day.
a. If it is on first and then after the next (that rose and then fell further up), then the more likely a good day market trends, Japan K line may receive Yang Xian. Because it shows that long is strong. If the line 30 minutes before the rise indicates strong bull trend, the better the market outlook is very likely, the probability of greater than 90% of the income Yang Xian, retreated a position in opportunity.
Specifically, if the second drop rate is very small, not less than the opening value, the market should be more optimistic. If the third set up a new high, and the prices even more optimistic that day will generally rose small recovery Yang Xian.
If starting up a second drop below the point (opening), then that bear excessive pressure adjustment stressful day, once ascribed weak, there will be setback only be supported at the bottom, will have a strong rebound But generally less likely to close the day at the highest point.
If the second drop below the opening, and the third rise was higher than before the high point, it indicates that relatively large differences between long and short, that day will be more shocks, but it is likely to Yangxian barrel.
If the second drop Even though I did lower opening, but the third high rise Quemo, especially followed by a relatively strong drop, it indicates both the long and short-face relatively weak when the long day\'s pull-back will last for a long time to close the highest point possible, and sometimes even turn into another following the first on the next trend, and then take the light and close the Yin Xian.
b. If it is before you get on it, the market is that day more likely to go short, especially if before you get under it all, it is very powerful forces that bear the same day constitute shipments rebound opportunities, investors likely to decline. If a higher opening, closing more than 90% probability of Yinxian.
Specifically, if the third fell a record low, compared to the typical short features, the day of the general weak rebound. Head formation in the medium to long term, often similar form.
If the second up a new high, and the third did not fall to new lows, while still containing forces that long, have ascribed the day of opportunity, late may not receive the minimum.
If the second high rise Even though I did, but the third fell powerless to new lows, and followed up, as shown in Figure 5-7, indicates that the pressure is great short, long is still quite a lot that day will first ascribed After the fall, but will not receive the minimum.
If the second high rise, and the third fell another new low, it indicates that there will be more shock that day, but may be received late in the lower position.
c. If it is on first then on again, the strong force is that long, but bear great pressure, the same day if received support at the bottom, up opportunity is still large.
But fell below the third opening, the forces that bear too strong that day would be more deep-bottom, this bottom is generally caused due to profit taking. If the third fell weak, even lower than the first rise, then the day long is strong, the general market was up a small recycling Yang Xian.
d. If the first under the next then again, the strong force is that short, but there are counter-spare long day if the high pressure slightly, and take a greater chance of light, especially if weak and a third up, features would be more obvious.
If a third higher than the opening, then pulled shipping market are generally the day after the correction in the high, steep decline may occur.
e. If it is on first then the next and then the next, then that opened up after the trap is empty, that day more likely to go short.
f. If the first then on again on the next, then that is a long opening down after the performance of profit-taking, that day may still take a good market.
3. Noon before the close of the movement is at noon before the close of the two sides compete for long and short. Closed at noon because of the time, investors have more time to review before the City to, determining the development of the market outlook, and more impulsive than cool or make their own investment decisions, the main big opportunity before the close of regular use to make good for their movement to lure taken in middle and small retail investors. In general, after the market opened before the close of the movement should be together, not in isolation.
If the market the morning of high order, before the close of the day set up, the one show that the strong buyer power, the general trend likely to continue to improve, on the other hand that the main force may want to create a false impression for the better, to take the opportunity to ship. How do we judge it? If the former, then after opening the afternoon should be impulsive buying approach, that trend should be quickly shot up, then down there are still a good chance to, you can take the opportunity to buy, if the latter, then the index may not, after opening at fixed even slowly back, namely, to cover shipping main deliberately pushed the start.
If the trend of continuous decline without a rebound, and rebound it is urgent, the main trend of decline has not tried often to make a false impression, in the morning before the close of deliberately suppressed, so that the lowest reported income. After opening at noon, after reflection determined to liquidate the people forced to sell less, so index still plunge, the result often is the last one down, or when selling a relatively small, therefore, the main force pulled up to eat without fear to more chips, it will cause the second time down, but the volume at this time usually begins to shrink, so that this fall is the best opportunity Jiancang.
If the trend on the rise or fall flat on his way, then before the close of the general trend of guiding significance. That if the market is in an uptrend when the afternoon close at the high point of popularity that booming market for the better; the other hand, if the market is in decline when the afternoon to close at low, indicating that low popularity, market to the light. If the rally when the afternoon to close at low, or decline when the afternoon close at the high points, mostly false, can not change its original trend.
4. Late effect late in time, is generally considered to last 15 minutes, in fact, both long and short from the last 45 minutes had already begun secretly fight. If from the last 45 minutes to 35 minutes time up, then the general trend will last up to an end. Because the number of people involved in the transaction at this time most clear when the rally, there will be endless influx of buying pushed indices. Conversely, if the last 45 minutes to 35 minutes this time, the decrease generally difficult to take a good Yao City.
Especially in the last 30 minutes of great reference value to the broader market at this time if the process of rebound in the fall after U-turn down, late losing streak will be 30 minutes, highly lethal.
This effect can also be used late afternoon before the close of the movement\'s analysis. That there are from noon to close 15 to 20 minutes before the time trend also has guiding role, can refer to analysis of late effects. In actual operation, when discovered late in the day to take the light should be actively selling to avoid the next day to open lower; when discovered late in the good, the next day may be adequate to meet the high positions open.
5. The duration and intensity of how long a trend also has guiding significance. T +0 under the bull (for example, 8 September 1994) and the bear market, generally every 7 minutes index reveals that the direction switch to a speculative market in the long-short high intensity of the fighting. T +1, after which continued a trend in Shanghai Stock Market is the longest 50 minutes. Duration mainly reflects the strength of various long and short sides, concrete expression changes in the volume, when investors prepared to enter the market, the best Choice Trend last 10 to 15 minutes to enter because of the frequency change in trend means that trading tends to increase active involvement is often a sign of big money, so out calmly, profit opportunities are bigger.
(C) the momentum - to read the tape to read the tape core is the core of real-time up and down the momentum. The so-called momentum, essentially is momentum, rising strongly, that means strong selling to buy enough so strong market potential; down strongly, that are determined to sell enough to buy gas, so the weak market trend.
So, how do determine the size of momentum? The key is fancy or tilt under the oblique angle. As shown, when the angle of elevation up and down when the angle of depression α1 α2 point which represented the moment when the up or down size. α1 larger the stronger the intention to buy, when α1> 60 degrees, generally belong to a super-strong; when α1 is 45 degrees, the count remained stable; α1 <30 degrees, are unable to up-type, generally followed from the strong decline. α2 greater, indicating greater selling pressure in the bubble and α2 constant 80 degrees; and α2 <30 degrees, generally decreased fatigue, resulting likelihood of a strong rebound.
In the actual trend, it can be according to the continuity of the trend to predict future trends, which in operation invincible.
1. Down the signs of the market running process, often many of the features that fall is about to begin. As a short-term operation, should strive to be sold before the fall starts.
2. Sign up in practice, whether up or down is very fast, once the signs of a breakthrough in advance Sharu (or popped), and so often after the break was too late.
3. The day to judge the strength of other words, we have ups and downs in the previously mentioned sign of both can be applied to determine the trend for a long time, the difference is merely the starting point and end point should be amplified. Analytical skills to grasp this, then even the Japanese lines were analyzed weekly.
初級基本技巧----盯盤
來源: 粉腸仔 於 06-09-23 06:07:07 [檔案] [博客] [舊帖] [轉至博客] [給我悄悄話]
一、空間、時間、動量?
? 看盤時，要掌握空間、時間、動量三要素。?
? （一）阻力與支撐——空間的兩種表現形式。
? 指數走勢圖是多空雙方力量對比的明證，當多方力量強時，向上走， 當空頭力量強時，向下降，就這樣簡單。好比一個人爬山與滑雪。爬 山時會遇到障礙，影響向上的力度，滑雪時也會遇到阻力以至於滑不 下去，股市中便演化為阻力和支撐。?
? 阻力:空頭力量盛、多頭力量弱的地方自然形成阻力，實踐中，因大 眾預期的一致性，下列區域常會成為明顯的阻力：?
? 1.前收盤若當日指數開盤低於前收盤，那麽，在向上爬的過程中會在 此遇到阻力。這是因為經過一夜思考之後，多空雙方對前收盤達成了 共識，當日開盤時會有大量股民以前收盤價位參與競價交易，若指數 低開，表明賣意甚濃。在指數反彈過程中，一方麵會隨時遭到新拋盤 的打擊，另一方麵在接近前收盤時，早晨積累的賣盤會發生作用，使 得多頭輕易越不過此道關。?
? 2.今開盤若當日開盤後走低，因競價時積累在開盤價處大量賣盤，因 而將來在反彈回此處時，會遇到明顯阻力。?
? 3.均線位置短線運行中的5日線、10日線被技術派格外看重，一旦指 數爬升至此處，會有信奉技術的短線客果斷拋售，故而阻力形成便十 分自然。?
? 4.前次高點盤中前次之所以創下高點，是因為此處有明顯的賣盤積壓， 當指數在此遇阻回落又再次回升時，一旦接近前次高點，會有新的作 空力量介入，同時多頭也會變得小心謹慎。因此，在走勢圖上便形成 了明顯的M頭形態，而且多數時間右邊的高點會低於左邊的高點。?
? 5.前次低點前次低點的形成緣於多空雙方的均衡，表明買方力量強勁， 而當指數在此低點漸漸失去支撐時，會有相當多的作空人加入拋售行 列，從而導致大盤急瀉，狀如跳水，因“跳水”時間過於短促，會在 此處沉澱下未成交的賣盤，故當指數反彈至此時會遇到阻力。?
? 6.整數關口由於人們的心理作用，一些整數位置常會成為上升時的重 要阻力，如660、680、700、800、1000點等，在個股價位上，像9.8 元、10元、20元大關等等。特別是一些個股的整數關口常會積累大量 賣單。?
? 當然，還有其它的阻力區，但主要是這6種。?
? 判明阻力區的目的是為了賣在最高點或次高點，一般可以在判明的阻 力區之前賣出。如短線高手一般不會在10.00元賣出，而寧可在9.99 或9.98元報賣，以增加成交機會。或者，當指數從高處滑落後，在第 二次接近此高點時報賣。?
? 支撐:跌不下去的地方即為支撐，常見支撐區有以下幾類：?
? 1.今日開盤若開盤後走高，則在回落至開盤價處時，因買盤沉澱較多， 支撐便較強。道理與阻力區相似。?
? 2.前收盤若指數(或股價)從高處回落，在前收盤處的支撐也較強。?
? 3.均線位置主要是5日線、10日線等。?
? 4.前次低點上次形成的低點區一般會成為人們的心理支撐，其道理也 與阻力區相同。?
? 5.前次高點前次高點阻力較大,一旦有效越過,因積澱下的買盤較多， 因此當再次回落時，一般會得到支撐。?
? 6.整數關口如指數從700點跌至600點時，自然引起人們惜售，破600 點也不易，股價從高處跌到10元處也會得到支撐。?
? 判明支撐是為了爭取在低位區買進。?
? 由上述分析可以看出，支撐與阻力是一對可以互相轉化的矛盾，原先 的阻力突破後反過來可以成為支撐，原有的支撐突破後反過來也可以 成為阻力。?
? 對支撐與阻力的把握也有助於對大市的研判。如當衝過阻力區時，表 示市道甚強，可買進或賣出；當跌破支撐區時，表示市道很弱，可以 賣出或不買進。?
? （二）時間效應?
? 1.開盤定性首先要確認開盤的性質.相對於前收盤而 言,若高開,說明人氣旺盛,搶籌碼的心理較多，市勢有向好的一麵。 但如果高開過多，使前日買入者獲利豐厚，則容易造成過重的獲利回 吐壓力。如果高開不多或僅一個點左右，則表明人氣平靜，多空雙方 暫無戀戰情緒。如果低開，則表明獲利回吐心切或虧損割肉者迫不及 待，故市勢有轉壞的可能。?
? 如果在底部突然高開，且幅度較大，常是多空雙方力量發生根本性逆 轉的時候，因此，回檔時反而構成進貨建倉良機。反之，若在大勢已 上漲較多時發生大幅跳空，常是多方力量最後噴發的象征，表明牛市 已走到了盡頭，反而構成出貨機會。同樣，在底部的大幅低開常是空 頭歇斯底裏的一擊，反而構成見底機會，而在頂部的低開則證明人氣 渙散，皆欲爭先逃出，也是市勢看弱的表現。其後雖有反彈，但基本 上一路下瀉。而在大市上升中途或下降中途的高開或低開，一般有繼 續原有趨勢的意味，即上升時高開看好，下跌時低開看淡。?
? 2.開盤後30分鍾多頭為了順利吃到貨，開盤後會常會迫不及待地搶進， 而空頭為了完成派發，也會故意拉高，於是造成開盤後的急速衝高， 這是強勢市場中常見的。而在弱勢市場中，多頭為了吃到便宜貨，會 在開盤時即向下砸，而空頭膽戰心驚，也會不顧一切地拋售，造成開 盤後的急速下跌。因此開盤後前10分鍾的市場表現有助於正確地判斷 市場性質。?
? 多空雙方之所以重視開盤後的第一個10分鍾,是因為此時參與交易的 股民人數不多，盤中買賣量都不是很大，因此用不大的量即可以達到 預期的目的，俗稱“花錢少，收獲大”。?
? 第二個10分鍾則是多空雙方進入休整階段的時間，一般會對原有趨勢 進行修正，如空方逼得太猛，多頭會組織反擊，抄底盤會大舉介入； 如多方攻得太猛，空頭也會予以反擊，獲利盤會積極回吐。因此，這 段時間是買入或賣出的一個轉折點。?
? 第三個10分鍾裏因參與交易的人越來越多,買賣盤變得較實在，虛假 的成分較少，因此可信度較大，這段時間的走勢基本上為全天走向奠 定了基礎。?
? 為了正確把握走勢特點，可以開盤為起點，以第10、20、30分鍾指數 為移動點連成三條線段，這裏麵包含有一天的未來走勢信息。?
? a.如果是先上後下再上（即先漲後跌又漲），則當天行情趨好的可能 性較大，日K線可能收陽線。因為它表明多頭勢力較強。若前30分鍾 直線上漲，則表明多頭勢強，後市向好的可能性很大，收陽線概率大 於90%，回檔是建倉良機。?
??具體來說，若第二個下跌幅度很小，不低於開盤值，則行情應較樂觀 。若第三個上漲創下新高，行情就更樂觀了，當天一般會大漲小回收 陽線。?
? 若第二個下跌低於起漲點（開盤），則表明空頭壓力過大，當天的調 整壓力較大，一旦衝高無力，會出現急挫，隻有在底部得到支撐，才 會有較強反彈，但當天一般不太可能收在最高點。?
? 若第二個下跌低於開盤，而第三個上漲又高於前高點，則表明多空分 歧比較大，當天震蕩會較大，但最終仍可能以陽線報收。?
? 若第二個下跌雖沒低於開盤，但第三個上漲卻沒創新高，特別是隨後 出現了較為有力的下跌，則說明在多空雙方正麵交鋒時多頭相對較弱， 當天的回檔會持續較長時間，收盤不可能為最高點，有時甚至會演化 為“先上後下又下”走勢，進而走淡並收出陰線。?
? b.如果是先下後上又下，則當天行情走淡的可能性較大，特別如果是 先下後下又下，則表明空頭力量十分強大，當天的反彈均構成出貨機 會，後市下跌的可能性較大。若開盤較高，收陰線的概率超過90%。?
? 具體來說，若第三個下跌創下新低，則為典型的空頭特征，當天的反 彈一般較弱。在中長期頭部形成時，常出現類似形式。?
? 若第二個上漲創下新高，第三個下跌不創新低，則表明多頭勢力仍較 盛，當天有衝高機會，尾盤可能不收在最低。?
? 若第二個上漲雖沒創新高，但第三個下跌無力創新低，且隨後出現上 漲，如圖5-7所示，則表明空頭壓力雖大，多頭仍不可小視，當天會 先衝高後回落，但不會收在最低。?
? 若第二個上漲創新高，第三個下跌又創新低，則表明當天會有較大震 蕩，但尾盤可能收在較低位置。?
? c.如果是先上又上再下，則表明多頭勢力較強，但空頭壓力也大，當 天如果在底部得到支撐，向上的機會仍較大。?
? 但若第三個下跌低於開盤，則表明空頭力量過於強大，當天探底會比 較深，這種探底一般是由於獲利回吐所致。若第三個下跌較弱，甚至 不低於第一個上漲，則當天多頭勢力較強，一般是大漲小回收陽線。?
? d.如果先下又下再上，則表明空頭勢力較強，但多頭尚有反擊餘力， 當天若高位壓力略強，走淡機會較大，尤其是第三個上漲若軟弱無力， 特征會更明顯。?
? 若第三個上漲超過了開盤，則一般屬於拉高出貨的行情，當天在高位 盤整後，可能出現急跌。?
? e.如果是先上又下再下，則表明開盤後的向上是空頭陷阱，當天走淡 的可能性較大。?
? f.如果是先下又上再上，則表明開盤後的向下是多頭獲利回吐的表現， 當天行情仍可能走好。?
? 3.中午收市前中午收市前的走勢也是多空雙方必爭的。因為中午停市 這段時間，投資者有了充裕的時間檢討前市走向，研判後市發展，並 較冷靜或較衝動地做出自己的投資決策，因此主力大戶常利用收市前 的機會做出有利於自己的走勢來，引誘廣大中小散戶上當。一般來說， 收市前與開市後的走勢應綜合起來看，而不能孤立對待。?
? 如果大市上午在高位整理，收市前創下全天最高，則一方麵表明買方 力量較強，大勢可能繼續向好，另一方麵則表明主力可能想造成向好 的假象，以借機出貨。怎樣判斷呢？若是前者，則下午開盤後應有衝 動性買盤進場，即大勢應快速衝高，則回落後仍有向好機會，可以借 機買入，如果是後者，則下午開盤後指數可能根本不動，甚至緩緩回 頭，即為主力故意拉高以掩護出貨的開始。?
? 如果大勢連綿下跌無反彈，而反彈又迫在眉睫，則主力常做出大勢跌 勢未盡的假象，在上午收市前刻意打壓，使之以最低報收。下午開盤 後，中午經過思考下定決心斬倉的人會迫不及地賣出，故指數仍有急 瀉，結果這往往是最後一跌，或者因此時賣壓相對較少，主力唯恐拉 高時吃不到更多的籌碼，所以還會造成第二次下跌，但此時成交量常 開始萎縮，於是，此次下跌便是最佳的建倉良機。?
? 如果大勢平平處於上升或下跌途中，則收市前的走勢一般具有指導意 義。即若大市處於升勢時午收於高點，表明人氣旺盛，市道向好；反 之若大市處於跌勢時午收於低點，表明人氣低，市道向淡。若升勢時 午收於低點，或跌勢時午收於高點，多半是假象，改變不了其本來走 勢。?
? 4.尾盤效應尾盤在時間上一般認為是最後15分鍾，實際上從最後45分 鍾多空雙方即已開始暗暗較量了。若從最後45分鍾到35分鍾這段時間 上漲，則最後的走勢一般會以上漲而告終。因為此時參與交易的人數 最多，當漲勢明確時，會有層出不窮的買盤湧進推高指數。反之，若 最後45分鍾到35分鍾這段時間下跌,則尾市一般難以走好。?
? 特別是到了最後30分鍾大盤的走向極具參考意義,此時若在下跌過程 中出現反彈後又調頭向下，尾盤將可能連跌30分鍾,殺傷力極大。?
? 這一尾盤效應也可以用於對中午收市前走勢的研判。即離中午收市前 還有15~20分鍾時的走勢也具有指導作用，可以參照尾盤效應來分析 。在具體操作上，當發現當日尾盤將走淡時，應積極沽售，以回避次 日低開；當發現尾盤向好時，則可適量持倉以迎接次日高開。?
? 5.持續的時間與力度某一趨勢持續多久也具有指導意義。T+0下的牛 市(如1994年8~9月)和熊市，一般每隔7分鍾指數即轉一次方向顯現出 高投機市場中多空雙方交戰的激烈程度。而T+1之後滬市某種趨勢持 續的最長時間是50分鍾。持續時間的長短主要反映了多空雙方的力量 不同，具體表現在成交量的變化上，當投資者準備入市時，最好選擇 趨勢持續時間在10~15分鍾時進入，因為趨勢改變的頻率增加意味著 交易趨於活躍，常是有大資金介入的跡象，因此進出從容，獲利機會 也大些。?
? （三）動量－－看盤的核心即時看盤的核心是上漲和下跌的動量。所 謂動量，實質上也就是“勁頭”，上漲有力，表明買意旺盛賣壓不足， 故市勢強；下跌有力，表明賣意堅決買氣不足，故市勢弱。?
? 那麽，怎樣判別動量大小呢？關鍵是看上傾或下斜的角度。如圖所示， 上漲時的仰角α1和下跌時的俯角α2的角度大小即代表上漲或下跌時 的動量大小。α1越大,說明買意越強,當α1>60度時，一般就屬於超 強勢了；而當α1為45度時,算走勢平穩;α1<30度時，屬無力上漲型， 一般緊隨而來的是有力的下跌。α2越大，說明賣壓越大，在暴跌時 α2常達到80度以上；而α2<30度時，一般為下跌乏力，隨之可能出 現有力反彈。?
? 在實際走勢中，可以根據走勢的連續性來預測未來的走勢，從而在操 作中立於不敗之地。?
? 1.下跌的征兆大市在運行過程中,常有許多特征表示下跌即將開始。 作為短線操作，應爭取在下跌啟動前賣出。?
? 2.上漲的征兆在實踐中， 無論上漲還是下跌都是極快的，一旦出現突破征兆應提前殺入（或殺 出），等突破發生後往往已經來不及了。
? 3.全天強弱的判斷換言之，我們在前麵所提到的漲跌預兆均可以應用 到對於較長時間走勢的判斷，所不同者隻是要把起點與終點進行放大 。把握了這種分析技巧，則甚至可以對日線、周線進行分析了。
Primary Basic Skills ---- stock watch
First, space, time, momentum
Read the tape, make use of space, time, momentum three elements.
(A) of the resistance and support - the space in two ways.
Index chart is both long and short proof of the balance of forces, when the multi-power is stronger, go up, when the short power of strength, to the decline, it is so simple. Like a man mountain climbing and skiing. When climbing obstacles affecting the intensity up, skiing, resistance will not go so smooth, the stock market will evolve resistance and support.
Resistance: short power Sheng, long power where weak natural resistance, in practice, because of public expectations of consistency, the following areas will be significant resistance often ：
1. If the day before the closing index opened below the previous close, then climb in to the process of resistance in this encounter. This is because, after thinking through the night, long and short sides reached a consensus on the previous close, opened the day when a large number of investors participating auction closing level Yi Qian, if the opening is low, indicating that in a mood to sell. Rebound in the index process, on the one hand will be selling at any time was a new blow to the other, close to the pre-closing, the morning will play a role in the accumulation of selling, so long, but this gate more easily.
2. After the opening day of this opening, if lower, due to the accumulation in the opening price when bidding a lot of selling office, which will bounce back here in time, will encounter significant resistance.
3. MA location short run in the 5th line, 10 lines were particularly valued technical school, where once the index to climb, there will be decisive embrace technology, short-term sell-off, Guer resistance, it is very natural form.
4. Previous high of the previous intraday record high of the reason why is because there are obviously selling the backlog here, when the index fell again in this Difficult rise, the once close to the previous high point, there will be new for air forces to intervene, while bulls will become cautious. Therefore, in the chart on the formation of a clear M will be the first form, and most of the time right below the left side of the high points will be the high point.
5. Previous low of the previous low of the formation due to long and short sides of the balance, that the strong buyer power, this low when the index is gradually lost support, there will be considerable for air to join the ranks of selling to lead to broader market plunge, shaped like diving, for diving time is too short, settling in here under the no transaction is selling, so when the index rebounded to encounter resistance at this time.
6. Integer crossing the psychological effect as people, some integer constant will be increased when the location of an important resistance, such as 660,680,700,800,1000 points, and so, in the stock price on, such as 9.8 yuan, 10 yuan, 20 yuan mark and so on. In particular, some individual stocks often accumulate a large number of integer mark sell orders.
Of course, there are other resistance areas, but mainly it 6.
Identify a resistance zone is intended to sell at the highest point or the second highest point, the resistance generally can be ascertained before the sale area. If short-term expert generally not sold in 10.00, and prefer to 9.99 or 9.98 yuan in sales reported to increase in sales. Or, when the index fell from a height, after the second close to the Times, sell high.
Support: do not go places or shall support common support area the following categories ：
1. If today opened higher after the opening bell, down to the opening price in the office, because of buying more precipitation, support will be strong. The similar reason with resistance.
2. Before the close if the index (or stock) fall from a height, front office support is also strong closing.
3. MA location mainly on the 5th line, 10 lines.
4. Previous low of the last form of low areas will generally become the psychological support and resistance areas of their argument is the same.
5. Previous high of the previous high resistance to large, once the effective cross, because of accumulation of buying under the more so when another fall, generally supported.
6. Integer crossings such as the index fell 700 points, 600 points, the natural cause for reluctant sellers, not easy to break 600 points, the share price fell from a height will be 10 per office support.
Ascertain support for the low area to buy.
As can be seen from the above analysis, support and resistance is a contradiction that can be transformed into each other, the resistance of the original breakthrough in turn can become a support, the support of the original breakthrough in turn can also be a drag.
Grasp on the support and resistance also contributes to a large city judged. For example, when crossed resistance zone, said the market is even stronger, to buy or sell; when below the support zone, said the market is weak, you can sell or buy.
(B) the time effect
1. Opening the qualitative nature of the first to confirm opening. Relative to the previous close, if it is to open higher, indicating strong popularity, the psychological rush chips more potential there is for the better city. But if too many high-opened, so that those who bought the day before yesterday profitable, it may lead to heavy profit-taking pressure. If the high open or only a few points about the popularity that calm, long and short sides no mood to go on fighting. If the lower opening, it means that profits or losses of flesh were eager to wait, so the situation has deteriorated city possible.
If the bottom of the suddenly high-opened, and the steep increases in the strength is often a fundamental reversal of both long and short time, therefore, constitute a purchase Jiancang but retreated when the opportunity. Conversely, if the tide is rising substantially Gaps occurred more often is a symbol of multi-power last eruption, indicating that the bull market had come to an end, but rather constitutes a shipping opportunities. Similarly, opened sharply lower in the bottom of hysteria is often short of a strike, but constitutes a bottom opportunities, a lower opening in the top of the popularity is that lax, Jie Yu rushed out to escape, but also market potential to see weakness. Although subsequent rebound, but the basic sharp drops in on. In the middle of the market up or down the high way to open or to open lower, the general trend of the means to continue the original, which opened promising high-rise, low fall open bearish.
2. Opening 30 minutes after the arrival of long to eat well, opening will often wait to rush into a short position to complete the distribution, will be deliberately pulled up, creating a rapid spikes after opening, this is a strong common market . In the weak market, long to eat cheap, that is down will drop at the open, while the short frightened, also desperate to sell, resulting in the rapid decline after the opening bell. Therefore, the first 10 minutes after opening the market to judge the performance of the market contribute to the nature of the right.
The reason why both long and short attention after opening the first 10 minutes, because this time the small number of investors involved in the transaction, intraday trading volume is not great, so much the amount that can be used to achieve the intended purpose, commonly known as spend less, gain big.
The second is the long and short sides 10 minutes into the break period of time, the general trend will be to amend the original, such as air-side forced too fast, long will organize counter, bargain-hunting site would be large-scale intervention; such as multi-attack too hard , will be short counter, disk will actively taking profits. Therefore, this time is to buy or sell a turning point.
10 minutes in the third person involved in the transaction because of an increasing number of orders has become more concrete, less false components, so the credibility of a larger trend of this period is basically the foundation for the day to .
In order to correctly grasp the trend of characteristics that can be opened as a starting point to the first index for moving points 10,20,30 minutes together into three segments, where bread contains information on the future direction of the day.
a. If it is on first and then after the next (that rose and then fell further up), then the more likely a good day market trends, Japan K line may receive Yang Xian. Because it shows that long is strong. If the line 30 minutes before the rise indicates strong bull trend, the better the market outlook is very likely, the probability of greater than 90% of the income Yang Xian, retreated a position in opportunity.
Specifically, if the second drop rate is very small, not less than the opening value, the market should be more optimistic. If the third set up a new high, and the prices even more optimistic that day will generally rose small recovery Yang Xian.
If starting up a second drop below the point (opening), then that bear excessive pressure adjustment stressful day, once ascribed weak, there will be setback only be supported at the bottom, will have a strong rebound But generally less likely to close the day at the highest point.
If the second drop below the opening, and the third rise was higher than before the high point, it indicates that relatively large differences between long and short, that day will be more shocks, but it is likely to Yangxian barrel.
If the second drop Even though I did lower opening, but the third high rise Quemo, especially followed by a relatively strong drop, it indicates both the long and short-face relatively weak when the long day\'s pull-back will last for a long time to close the highest point possible, and sometimes even turn into another following the first on the next trend, and then take the light and close the Yin Xian.
b. If it is before you get on it, the market is that day more likely to go short, especially if before you get under it all, it is very powerful forces that bear the same day constitute shipments rebound opportunities, investors likely to decline. If a higher opening, closing more than 90% probability of Yinxian.
Specifically, if the third fell a record low, compared to the typical short features, the day of the general weak rebound. Head formation in the medium to long term, often similar form.
If the second up a new high, and the third did not fall to new lows, while still containing forces that long, have ascribed the day of opportunity, late may not receive the minimum.
If the second high rise Even though I did, but the third fell powerless to new lows, and followed up, as shown in Figure 5-7, indicates that the pressure is great short, long is still quite a lot that day will first ascribed After the fall, but will not receive the minimum.
If the second high rise, and the third fell another new low, it indicates that there will be more shock that day, but may be received late in the lower position.
c. If it is on first then on again, the strong force is that long, but bear great pressure, the same day if received support at the bottom, up opportunity is still large.
But fell below the third opening, the forces that bear too strong that day would be more deep-bottom, this bottom is generally caused due to profit taking. If the third fell weak, even lower than the first rise, then the day long is strong, the general market was up a small recycling Yang Xian.
d. If the first under the next then again, the strong force is that short, but there are counter-spare long day if the high pressure slightly, and take a greater chance of light, especially if weak and a third up, features would be more obvious.
If a third higher than the opening, then pulled shipping market are generally the day after the correction in the high, steep decline may occur.
e. If it is on first then the next and then the next, then that opened up after the trap is empty, that day more likely to go short.
f. If the first then on again on the next, then that is a long opening down after the performance of profit-taking, that day may still take a good market.
3. Noon before the close of the movement is at noon before the close of the two sides compete for long and short. Closed at noon because of the time, investors have more time to review before the City to, determining the development of the market outlook, and more impulsive than cool or make their own investment decisions, the main big opportunity before the close of regular use to make good for their movement to lure taken in middle and small retail investors. In general, after the market opened before the close of the movement should be together, not in isolation.
If the market the morning of high order, before the close of the day set up, the one show that the strong buyer power, the general trend likely to continue to improve, on the other hand that the main force may want to create a false impression for the better, to take the opportunity to ship. How do we judge it? If the former, then after opening the afternoon should be impulsive buying approach, that trend should be quickly shot up, then down there are still a good chance to, you can take the opportunity to buy, if the latter, then the index may not, after opening at fixed even slowly back, namely, to cover shipping main deliberately pushed the start.
If the trend of continuous decline without a rebound, and rebound it is urgent, the main trend of decline has not tried often to make a false impression, in the morning before the close of deliberately suppressed, so that the lowest reported income. After opening at noon, after reflection determined to liquidate the people forced to sell less, so index still plunge, the result often is the last one down, or when selling a relatively small, therefore, the main force pulled up to eat without fear to more chips, it will cause the second time down, but the volume at this time usually begins to shrink, so that this fall is the best opportunity Jiancang.
If the trend on the rise or fall flat on his way, then before the close of the general trend of guiding significance. That if the market is in an uptrend when the afternoon close at the high point of popularity that booming market for the better; the other hand, if the market is in decline when the afternoon to close at low, indicating that low popularity, market to the light. If the rally when the afternoon to close at low, or decline when the afternoon close at the high points, mostly false, can not change its original trend.
4. Late effect late in time, is generally considered to last 15 minutes, in fact, both long and short from the last 45 minutes had already begun secretly fight. If from the last 45 minutes to 35 minutes time up, then the general trend will last up to an end. Because the number of people involved in the transaction at this time most clear when the rally, there will be endless influx of buying pushed indices. Conversely, if the last 45 minutes to 35 minutes this time, the decrease generally difficult to take a good Yao City.
Especially in the last 30 minutes of great reference value to the broader market at this time if the process of rebound in the fall after U-turn down, late losing streak will be 30 minutes, highly lethal.
This effect can also be used late afternoon before the close of the movement\'s analysis. That there are from noon to close 15 to 20 minutes before the time trend also has guiding role, can refer to analysis of late effects. In actual operation, when discovered late in the day to take the light should be actively selling to avoid the next day to open lower; when discovered late in the good, the next day may be adequate to meet the high positions open.
5. The duration and intensity of how long a trend also has guiding significance. T +0 under the bull (for example, 8 September 1994) and the bear market, generally every 7 minutes index reveals that the direction switch to a speculative market in the long-short high intensity of the fighting. T +1, after which continued a trend in Shanghai Stock Market is the longest 50 minutes. Duration mainly reflects the strength of various long and short sides, concrete expression changes in the volume, when investors prepared to enter the market, the best Choice Trend last 10 to 15 minutes to enter because of the frequency change in trend means that trading tends to increase active involvement is often a sign of big money, so out calmly, profit opportunities are bigger.
(C) the momentum - to read the tape to read the tape core is the core of real-time up and down the momentum. The so-called momentum, essentially is momentum, rising strongly, that means strong selling to buy enough so strong market potential; down strongly, that are determined to sell enough to buy gas, so the weak market trend.
So, how do determine the size of momentum? The key is fancy or tilt under the oblique angle. As shown, when the angle of elevation up and down when the angle of depression α1 α2 point which represented the moment when the up or down size. α1 larger the stronger the intention to buy, when α1> 60 degrees, generally belong to a super-strong; when α1 is 45 degrees, the count remained stable; α1 <30 degrees, are unable to up-type, generally followed from the strong decline. α2 greater, indicating greater selling pressure in the bubble and α2 constant 80 degrees; and α2 <30 degrees, generally decreased fatigue, resulting likelihood of a strong rebound.
In the actual trend, it can be according to the continuity of the trend to predict future trends, which in operation invincible.
1. Down the signs of the market running process, often many of the features that fall is about to begin. As a short-term operation, should strive to be sold before the fall starts.
2. Sign up in practice, whether up or down is very fast, once the signs of a breakthrough in advance Sharu (or popped), and so often after the break was too late.
3. The day to judge the strength of other words, we have ups and downs in the previously mentioned sign of both can be applied to determine the trend for a long time, the difference is merely the starting point and end point should be amplified. Analytical skills to grasp this, then even the Japanese lines were analyzed weekly.
初級基本技巧----盯盤
來源: 粉腸仔 於 06-09-23 06:07:07 [檔案] [博客] [舊帖] [轉至博客] [給我悄悄話]
一、空間、時間、動量?
? 看盤時，要掌握空間、時間、動量三要素。?
? （一）阻力與支撐——空間的兩種表現形式。
? 指數走勢圖是多空雙方力量對比的明證，當多方力量強時，向上走， 當空頭力量強時，向下降，就這樣簡單。好比一個人爬山與滑雪。爬 山時會遇到障礙，影響向上的力度，滑雪時也會遇到阻力以至於滑不 下去，股市中便演化為阻力和支撐。?
? 阻力:空頭力量盛、多頭力量弱的地方自然形成阻力，實踐中，因大 眾預期的一致性，下列區域常會成為明顯的阻力：?
? 1.前收盤若當日指數開盤低於前收盤，那麽，在向上爬的過程中會在 此遇到阻力。這是因為經過一夜思考之後，多空雙方對前收盤達成了 共識，當日開盤時會有大量股民以前收盤價位參與競價交易，若指數 低開，表明賣意甚濃。在指數反彈過程中，一方麵會隨時遭到新拋盤 的打擊，另一方麵在接近前收盤時，早晨積累的賣盤會發生作用，使 得多頭輕易越不過此道關。?
? 2.今開盤若當日開盤後走低，因競價時積累在開盤價處大量賣盤，因 而將來在反彈回此處時，會遇到明顯阻力。?
? 3.均線位置短線運行中的5日線、10日線被技術派格外看重，一旦指 數爬升至此處，會有信奉技術的短線客果斷拋售，故而阻力形成便十 分自然。?
? 4.前次高點盤中前次之所以創下高點，是因為此處有明顯的賣盤積壓， 當指數在此遇阻回落又再次回升時，一旦接近前次高點，會有新的作 空力量介入，同時多頭也會變得小心謹慎。因此，在走勢圖上便形成 了明顯的M頭形態，而且多數時間右邊的高點會低於左邊的高點。?
? 5.前次低點前次低點的形成緣於多空雙方的均衡，表明買方力量強勁， 而當指數在此低點漸漸失去支撐時，會有相當多的作空人加入拋售行 列，從而導致大盤急瀉，狀如跳水，因“跳水”時間過於短促，會在 此處沉澱下未成交的賣盤，故當指數反彈至此時會遇到阻力。?
? 6.整數關口由於人們的心理作用，一些整數位置常會成為上升時的重 要阻力，如660、680、700、800、1000點等，在個股價位上，像9.8 元、10元、20元大關等等。特別是一些個股的整數關口常會積累大量 賣單。?
? 當然，還有其它的阻力區，但主要是這6種。?
? 判明阻力區的目的是為了賣在最高點或次高點，一般可以在判明的阻 力區之前賣出。如短線高手一般不會在10.00元賣出，而寧可在9.99 或9.98元報賣，以增加成交機會。或者，當指數從高處滑落後，在第 二次接近此高點時報賣。?
? 支撐:跌不下去的地方即為支撐，常見支撐區有以下幾類：?
? 1.今日開盤若開盤後走高，則在回落至開盤價處時，因買盤沉澱較多， 支撐便較強。道理與阻力區相似。?
? 2.前收盤若指數(或股價)從高處回落，在前收盤處的支撐也較強。?
? 3.均線位置主要是5日線、10日線等。?
? 4.前次低點上次形成的低點區一般會成為人們的心理支撐，其道理也 與阻力區相同。?
? 5.前次高點前次高點阻力較大,一旦有效越過,因積澱下的買盤較多， 因此當再次回落時，一般會得到支撐。?
? 6.整數關口如指數從700點跌至600點時，自然引起人們惜售，破600 點也不易，股價從高處跌到10元處也會得到支撐。?
? 判明支撐是為了爭取在低位區買進。?
? 由上述分析可以看出，支撐與阻力是一對可以互相轉化的矛盾，原先 的阻力突破後反過來可以成為支撐，原有的支撐突破後反過來也可以 成為阻力。?
? 對支撐與阻力的把握也有助於對大市的研判。如當衝過阻力區時，表 示市道甚強，可買進或賣出；當跌破支撐區時，表示市道很弱，可以 賣出或不買進。?
? （二）時間效應?
? 1.開盤定性首先要確認開盤的性質.相對於前收盤而 言,若高開,說明人氣旺盛,搶籌碼的心理較多，市勢有向好的一麵。 但如果高開過多，使前日買入者獲利豐厚，則容易造成過重的獲利回 吐壓力。如果高開不多或僅一個點左右，則表明人氣平靜，多空雙方 暫無戀戰情緒。如果低開，則表明獲利回吐心切或虧損割肉者迫不及 待，故市勢有轉壞的可能。?
? 如果在底部突然高開，且幅度較大，常是多空雙方力量發生根本性逆 轉的時候，因此，回檔時反而構成進貨建倉良機。反之，若在大勢已 上漲較多時發生大幅跳空，常是多方力量最後噴發的象征，表明牛市 已走到了盡頭，反而構成出貨機會。同樣，在底部的大幅低開常是空 頭歇斯底裏的一擊，反而構成見底機會，而在頂部的低開則證明人氣 渙散，皆欲爭先逃出，也是市勢看弱的表現。其後雖有反彈，但基本 上一路下瀉。而在大市上升中途或下降中途的高開或低開，一般有繼 續原有趨勢的意味，即上升時高開看好，下跌時低開看淡。?
? 2.開盤後30分鍾多頭為了順利吃到貨，開盤後會常會迫不及待地搶進， 而空頭為了完成派發，也會故意拉高，於是造成開盤後的急速衝高， 這是強勢市場中常見的。而在弱勢市場中，多頭為了吃到便宜貨，會 在開盤時即向下砸，而空頭膽戰心驚，也會不顧一切地拋售，造成開 盤後的急速下跌。因此開盤後前10分鍾的市場表現有助於正確地判斷 市場性質。?
? 多空雙方之所以重視開盤後的第一個10分鍾,是因為此時參與交易的 股民人數不多，盤中買賣量都不是很大，因此用不大的量即可以達到 預期的目的，俗稱“花錢少，收獲大”。?
? 第二個10分鍾則是多空雙方進入休整階段的時間，一般會對原有趨勢 進行修正，如空方逼得太猛，多頭會組織反擊，抄底盤會大舉介入； 如多方攻得太猛，空頭也會予以反擊，獲利盤會積極回吐。因此，這 段時間是買入或賣出的一個轉折點。?
? 第三個10分鍾裏因參與交易的人越來越多,買賣盤變得較實在，虛假 的成分較少，因此可信度較大，這段時間的走勢基本上為全天走向奠 定了基礎。?
? 為了正確把握走勢特點，可以開盤為起點，以第10、20、30分鍾指數 為移動點連成三條線段，這裏麵包含有一天的未來走勢信息。?
? a.如果是先上後下再上（即先漲後跌又漲），則當天行情趨好的可能 性較大，日K線可能收陽線。因為它表明多頭勢力較強。若前30分鍾 直線上漲，則表明多頭勢強，後市向好的可能性很大，收陽線概率大 於90%，回檔是建倉良機。?
??具體來說，若第二個下跌幅度很小，不低於開盤值，則行情應較樂觀 。若第三個上漲創下新高，行情就更樂觀了，當天一般會大漲小回收 陽線。?
? 若第二個下跌低於起漲點（開盤），則表明空頭壓力過大，當天的調 整壓力較大，一旦衝高無力，會出現急挫，隻有在底部得到支撐，才 會有較強反彈，但當天一般不太可能收在最高點。?
? 若第二個下跌低於開盤，而第三個上漲又高於前高點，則表明多空分 歧比較大，當天震蕩會較大，但最終仍可能以陽線報收。?
? 若第二個下跌雖沒低於開盤，但第三個上漲卻沒創新高，特別是隨後 出現了較為有力的下跌，則說明在多空雙方正麵交鋒時多頭相對較弱， 當天的回檔會持續較長時間，收盤不可能為最高點，有時甚至會演化 為“先上後下又下”走勢，進而走淡並收出陰線。?
? b.如果是先下後上又下，則當天行情走淡的可能性較大，特別如果是 先下後下又下，則表明空頭力量十分強大，當天的反彈均構成出貨機 會，後市下跌的可能性較大。若開盤較高，收陰線的概率超過90%。?
? 具體來說，若第三個下跌創下新低，則為典型的空頭特征，當天的反 彈一般較弱。在中長期頭部形成時，常出現類似形式。?
? 若第二個上漲創下新高，第三個下跌不創新低，則表明多頭勢力仍較 盛，當天有衝高機會，尾盤可能不收在最低。?
? 若第二個上漲雖沒創新高，但第三個下跌無力創新低，且隨後出現上 漲，如圖5-7所示，則表明空頭壓力雖大，多頭仍不可小視，當天會 先衝高後回落，但不會收在最低。?
? 若第二個上漲創新高，第三個下跌又創新低，則表明當天會有較大震 蕩，但尾盤可能收在較低位置。?
? c.如果是先上又上再下，則表明多頭勢力較強，但空頭壓力也大，當 天如果在底部得到支撐，向上的機會仍較大。?
? 但若第三個下跌低於開盤，則表明空頭力量過於強大，當天探底會比 較深，這種探底一般是由於獲利回吐所致。若第三個下跌較弱，甚至 不低於第一個上漲，則當天多頭勢力較強，一般是大漲小回收陽線。?
? d.如果先下又下再上，則表明空頭勢力較強，但多頭尚有反擊餘力， 當天若高位壓力略強，走淡機會較大，尤其是第三個上漲若軟弱無力， 特征會更明顯。?
? 若第三個上漲超過了開盤，則一般屬於拉高出貨的行情，當天在高位 盤整後，可能出現急跌。?
? e.如果是先上又下再下，則表明開盤後的向上是空頭陷阱，當天走淡 的可能性較大。?
? f.如果是先下又上再上，則表明開盤後的向下是多頭獲利回吐的表現， 當天行情仍可能走好。?
? 3.中午收市前中午收市前的走勢也是多空雙方必爭的。因為中午停市 這段時間，投資者有了充裕的時間檢討前市走向，研判後市發展，並 較冷靜或較衝動地做出自己的投資決策，因此主力大戶常利用收市前 的機會做出有利於自己的走勢來，引誘廣大中小散戶上當。一般來說， 收市前與開市後的走勢應綜合起來看，而不能孤立對待。?
? 如果大市上午在高位整理，收市前創下全天最高，則一方麵表明買方 力量較強，大勢可能繼續向好，另一方麵則表明主力可能想造成向好 的假象，以借機出貨。怎樣判斷呢？若是前者，則下午開盤後應有衝 動性買盤進場，即大勢應快速衝高，則回落後仍有向好機會，可以借 機買入，如果是後者，則下午開盤後指數可能根本不動，甚至緩緩回 頭，即為主力故意拉高以掩護出貨的開始。?
? 如果大勢連綿下跌無反彈，而反彈又迫在眉睫，則主力常做出大勢跌 勢未盡的假象，在上午收市前刻意打壓，使之以最低報收。下午開盤 後，中午經過思考下定決心斬倉的人會迫不及地賣出，故指數仍有急 瀉，結果這往往是最後一跌，或者因此時賣壓相對較少，主力唯恐拉 高時吃不到更多的籌碼，所以還會造成第二次下跌，但此時成交量常 開始萎縮，於是，此次下跌便是最佳的建倉良機。?
? 如果大勢平平處於上升或下跌途中，則收市前的走勢一般具有指導意 義。即若大市處於升勢時午收於高點，表明人氣旺盛，市道向好；反 之若大市處於跌勢時午收於低點，表明人氣低，市道向淡。若升勢時 午收於低點，或跌勢時午收於高點，多半是假象，改變不了其本來走 勢。?
? 4.尾盤效應尾盤在時間上一般認為是最後15分鍾，實際上從最後45分 鍾多空雙方即已開始暗暗較量了。若從最後45分鍾到35分鍾這段時間 上漲，則最後的走勢一般會以上漲而告終。因為此時參與交易的人數 最多，當漲勢明確時，會有層出不窮的買盤湧進推高指數。反之，若 最後45分鍾到35分鍾這段時間下跌,則尾市一般難以走好。?
? 特別是到了最後30分鍾大盤的走向極具參考意義,此時若在下跌過程 中出現反彈後又調頭向下，尾盤將可能連跌30分鍾,殺傷力極大。?
? 這一尾盤效應也可以用於對中午收市前走勢的研判。即離中午收市前 還有15~20分鍾時的走勢也具有指導作用，可以參照尾盤效應來分析 。在具體操作上，當發現當日尾盤將走淡時，應積極沽售，以回避次 日低開；當發現尾盤向好時，則可適量持倉以迎接次日高開。?
? 5.持續的時間與力度某一趨勢持續多久也具有指導意義。T+0下的牛 市(如1994年8~9月)和熊市，一般每隔7分鍾指數即轉一次方向顯現出 高投機市場中多空雙方交戰的激烈程度。而T+1之後滬市某種趨勢持 續的最長時間是50分鍾。持續時間的長短主要反映了多空雙方的力量 不同，具體表現在成交量的變化上，當投資者準備入市時，最好選擇 趨勢持續時間在10~15分鍾時進入，因為趨勢改變的頻率增加意味著 交易趨於活躍，常是有大資金介入的跡象，因此進出從容，獲利機會 也大些。?
? （三）動量－－看盤的核心即時看盤的核心是上漲和下跌的動量。所 謂動量，實質上也就是“勁頭”，上漲有力，表明買意旺盛賣壓不足， 故市勢強；下跌有力，表明賣意堅決買氣不足，故市勢弱。?
? 那麽，怎樣判別動量大小呢？關鍵是看上傾或下斜的角度。如圖所示， 上漲時的仰角α1和下跌時的俯角α2的角度大小即代表上漲或下跌時 的動量大小。α1越大,說明買意越強,當α1>60度時，一般就屬於超 強勢了；而當α1為45度時,算走勢平穩;α1<30度時，屬無力上漲型， 一般緊隨而來的是有力的下跌。α2越大，說明賣壓越大，在暴跌時 α2常達到80度以上；而α2<30度時，一般為下跌乏力，隨之可能出 現有力反彈。?
? 在實際走勢中，可以根據走勢的連續性來預測未來的走勢，從而在操 作中立於不敗之地。?
? 1.下跌的征兆大市在運行過程中,常有許多特征表示下跌即將開始。 作為短線操作，應爭取在下跌啟動前賣出。?
? 2.上漲的征兆在實踐中， 無論上漲還是下跌都是極快的，一旦出現突破征兆應提前殺入（或殺 出），等突破發生後往往已經來不及了。
? 3.全天強弱的判斷換言之，我們在前麵所提到的漲跌預兆均可以應用 到對於較長時間走勢的判斷，所不同者隻是要把起點與終點進行放大 。把握了這種分析技巧，則甚至可以對日線、周線進行分析了。
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