天下縱橫

隨筆而已。不必當真。
博文
(2009-12-23 10:21:37)
有一說:非常沒有錢的男人怎麽可能有氣質?記得中國曆史上有一文學家劉禹錫寫過一篇《陋室銘》:山不在高,有仙則名。水不在深,有龍則靈。斯是陋室,惟吾德馨。苔痕上皆綠
,草色入簾青。談笑有鴻儒,往來無白丁。可以調素琴,閱金經。無絲竹之亂耳,無
案牘之勞形。南陽諸葛廬,西蜀子雲亭。孔子雲:「何陋之有?」氣質和財富,沒有必然的關係。氣質一定[閱讀全文]
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(天下無馬)
Modernbankingsystemisafractionalreservesystem.Thatforeveryone-dollardeposit,bankswilllendout9dollars.Yousee,debts(orloans)arethemoneytobankers.Oncetheyreceiveone-dollardeposit.Theycanturnaroundtoborrow9dollarfromprimarybankatlowerinterestratethenlendoutathigherinterestratetomakeafewbucksinratedifferences.Therefore,loansaremoneytothebankers.Theywanttolendasmuchasbankingreserveguideli...[閱讀全文]
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(2009-12-21 08:04:33)
(天下無馬)
Some“guru”inWXCpromotedanotionthatbecauseUSDisareservecurruncy,becauseUSDhasalargepercentageinEuroDollarcirculation,thatUScanprintatitswishtocauseinflationinothercoutrywithoutsameoccursintheUS.
Boy,whatalittlemindthatdoesnotevenunderstandhowfinancialworldworks.Theassumptionofthatconclusionisthatothercountriesaredumb,thatothergovernmentsareincapable.Well,he(she)nevertravelledto...[閱讀全文]
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TheLegoEconomyofAmericaandhowtofixit
Itisnosecretthatoureconomyisindeepwater,despiteWallStreetJournalandBernanke’sclaimingoftherecovery.Californiaisacondensedversionofstates.Withstateisonbrinkofbankruptcy,itpaysgovernmentworkersIOUsinsteadofcash.ComparingthedebtsanddeficitsofCaliforniawiththeUS,onehastowonderwhatisnextforthecountry!
Oureconomy,ifnotinterferedbymonetarypolicy,isjustaregula...[閱讀全文]
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(2009-09-25 20:13:01)
Therearemanypeoplethinktheyarethegurusofinvestment,butarethey,thatincludesme.
Theylovetotalkaboutinvesting.Butwhatis"investing"?
InvestingintheFEDarchitectedboomandbustcyclehasdifferentmeaning.Oneisspeculating;theotherisleveraging.
BeinginWXCsomanyyears,Iobservedthatmostpeopleareinoneofthesetwocategories.
Investinginessenceshallreallymeansavings.Yousavetheextraandhopetoaccumulateen...[閱讀全文]
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ItisdeclaredbyBenBernankeyesterdaythat“recessionisover”.Wow,whataclaim,whataninjectionofconfidences.Weshallparty,weshallhavetoast,weshallstartspending,andmoreimportantly,weshallstartborrowing!!
Yousee,debtsaremoneytobankers.Iftheyprintmoneyandyoudon’tborrow,wheretheirprofitswillbeonyourinterestpayments?Themilliondollar(thatisnotmuchmoneythosedaysandwillbemuchlessdowntheroad)questionis:Where...[閱讀全文]
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Stockmarkettraditionallyisaplaceforcompaniestoborrowmoneybysellingitsshares.Thefunctionofstockmarkethaslongexpandedbeyondthatbasicfunctions.
Itistoutedasaplaceto"invest".
Itistoutedasa"wealthpot".
Whatitreallyis?
Stockmarketinprincipleisarepresentationofeconomyatlarge.Butitisgraduallosingwhatitisoriginallyintendedfor.Today,inFEDeye,itisabuffertoabsorbtheliquidit...[閱讀全文]
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(2009-07-16 17:18:36)
論人民幣之前景天下無馬在全球貨幣同步貶值下,人民幣之前景如何,是一有意思的命題。貨幣的興亡,是一國的興亡。曆史證明了這一點:強國無弱幣,弱幣非強國。如當政者連這也不懂,國家的遠景就堪憂了。當人民幣和美元的匯率掛鉤,人民幣就成了美元的附屬貨幣。美元的操縱就必然導致人民幣的興亡。哥倫比亞的教授蒙代爾曾經指出:在國家的貨幣自主權,物價穩定和[閱讀全文]
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CanfoodshortagehappeninAmerica?Thissoundslikeanabsurdquestion.Withsomucharableland,itwouldneverhappenintheUS.Thetruthis,itmayverywellhappeninAmerica.Inreallife,shortagemaynotalwayshappenduetogreaterdemand.Thefundamentalforagricultureproductsareverysound.Thereisworldwidepopulationgrowthwhilearablelandhasnotbeengrowinsync.ByMathusiantheory,therearethreeeffectivewaytocontrolthepopulation:War,Deceasea...[閱讀全文]
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(2009-04-30 20:27:48)
Ihaverecentlythoughtaboutit:whyafewofusarebearishwhileallothersarebulls?
Lookingback,Ireflectedthatbearsarethosewelleducated.Mostofusspendsignificanttimetounderstandthehistoryandfinancialsystemalongwithmonetarypolicies.
Oneamazingrecollection,thebearsarethose"haves"insteadof"havenots".Bearsareconsistantlyexamthestrategies.Insteadofspeculatingforquickreturn,bearsaremoreconcernedwithpreservi...[閱讀全文]
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