猛牛
以曆史為借鑒， 以現實為根據， 以獨立判斷為基礎， 以長期投資為目標， 以基本麵分析為手段， 來謀求理想的長期盈利。
博文
(2018-05-08 06:29:05)
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-why-peak-earnings-dont-mean-its-all-downhill-for-the-stock-market-2018-05-07[閱讀全文]
(2018-05-05 16:08:46)
太多的錢不在股市裏，都在外麵等著。 （1）房價那麽高，沒有賺頭， （2）債券價格那麽高，FED加息，價格走低。 （3）CASH吧，通脹為2%，每年貶值2% 隻有股價已有調整，估值適中，前途看好。 看看下麵的支票賬戶的曆年餘額就知道，大量大量的閑錢在外麵等著。支票賬戶隻是個縮影而已，就算全進股市回到曆史水平也隻有$1000-1500B,而大量的閑錢可能有幾萬或幾十[閱讀全文]
(2018-04-29 17:21:45)
牛牛的好日子，快來了。
拭目以待。。。。。。。
[閱讀全文]
(2018-04-29 16:43:09)
OneFidelityexpertlookstopastcorrectionsforcluestotoday'sopportunities.Keytakeaways Since1960,therehaveonlybeen10correctionsintheUSstockmarketassteepandfastasthepullbackinFebruary,whichhada10%declinein9tradingdays. Historically,stockshavegenerallyperformedwellaftersuchsharpcorrections,withpositive12-monthreturnsfollowing8ofthe10corrections,andanaveragegainof17%. Lookingbackto1955,themarkethasha...[閱讀全文]
(2018-04-29 14:51:07)
https://www.seeitmarket.com/2018-stock-correction-5-historical-examples-market-returns-17786/FACTSINSTEADOFFEARInaseparatepost,wecompared2018tonumerousplungeperiodsinhistory(1955,1987,1998,2000,2007,2011,and2015).Havingstudiedmarketsforyears,wecanconfidentlysaythedatawehaveinhandin2018,onmultipletimeframes,looksalmostnothinglikethedatawehadinhandbeforeplungesin2000and2007.Themostsimilarperiodsare1...[閱讀全文]
(2018-04-29 14:44:19)
Historyisonthesideofthosewhothinkstockswillseesmallergainsnextyearandacorrection. Strategasanalystsstudiedyearswheretherewereshallowsell-offsintheS&P500,likethisyear,andtheyfoundtheycorrelatedtostrongmarketperformance,likethisyear. Butinthefollowingyear,therewasanaverage12percentcorrectionandanaveragegainofjust5percent,coincidentallyjustlikeanalystsareforecastingfornextyear. St...[閱讀全文]
(2018-04-28 20:52:18)
(2018-04-28 17:56:07)
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-the-change-in-bond-yields-not-the-level-that-should-worry-stock-market-investors-2018-04-27There’snothingmagicalabouta3%10-yearyield:RosenbergInvestorsarehotlydebatingwhethera3%yieldonthe10-yearTreasurynotewillupendthestockmarket.ButDavidRosenberg,chiefeconomistatGluskinSheff,saysthatdebatedoesn’tcorrectlyframetheissue.Instead,investorsshouldbefocu...[閱讀全文]
(2018-04-28 16:56:28)
(2018-04-28 15:14:22)
常常聽人說，股市這麽高誰接盤，誰來買。沒人買，就會跌。這要看情況。
實際上，股市的推高是自然而然的，日常的日衝交易就可以推高股市，根本不需要增加額外資金的進場。
數學模型如下：
假如A，B兩人各有10元現金。A用3元買了某股票Z，A想獲利套現，加價出讓，結果以4元賣給了B。B再加價以5元賣回給A。A再以6元賣給B。A，B共有現金始終為20元，股市僅憑現有的[閱讀全文]
