根據以下勞工積壓處理中心最新數據
目前還有176000積壓待審批的勞工申請.
這些申請的時間大部分在2003年以後
按照已經處理的180000 件申請中有 50% WITHDRAW
剩餘176000份申請中,合理估計有效申請案件大概:85000
這些人大部分應該是先拿H1B,再申請勞工卡
中國人曆年占的H1-B名額比例都超過10%
所以在積壓待審批的勞工申請中,我們中國人應該有8500個左右
這其中,假設EB2/EB3各占50%(事實上EB2應該占多點是合理猜測)
這也就是說,
在今後1年中,將會有8500個批準的勞工申請等待提交485
他們(包括主審請人和家屬)所需配額肯定大於10000
而USCIS分配給中國的職業移民年配額(包括主審請人和家屬)小於10000個(7%*140,000)
由此可見
FY2007 的10000個中國配額恐怕無法滿足從BEC出來的申請人和家屬
EB2排期:
現在EB2的排期(04/2005)已經超過BEC的截止日期
再加上2005/10後PERM申請(及其140)大量快速批準
所以EB2排期在今後一年中很難有大幅前進到2005/10 後麵的可能
EB3排期:
現在EB3的排期就很遙遠(05/2002)
再加上原來猜測的245i(04/2001)的申請並不多
所以EB3排期在今後一年中前進1~2年大有可能,最壞也應該比上一年前進速度快才合理
its just my guess,don't take it too seriously.
（abridged from www.immigration-law.com）
AILA-DOL Liaison Meeting Minute of 09/12/2006 gives update on the BEC backlog processing as follows:
Status of Processing of Cases:
Total Cases=362,000
Pending Cases=approximately 176,000 (45-day letters for all of these pending cases with a few exceptions have been issued)
Completed Cases=approximately 182,000 cases. These cases are completed in the following fashions:
50%=Closed or Withdrawn or Closed for No Response to 45-Day Letters
50%=Either Approved or Denied
At the front-end, the cases are processed on FIFO based on the priority date, but adjudication is done on FIFO based on the order of responses to the requests.
Processing Times may be posted on the website in the near future.
目前還有176000積壓待審批的勞工申請.
這些申請的時間大部分在2003年以後
按照已經處理的180000 件申請中有 50% WITHDRAW
剩餘176000份申請中,合理估計有效申請案件大概:85000
這些人大部分應該是先拿H1B,再申請勞工卡
中國人曆年占的H1-B名額比例都超過10%
所以在積壓待審批的勞工申請中,我們中國人應該有8500個左右
這其中,假設EB2/EB3各占50%(事實上EB2應該占多點是合理猜測)
這也就是說,
在今後1年中,將會有8500個批準的勞工申請等待提交485
他們(包括主審請人和家屬)所需配額肯定大於10000
而USCIS分配給中國的職業移民年配額(包括主審請人和家屬)小於10000個(7%*140,000)
由此可見
FY2007 的10000個中國配額恐怕無法滿足從BEC出來的申請人和家屬
EB2排期:
現在EB2的排期(04/2005)已經超過BEC的截止日期
再加上2005/10後PERM申請(及其140)大量快速批準
所以EB2排期在今後一年中很難有大幅前進到2005/10 後麵的可能
EB3排期:
現在EB3的排期就很遙遠(05/2002)
再加上原來猜測的245i(04/2001)的申請並不多
所以EB3排期在今後一年中前進1~2年大有可能,最壞也應該比上一年前進速度快才合理
its just my guess,don't take it too seriously.
（abridged from www.immigration-law.com）
AILA-DOL Liaison Meeting Minute of 09/12/2006 gives update on the BEC backlog processing as follows:
Status of Processing of Cases:
Total Cases=362,000
Pending Cases=approximately 176,000 (45-day letters for all of these pending cases with a few exceptions have been issued)
Completed Cases=approximately 182,000 cases. These cases are completed in the following fashions:
50%=Closed or Withdrawn or Closed for No Response to 45-Day Letters
50%=Either Approved or Denied
At the front-end, the cases are processed on FIFO based on the priority date, but adjudication is done on FIFO based on the order of responses to the requests.
Processing Times may be posted on the website in the near future.
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