所以我們先把話說清楚：沒有哪家公司會因為川普對 H-1B 簽證加了10萬美元的稅就“犧牲人才”。為什麽？因為人才不是財務報表上的一項支出，它是引擎。而事實是：印度人才就是這個引擎。
那公司們到底會怎麽做？
科技巨頭（Google、Amazon、Microsoft）： 他們會在公開場合抱怨、在華盛頓遊說、在 CNBC 上哭訴“技術人才短缺”…… 然後私下裏像掏零錢一樣付掉那10萬美元，因為不雇傭頂尖印度工程師的代價是它的100倍。
谘詢巨頭（Infosys、TCS、Accenture）： 他們會把成本轉嫁給客戶。簽證要10萬美元？恭喜你，你的項目成本剛剛漲了50萬。問題解決。
初創公司： 有些會大喊“我們負擔不起！”然後意識到替代方案是本地招聘——成本翻倍，技能減半。你猜他們會選哪個？（提示：他們還是會努力把印度人才帶過來，隻是在投資人電話裏換個更好聽的理由。）
華爾街和金融界： 你真的覺得高盛會說：“哎呀，我們因為這10萬美元不能雇那個量化分析師了”？ 他們在 Cipriani 一頓公司晚餐就花掉那麽多。美國經濟靠的是印度代碼、印度數學、印度數據管道。 簽證費漲也好、降也好、變成一百萬也好，公司們還是會找到辦法。 因為有個不太光彩的事實：美國的創新已經外包給印度人才整整二十年了。
為什麽公司不會妥協：
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因為截止日期不會等簽證政策。
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因為人才比失敗便宜。
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因為“印度製造，美國部署”是矽穀不言而喻的支柱。
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因為權力關係已經反轉：不是印度人追簽證，是公司追印度人。
真正的諷刺是：美國以為自己在給印度工程師加稅，實際上是在給自己的公司加稅。而這些公司會心甘情願地買單，隻為了把印度人才留在係統裏。
所以，是的，10萬美元很貴。
但失去那些讓你的服務器運轉、產品發貨、股價維持的人？那是無價的。
辯論時間：你覺得誰會先妥協——公司，還是人才？
So let's get one thing straight no company is going to 'sacrifice talent' just because Trump slapped a $100k tax on H-1Bs. Why? Because talent isn't a line item on a balance sheet. It's the engine. And the truth is: Indian talent is that engine.
What will companies really do?
Big Tech (Google, Amazon, Microsoft): -They'll complain publicly, lobby in Washington, cry on CNBC about "shortage of skilled workers"... - And then quietly pay the $100k like it's pocket change because the cost of NOT hiring top Indian engineers is 100x bigger.
Consulting Giants (Infosys, TCS, Accenture): They'll just pass the cost on to clients. $100k for a visa? Congratulations, your project cost just went up $500k. Problem solved.
Startups: Some will scream "we can't afford this!" then realize the alternative is hiring locally at double the cost with half the skills. Guess what they'll pick? (Clue: they'll still fight to bring Indians over, just with a shinier excuse in investor calls.) Wall Street & Finance Do you really think Goldman Sachs will say, "Oh no, we can't hire that quant from IT because of $100k"?
They blow that much on one company dinner at Cipriani. The U.S. economy runs on Indian code, Indian math, Indian data pipelines. Raise the visa fee, lower it, make it a million dollars companies will still find ways Because here's the dirty little secret: American innovation has been outsourced to Indian talent for two decades. Why companies won't compromise -Because deadlines don't wait for visa policies. -Because talent is cheaper than failure. -Because "Made in India, Deployed in USA" is the unspoken backbone of Silicon Valley. -Because the power balance has flipped: Indians don't chase visas, companies chase Indians. The real joke? America thinks it's taxing Indian engineers. But in reality, it's taxing its own companies and those companies will happily pay the bill just to keep Indian talent in their system.
So yeah, $100k is expensive.
But losing the people who keep your servers running, your products shipped, and your stock price alive? That's priceless. Debate time: Who do you think will actually bend first the companies or the talent?
