很同意Vivian的觀,我補下我的觀:

本帖於 2025-12-03 18:38:19 時間, 由普通用戶 青雨紫煙 編輯

Vivian's post:

https://bbs.wenxuecity.com/currentevent/3841982.html

補下我的觀,英文不容易說錯意。

China, Europe, Russia, and the United States form the multi-pillars of today’s global order. While the U.S. still holds military and economic advantages, China’s rapid rise means America can no longer dominate alone. This multipolar balance is inherently unstable; if it persists without clear leadership, the world could drift back toward a “law of the jungle,” with the risk of internal wars or even genocides when no superpower is strong enough to enforce restraint.

The best path forward is for democratic nations to share regional responsibilities: Europe should take the lead in countering Russia, the U.S. together with Japan, Korea, and Australia should manage the Indo-Pacific and China, and Israel should handle threats in the Middle East. The U.S. cannot overstretch itself across every region without weakening its overall power.

Crucially, Washington must stand firmly with its European allies and maintain sustained pressure on Russia. Staying united and persistent is essential: Russia is already weakened, and continued transatlantic resolve can decisively contain it. Once Russia is brought down to a manageable level, addressing China and other authoritarian challengers will become far easier.

Trying to pull Russia away from China while alienating Europe, as the Trump administration attempted, is strategically misguided. Russia and China cannot realistically be separated; their geopolitical incentives tie them together. And once Russia eventually rebuilds its strength, it will not forget its biggest adversary - the United States of America. Historical grievances cannot be erased by simply turning over a new leaf. Only a strong, united democratic alliance can shape a stable future.

Trump will only serve one term. Between now and next year’s midterms, Ukraine can survive and hold its ground against the aggressor together with NATO and EU. After that, we can put U.S. foreign policy back on the right track. On domestic matters, he made no major mistakes.

所有跟帖: 

strategist with principle values -voiceofme- 給 voiceofme 發送悄悄話 voiceofme 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 18:47:00

中國站錯了隊。中國沒有盟友,美國一個呼哨,都跑美國那邊去了 -victor1988- 給 victor1988 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 18:56:27

you just refuse to wake up to the situation. -青雨紫煙- 給 青雨紫煙 發送悄悄話 青雨紫煙 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:07:53

還自大反美呢,中國現在多難啊,國內就業;國外的盟友敘利亞、哈馬斯、伊朗都趴下了、委內瑞拉也快了、東南亞小弟們都跑美國那邊 -victor1988- 給 victor1988 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:13:46

再支持俄羅斯它也打不贏,俄羅斯要是輸了中國還承受不起 -victor1988- 給 victor1988 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:17:55

昨天叫什麽Wang Yi在Moscow同一天Witkoff team和普京談,這就是告訴我們you no longer -青雨紫煙- 給 青雨紫煙 發送悄悄話 青雨紫煙 的博客首頁 (109 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:24:04

軍隊腐敗多嚴重啊 -victor1988- 給 victor1988 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:26:56

看看美國、川普,就出點舊武器給烏克蘭,歐洲中東日本台灣等都紛紛掏錢買美國武器,簽了一堆礦產合同,撈了天量投資 -victor1988- 給 victor1988 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:25:16

Have they delivered the promised results? You need to wait -青雨紫煙- 給 青雨紫煙 發送悄悄話 青雨紫煙 的博客首頁 (17 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:29:00

時壇看到的關於美國國際戰略的最清晰的文章 -voiceofme- 給 voiceofme 發送悄悄話 voiceofme 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:01:00

謝謝! -青雨紫煙- 給 青雨紫煙 發送悄悄話 青雨紫煙 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:08:15

完全是老中思維下的美國戰略,和美國人給中國製定戰略一個道理:) -Dotline- 給 Dotline 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:59:49

美國很多所謂高明戰略都是事後追認的。美國最底層最核心價值成功率最高。 -Dotline- 給 Dotline 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 20:11:14

討論嘛,no right or wrong answers. Please state yours. -青雨紫煙- 給 青雨紫煙 發送悄悄話 青雨紫煙 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 20:22:33

川總幹得就很好,隻要他老人家不嫌累不怕傷名聲。想理解美國人所謂戰略多看football -Dotline- 給 Dotline 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 20:33:52

I grew up with them. I am asking your view not others’ view. -青雨紫煙- 給 青雨紫煙 發送悄悄話 青雨紫煙 的博客首頁 (67 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 20:53:14

Forget what I said. Have fun! -Dotline- 給 Dotline 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 21:14:46

名聲是什麽?有人話大陸人總喜名聲this or that, nonsense -青雨紫煙- 給 青雨紫煙 發送悄悄話 青雨紫煙 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 20:42:48

Reputation每個政治人都care吧,川總特別好麵子名聲 -Dotline- 給 Dotline 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 20:54:19

Reputation is built on credibility not anything else. -青雨紫煙- 給 青雨紫煙 發送悄悄話 青雨紫煙 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 20:59:31

美國要做的是,強迫和支持歐洲能站出來和俄對抗。 -voiceofme- 給 voiceofme 發送悄悄話 voiceofme 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:04:00

川普第一任時強迫歐洲增加軍費,還遭到許多質疑和嘲笑。 -Uusequery- 給 Uusequery 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:09:25

是,要讓歐洲去和俄談,不談就讓俄看到我們堅決和歐洲占一道! -青雨紫煙- 給 青雨紫煙 發送悄悄話 青雨紫煙 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:09:49

這次EU 2027年斷俄的天然氣,有川普推的功。 -青雨紫煙- 給 青雨紫煙 發送悄悄話 青雨紫煙 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:10:50

Biden's disciple -BeLe- 給 BeLe 發送悄悄話 BeLe 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:05:16

right or wrong? -青雨紫煙- 給 青雨紫煙 發送悄悄話 青雨紫煙 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:11:21

邊打邊談是對,我們手裏有牌不輕易出也對,但是court Russia is terribly wrong.歐洲要加入談判 -青雨紫煙- 給 青雨紫煙 發送悄悄話 青雨紫煙 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:14:19

已經進入垃圾時間了。搞笑的是俄羅斯還沒正是宣戰呢 -victor1988- 給 victor1988 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 19:47:01

烏克蘭也沒正式宣戰。現在跟正式宣戰有啥差別?類似抗日戰爭打了4年後 中國才宣戰,抱美國粗腿。 -highspot- 給 highspot 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 20:42:22

以色列這部分說的不清楚。以色列在行為方式上需要改變。中國和俄羅斯不是因為地緣政治的利益而在一起,而是 -咪嗚- 給 咪嗚 發送悄悄話 咪嗚 的博客首頁 (233 bytes) () 12/03/2025 postreply 22:03:57

以色列和阿拉伯盟友一起。川普挺以色列最大的總統他的abraham accords真盡心力。這次Macron訪中not a -青雨紫煙- 給 青雨紫煙 發送悄悄話 青雨紫煙 的博客首頁 (615 bytes) () 12/04/2025 postreply 04:54:32

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