Delivering: Mr Lulu 1.0/09/2007 billion (90 reads)[ accumulates23920 tothe Beijing standard time to apportion luluto send intimate conversation]
Subject: Center Burmese relations: Dirty transaction
[Abundant news forum] in September the last ten days of the month, Burma erupts 100,000 ginsengs with, the lasted two week-long democracies big demonstration, in view of the fact that this democratic movement takes the lead by the multitudinous clergy, the history calls "the cassock revolution". This democracy demonstration, encounters the Burmese military government as usual the rank smell of blood suppression. The authority foreign declared has 10 people to kill, but rebels and flee the military officer according to it to expose: Over a thousand people are killed, several thousand people are arrested. This tallies with the Burmese folk view.
The world vision goes to Burma, also goes to China. Because, everybody knew, the Chinese government, is the Burmese government only and the most biggest backer. This kind of relations, must trace on in the century the leaf. The Chinese Communist Party captures the political power after China, also transfers but to Southeast Asia on a large scale "the output" the revolution. At first, the Chinese Communist Party attempts to cultivate the Burmese communist party, but belongs to the defeat; Thereupon transfers supports depends on the Burmese armed force political power which the coup d'etat comes on stage. Afterwards, the Chinese Communist Party political power and the Burmese armed force political power, is thick as thieves, the number ten years like a day, is known as "the brethren friendship".
In 1988, the Burmese eruption democratic movement, suffered the armed force political power to conquer by killing, more than 3,000 people got killed, was is in 1989 China "64" the massacre preview; This year, Rangoon once again erupts the democracy demonstration, encounters the armed force political power rank smell of blood suppression once again, by outside is Beijing "64" massacre repeating. Respective manufacture massacre, respectively receives the international sanction, center the Burmese two dictatorships political power, tightly will tie up in the same place.
The Chinese Communist Party pounds down 1.5 billion US dollars in Burma, establishes the high tech electron monitoring and the operational network system, the one north south the first, a big small two dictatorships political power company is a body. Using this set of system, two dictatorships political power, may monitor the Burmese crown race, the Chinese race together (the Burmese Chinese people) and the tile race and so on national minority's guerrilla force activity; At the same time, monitors together after Indian Ocean and Malacca channel all ships, including American battleship; Said to China, but also may taking the opportunity monitor it "the strategy competitor" - - India.
When the perverse actions Burmese armed force political power becomes the international society, and even Southeast Asia's abandoned babies and orphan's time, the Chinese Communist Party does not blush with shame stands behind the Burmese armed force political power, fills Burmese the international vacuum. China repayment which obtains from the Burmese side, is this country's energy and the resources: Petroleum, natural gas, gem and lumber. Only in 2005, China on imported 350 million US dollar above lumber from Burma, majority is the illegal transaction, down to, center the Burmese frontier precious virgin forest is nearly felled light; In 2005, China opens 18.5 billion US dollars days prices, plans to purchase the American superior Nepal branch (Unocal) the petroleum company, one of reasons lies in, the superior Nepali branch has in the Burmese coast elegantly reaches that oil-gas field, this oil-gas field has surpasses 140 billion cubic meters gas reserves, once the extension turns over to the Chinese Communist Party, its potential cannot imagines. Chinese Communist Party's purchase, because the American government and the people opposed, finally lets slip; Now, center Burma start to construct pulls the ridge from the Burmese Asia (Arakan) to the Chinese Yunnan Province, the span 2,380 kilometers petroleum gas line.
The Beijing aspect, the center Burma relations, describes for merely is the economics and trade relations vigorously. However, the Chinese Communist Party gives Burma the massive military and the economic aid, mainly with relates by the consolidated bilateral government, then consolidated two dictatorships political power rule. After all, such dictatorship rule, in the world, already gradually changed scarcely, the orphans and widows completed the order form, just like the rare animal which bordered on exterminates, the natural need "the orangutan pitied".
The Chinese Communist Party in Burma's massive investments, has not certainly brought the prosperity to Burma, the populace has not brought the actual benefit for Burma. The Burmese populace still sink into impoverished. But actually in the government corrupt aspect, Burma imitates China, blindly follows suit. Last year, the Burmese armed force Dan Switzerland held the grand wedding ceremony for his/her daughter, 10 minutes wedding ceremonies short films, rapidly spread on the Internet, extremely initiated the Burmese populace to be angry. In the lens, Dan Switzerland's daughter Dan reach Switzerland to wear gold and silver, the whole body is bedecked with jewels; Wedding ceremony luxurious, is to the utmost extravagant, just like the old time the imperial family; Wedding ceremony atmosphere, luxurious obscene, dissolute human body. All these, fully demonstrate the Burmese military privileged stratum and general populace's huge Poor, rich, disparity. "International is transparent" the organization newest announcement "the embezzlement impression index" in the report, Burma and Somalia will juxtapose for the global most corrupt country.
After Burmese eruption democracy demonstration, United Nations and the civilized country, all place hopes in China, counted on the Beijing authority can exert pressure to the Burmese armed force political power, do not have to suppress the populace; The international society also a more impractical prospect to Beijing: Let the Burmese military government and the populace converses, then realizes Burma "the political reconciliation".
The Burmese populace suffer the result once again which the armed force political power conquers by killing, proved, the outside to Chinese Communist Party's prospect, radically is climbs a tree to catch a fish. But why, but also must know may not for but for it? Investigates its reason, a piece because it cannot be helped: The Burmese crisis, circles only China, does not have the Chinese Communist Party political power the cooperation, the Burmese question, forever does not have the solution; Two pieces stem from fantasized that, Thought the Chinese Communist Party obstructs in 2008 the Beijing Olympic Games, takes into consideration own international image, possibly acts on behalf of to restrict the Burmese armed force political power, does not have to commit evil acts.
Does not need to say that, stemming from the common dictatorship natural disposition, Chinese Communist Party itself acts in collusion with the Burmese armed force political power; Even if said that, the Chinese Communist Party takes into consideration the Beijing Olympic Games, wants the strategy to exert pressure to the Burmese armed force political power, also not necessarily can manage obtains. Burmese armed force political power innate abacus: If it loses the control ability, Chinese Communist Party without hesitation will get rid of it, will transfer but cooperates with the Burmese opposition faction; If it can be in control of the situation, the Chinese Communist Party will be able not but to continue to give it to support. Must stand firm Chinese Communist Party this big backers, then evades the World Court the prosecution, the Burmese armed force political power only choice, is suppresses and slaughters carries through to the end
.
Therefore, speaks of to the Burmese armed force political power exerts pressure, the Chinese Communist Party unintentionally also is already incapable. Chinese Communist Party's diplomatic compound as always: "We appeal all quarters maintenance restraint." Said is "all quarters", but is not "the Burmese government". This is just like: The murder recidivist commits murder once again which facing, the populace completely all condemned that, some people do not stop the murderer, instead said any "various people maintain the restraint". Its is mystifying, self-evident。
[博訊論壇] 9月中下旬,緬甸爆發10萬人參與、曆時兩周的民主大示威,鑒於這次民主運動由眾多僧侶帶頭,史稱“袈裟革命”。這場民主示威,照例遭到緬甸軍政府的血腥鎮壓。當局對外聲稱有10人被打死,但據其叛逃軍官揭露:上千人被殺,數千人被捕。這與緬甸民間的說法相吻合。
全世界的目光投向緬甸,也投向中國。因為,誰都知道,中國政府,是緬甸政府的唯一和最大靠山。這種關係,要追溯到上世紀中葉。中共在中國奪取政權後,又轉而向東南亞大舉“輸出”革命。最初,中共試圖培植緬甸共產黨,但歸於失敗;於是轉而支持靠政變上台的緬甸軍政權。之後,中共政權和緬甸軍政權,打得火熱,數十年如一日,號稱“胞波情誼”。
1988年,緬甸爆發民主運動,遭軍政權血洗,3千多人喪生,是為1989年中國“六四”大屠殺的預演;今年,仰光再度爆發民主示威,再度遭到軍政權血腥鎮壓,更被外界解讀為北京“六四”慘案的重演。各自製造的大屠殺,各自受到的國際製裁,將中緬兩個獨裁政權,更緊地綁在一起。
中共在緬甸砸下15億美元,建立起高科技電子監控和作戰網絡係統,將一北一南、一大一小的兩個獨裁政權連為一體。利用這套係統,兩個獨裁政權,可共同監視緬甸克倫族、華族(緬甸華人)和瓦族等少數民族的遊擊隊活動;同時,共同監視經過印度洋和馬六甲海峽的所有船隻,包括美國戰艦;對中方來說,還可借機監視其“戰略競爭對手”—- 印度。
當倒行逆施的緬甸軍政權成為國際社會、乃至東南亞的棄兒和孤兒的時候,中共毫不汗顏地站在緬甸軍政權背後,填補緬甸的國際真空。中方從緬方得到的回報,是該國的能源和資源:石油、天然氣、寶石和木材。僅2005年,中國就從緬甸進口了3.5億美元以上的木材,其中大部分是非法交易,以至於,中緬邊境寶貴的原始森林幾乎被砍伐一光;2005年,中方開出185億美元的天價,擬收購美國優尼科(Unocal)石油公司,原因之一就在於,優尼科擁有在緬甸沿海的雅達那油氣田,該油氣田擁有超過1千4百億立方米的天然氣儲量,一旦轉歸中共,其勢不可想象。中共的收購,因美國朝野反對,最終失手;如今,中緬兩國又開始修建從緬甸亞拉坎(Arakan)到中國雲南省、全長2380公裏的石油天然氣管道。
北京方麵,極力把中緬關係,描繪為僅僅是經貿關係。然而,中共給予緬甸大量軍事和經濟援助,主要用以鞏固雙邊政府關係,進而鞏固兩個獨裁政權的統治。畢竟,這樣的獨裁統治,在世界上,已經漸漸變得稀少,孤寡落單,猶如瀕臨滅絕的稀有動物,自然需要“猩猩相惜”。
中共在緬甸的大量投資,並沒有給緬甸帶來繁榮,更沒有給緬甸民眾帶來實惠。緬甸民眾依然陷於貧困。倒是在官場腐敗方麵,緬甸效法中國,亦步亦趨。去年,緬甸軍頭丹瑞為其女兒舉行盛大婚禮,10分鍾的婚禮短片,迅速流傳到互聯網上,引發緬甸民眾極度憤怒。鏡頭裏,丹瑞的女兒丹達瑞穿金戴銀,滿身珠光寶氣;婚禮豪華,極盡鋪張,猶如舊時代的皇室;婚禮氣氛,奢華淫靡,放浪形骸。這一切,充分顯示緬甸軍方特權階層與廣大民眾的巨大貧富差距。 “國際透明”組織最新公布的“貪汙印象指數”報告中,將緬甸與索馬裏並列為全球最腐敗國家。
緬甸爆發民主示威之後,聯合國與文明國家,都寄希望於中國,指望北京當局能夠對緬甸軍政權施壓,不要鎮壓民眾;國際社會還對北京報以更不切實際的指望:讓緬甸軍政府與民眾對話,進而實現緬甸“政治和解”。
緬甸民眾再度慘遭軍政權血洗的結果,證明,外界對中共的指望,根本是緣木求魚。但為什麽,還要知不可為而為之?究其緣由,一則出於無奈:緬甸危機,繞不過中國,沒有中共政權的合作,緬甸問題,永遠無解;二則出於幻想:以為中共礙於2008年北京奧運會,顧及自身國際形象,可能出麵製約緬甸軍政權,不得胡作非為。
不用說,出於共同的獨裁本性,中共本身與緬甸軍政權沆瀣一氣;即便說,中共顧及北京奧運會,願意策略性地對緬甸軍政權施壓,也未必能夠辦得到。緬甸軍政權自有算盤:如果它失去支配能力,中共將毫不猶豫地拋棄它,轉而與緬甸反對派合作;如果它能夠控製局麵,中共將不得不繼續給予它扶持。要穩住中共這個大靠山,進而逃避國際法庭的起訴,緬甸軍政權的唯一選擇,就是將鎮壓和屠殺進行到底。
因此,說到向緬甸軍政權施壓,中共既無心也無力。中共的外交辭令一如既往:“我們呼籲各方保持克製。”說的是“各方”,而不是“緬甸當局”。這就好比:麵對一個再度行凶的殺人慣犯,民眾盡都譴責,有人不去製止殺人犯,反而說什麽“各人保持克製”。其陰陽怪氣,不言而喻。