郭文貴提供的DNA報告掩蓋了名字和測試係列號,我略去了次要信息,並將表格稍做了編排。表中最後一列是我給的配對結果,緣於DNA分子的雙鏈結構特性----分別傳自父與母; 在任意一個測試位點有一個數據符合,那麽配對就是 match,我標記為 y, 兩個數據都符合我標記為 yy,兩個數據都不符合,就是 not match, 記為 N。
總共測試了27個位點(外加一個性別測試位點),有7個 N: not match, 14個 y: 單配, 6個 yy: 雙配。原始報告上的解釋是:兩人同父同母的可能性是1.1%,不同父的可能性是93比1,計算結果是基於“兩人是同母”的預先假定。
我有一個疑問,如果不預先假設他們同母,計算結果又如何?根據這些測試數據,同母的可能性多大?不同母的可能性由多大? 也許這裏有專業人士能給出分析結果。
至於文字我就不翻譯了,詳細情形請參看:文學城新聞首頁--2017-07-26郭文貴的爆料。
“貫君 和 劉某某”的 DNA 測試表
Name | Asian 1 | Asian 2 | Match ? | |||
Locus | PI | Allele sizes | Allele sizes | |||
D3S1358 | 0.81 | 16 | 15 | 16 | y | |
vWA | 0.77 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 18 | y |
D16S539 | 0.75 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 10 | y |
TPOX | 0.76 | 8 | 8 | 11 | y | |
D18S51 | 0.50 | 15 | 21 | 14 | 16 | N |
D2S441 | 2.23 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | yy |
D19S433 | 0.84 | 15.2 | 16 | 14.2 | 15.2 | y |
TH01 | 0.79 | 7 | 9 | 9 | y | |
FGA | 0.50 | 22 | 23 | 24 | N | |
D22S1045 | 0.70 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 17 | y |
D5S818 | 0.79 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | y |
D13S317 | 0.76 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 11 | y |
D7S820 | 0.77 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 12 | y |
SE33 | 0.50 | 25.2 | 26.2 | 22.2 | 30.2 | N |
D10S1248 | 0.50 | 14 | 13 | 15 | N | |
D2S1338 | 0.50 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 23 | N |
D8S115 | 2.88 | 16 | 19 | 16 | 19 | yy |
D9S1122 | 1.74 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | yy |
D17S1301 | 1.70 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | yy |
D9S2157 | 0.83 | 13 | 15 | 13 | y | |
D3S4529 | 2.16 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | yy |
D14S1434 | 0.70 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 14 | y |
LPL | 0.50 | 10 | 11 | 12 | N | |
F138 | 1.26 | 10 | 10 | yy | ||
F13A01 | 0.77 | 3.2 | 6 | 6 | y | |
Penta C | 0.79 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 12 | y |
Penta E | 0.50 | 18 | 20 | 11 | 12 | N |
Amelogenin | X | Y | X | Y |
Interpretation:
Combined Siblingship Index: 0.0108
DNA testing was done to determine sibilingship of the alleged siblings. Based on testing results obtained from analyses of the DNA loci listed, the probability of full-sibilingship is 1.1%. The likelihood that they do not share the same biological father is 93 to 1. This probability of sibilingship is calculated by comparing to an untested, unrelated, random individual of the Asian population(assumes prior probability equals 0.50). These results are based on the assumption that the alleged siblings share a common mother.
... Laboratory Director (Joy Johnson, Ph.D) verifies that the interpretation of the results is correct as reported on 7/17/2017.