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回複:比靈通. 可歎你的AMZN 到現在還不知道是怎麽虧的.

(2007-08-07 21:32:53) 下一個
沒有擠兌你的意思. 可你也該吃一欠長一智吧! 不然, 你被消滅掉的時候不遠了.

實在看不過你這樣糊塗,說說為什麽AMZN 今天瘋漲.

1. AMZN 瘋漲的主因是季報前普遍看跌, short position 竟然有45million 之多, short ratio 達:6.8 (按average trading volume, need 6.8 days to absorb those short position) Short position 占 floating share 15%. AH, AMZN has positive ER suprise. It was perfort shortom for short queeze. You are not alone in this massacre. It could be avoid if you cover your short AH.

2. There are four upgrades today alone after AMZN report knockout earning report.

3. Before ER, AMZN had average rating 3.1 ( 4 is the worst) 20 analyst rate AMZN as hold, sell or strong sell. Despite terrible rating, AMZN out perform market in past 2 months. Long term moving average trend up, Short term moving average trend up. Because the expectation is extremely low, there is a little room to the down side and plenty of room for upside.

You should avoid to short this kind of stock at first place. Trading stock is not gambling. But you are not the only person to bet on wrong side. You mistake is: Risk management. After you know the ER yesterday, you should close your short position in AH. If you know above facts, it is not difficult to make this decision.

Take care.


(原貼)

兄弟,我今天早晨7點就守著,想在50止掉,根本沒機會.猶豫一下
來源: 比靈通 於 07-04-25 16:44:30 [檔案] [博客] [舊帖] [轉至博客] [給我悄悄話]

想等開盤一輪獲利盤出來再止損,它直接去55了.我根本沒機會




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