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SEC short ban and impact to SKF and SEF

(2008-09-21 10:46:12) 下一個

        Many people asked me about this question, so I think it is easy for me to answer once here instead answer many times seperately.  There are already some professional articles regarding this topic, please refer those articles.

Here is what I think about this question:
Short Ban has negtive impact  to SKF, SEF  and all financial short ETFs. It drys up liquidity and increase the cost of trading. You may pay more for SKF, SEF ETFs and calls at same intrinsic value. SKF also has down side risk because of that.  But this will be short term. Short Ban will expire on 10/2.  I don't think it will ban forever. Because it will hurt Financials for the long run as much as benefit from it. IT destroys market integrity. It will also increase market volatility without short and put hedge. Just remember, short and put are hedge tools. Most institutions use them as hedge for their long position. If they can not use those tool, the only way to deal with down side risk is sell their long position.  Look at China market, no short allowed there, but market drop 70% from the top before this rally , much more severe and volatile than US market. Shorts and puts are also potencial buying power.

For SKF holder ( I also hold it), sell covered call will be good way to protect short term down side risk, because SKF calls are so fat that the near money call even worth about 20% stock price. So you have 20% down side protection without selling your SKF.  But the side effect by doing this is you may give up the chance to make quick money if SKF sharply raise.


Take care.

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pisces-hk 回複 悄悄話 Many thanks for your articles. it's a must-read for me.

if 置頂 is necessary, you should not worry about bad people in "大千". I'm sure that most 大千 readers are appreciating your work.
wavePlayer 回複 悄悄話 回複new88的評論:沒關係,不理就是了。大多數是好的。我已經習慣了被人無端攻擊。已經免疫了。隻要不牽扯到我的fans, 我都不會做辯解的,浪費時間。
wavePlayer 回複 悄悄話 回複SF9592的評論: i don't know exactly reason. But I think it may related 19 financial stocks short ban before SEC new short ban.
new88 回複 悄悄話 老大,辛苦了,建議你別帖到"大千"置頂上去,因為那有的人太可怕了.
SF9592 回複 悄悄話 Thank you Laoda! I have a question which I think some one has already raised before.That is, why SKF only peaked at about 150 last week while it hit as high as 200 in mid-July? Meanwhile UYG has similar lows at these two dips. Is it because the shares are diluted or something?
whiteoak 回複 悄悄話 Thanks as always, admire you!
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