To: rimm FFIV play. 賭不賭?

把ER後看漲的原因補一下:

FFIV (ER 7/25 AH) Floating shr 41M Good to play ER. (F5 network)

Reasoning:
1. Strong sector (CSCO, JNPR, NTGR all have strong performance.)
2. FFIV 屬於 "特別小弟" 在content network 獨領風騷.
3. 短,中,長 uptrend, just pull back from recent new high to base $87.3
4. Volume: High volume to new high
5. FFIV has very strong internal strength.
6. 上個季度 revenue 漲 6.7% (120 ->>128mils) ER down -11% (0.53 ->>0.47) 似乎不合理. 有藏ER的嫌疑. (除非有特別原因,我沒看到.)
7. 這季預期 ER 0.5 並不是太高.
8. 從TA 上看,似乎沒漲夠.

不利因素:
1. Option too expensive
2. Close to all time high.
3. Setup is not favorable for big jump.
Compare to last Qtr, the big jump after ER started from 200MA after 3months consolidation. ( Accumulate a lots of energy.)

JM2C