prediction on the cut-off date for EB2 China

I don’t believe Eb-2 china will become current in near future. I t is really unfair for those hold by backlog center. The rapid forward movement of employment-based (EB) immigrant visa numbers was possible because the cases in Backlog center were not processed as fast as originally prediction. The forward movement for the Visa Bulletin cutoff dates cannot continue over the long term. People with PD after April 1, 2005 may have to wait at least one to two year to become current.
USCIS don’t want waste visa number, this is a factor to move forward recently.
However, when you look at below number, I don’t understand why some people are extremely optimistic:
TOTAL H-1B & L-1 from China: 20410 (2002); 16688 (2003); 19401(2004) NA for (2005)
I-485 approval for EB2 China is about 9346 in 2005. The total EB approval is over 240000 in 2005 fiscal year. However, for 2006 fiscal year, the total EB visa number is only 150k.

Therefore, I predicted the cut-off date will move to Sept, 2004 in next three months. (Because USCIS don’t want waste visa number) Then forward movement will become very slow and even stop then. The principle of first-in first out can not be seriously violated.

所有跟帖： 

• 回複：prediction on the cut-off date for EB2 China -Shizhenxin03- ♂ (188 bytes) () 04/21/2006 postreply 08:02:09

• 回複：prediction on the cut-off date for EB2 China -kyky010- ♂ (78 bytes) () 04/21/2006 postreply 11:34:19

• No ! -Webelieve- ♂ (0 bytes) () 04/21/2006 postreply 13:55:03