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2009房屋市場展望

(2009-01-03 16:40:08)

前言：我住在洛杉磯，但目前還沒有買房子。聽說洛杉磯的房屋市場將會在2009年繼續領跌全美(CNNMoney:10worstreal-estatemarketsfor2009,http://money.cnn.com/galleries/2008/fortune/0812/gallery.worst_markets.fortune/index.html)，許多有房子的華人朋友堅信房市不會繼續下滑(駝鳥心態?)，而還沒有買房的朋友多在談論抄底房市(抄底抄在半山腰?)，於是我決定利用這假日做一番自己的獨立研究,特與各位分享。[閱讀全文]

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How are FMN & FRE doing?

(2008-09-29 00:09:42)

AnyoneboughtFMNandFREearlylastweekenjoyedasignificantgainandsomeofthemprobablyalreadylockedtheprofit.Justlikethebroadmarket,thesetwoguysarealsowaitingatthekeypointandwonderingwhichwaytogo.Iftheyareabletobreakthroughtheresistancelinewiththehelpofbailoutplan,theymaypresentanotherphenomenalgain.Letusseehowitturnsoutnextweek...
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My homework regarding current market

(2008-09-28 23:36:46)

Itisoneofthosekeypointofthemarkets.SoIwouldliketogetpreparedforthepotentialbigmovementnextweek.Itappearsthatthemarketisreadyforashorttermbigupmove.However,theriskisstillsubstantial.itwillbesomehowdisastrousifthebailoutplancan\'tchangethecurrentdowntrend,orevenfailtostimulateameaningfuljump.
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I believe that house price will have a big dive soon!

(2008-03-16 23:24:37)

Housemarketisamarket,soitwillalsohavetopandbottom.SincethehousemarkethastopedprobablylastJulyandhasjuststartedgoingdown,itwilltakesomemoretimetoreachbottom,maybein3-5yearsorlonger.Sincehousepriceincreased2-5foldsinlast5-8yearsdependingonthelocations,Ibelievethathousepricewillatleastdrop50%innextfiveyears.Themeltdownofthehousemarketwillneedsomecatalystlikethesubprimeloan,whichwillcreatepropersellin...[閱讀全文]

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Crash of california house market on the way (圖)

(2008-03-15 20:48:41)

ThemedianhomepriceinCaliforniahasdroppedabout22%comparedthesametimeayearago(http://www.car.org/index.php?id=MzE3ODY=).Thesalevolumehasdropped30%andthemediantimeofthefor-salehomeonmarketincreased120%comparedtoayearago.Asyoucanseefromthefigure,therealcrashoftheCaliforniahousemarketstartedlastSeptemberandisgettingworse.Themedianhomepriceslashedalmost10%inonlyjustonemonthinJanuary.Itispossibletha...[閱讀全文]

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