1. GPT說我孩子被第3檔safety學校 錄取也隻有70%可能性。
2.它推薦的reach 學校，說最合適的是YM Penn, 但是可能性還都很低。
- At each of these schools, the base chance is very low (~3–5%), because everyone is exceptional.
- X's resume puts her at the top tier of applicants — she’s not just competitive, she’s the kind of student these schools admit.
- Penn (because of research ties), Yale (because of her interdisciplinary strengths), and MIT (because of STEM focus) may be her best shots among the reaches.
3. 我補充了faculty信息，小豬爸爸說可以拿來保底的學校GPT也隻給了35-50%
Penn Admission Odds for X
- Baseline odds (unhooked): ~5% admit rate overall. For a student with X's record, maybe closer to 8–10% (since she’s well above the academic bar).
- Faculty child boost: Penn is known to strongly support faculty families. Internal reports and anecdotal evidence suggest acceptance rates for faculty children can be in the 25–40% range, depending on academic strength.
Realistic odds at Penn: ~35–50%.
That makes Penn her most likely Ivy admit by far, and much closer to a “target” than a “reach.”
