my calculation 回複：2005 Sep takes about 40% 140 applications d

we don't know how many people from china vs. from india submitted their I-140/485 in late sept, 2005, so...

140,000(EB all) * 7% (per country quota) * 28% (Eb2) = 2744
extra applicants in sept and oct in vsc = 2000 (avg 2500/mo)
total for all 4 ctrs = 7000
IF china vs. india = 4:1, then 7000 * 1/5 = 5600 for china
IF EB2 vs. EB1 = 4:1, then 5600 * 1/5 = 4480 => 4500 for china eb2
So, the worst case could be WITHOUT cut-off factor, visa number = number of applicants,
then we have to wait about 2 yrs

but,
1. EB1 numbers can be reallocated to EB2
2. visa numbers > number of EB2 applicants
3. new visa number will be out in this oct

my guess, by the end of this year, eb2 will become current for late-sept-2005 applicants