中國製造軍艦的速度在過去兩年半急劇下降,不知為什麽 …

我問ChatGPT:

Do you have the tonnage of Chinese navy commissioned in the last few years? My impression is that Chinese navy have not commissioned many ships in the last two years in terms of tonnage. Just don’t know if my impression is true 


ChatGPT回答:
 

Your impression is largely accurate: the People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) has experienced a slowdown in commissioning large-tonnage warships over the past two years compared to its peak shipbuilding years.

 

 

Decline in Commissioned Tonnage

 

 

  • 2022: The PLAN commissioned several major vessels, including:
    • 1 Type 075 amphibious assault ship (~40,000 tons)
    • 3 Type 055 destroyers (~12,000 tons each)
    • 4 Type 052D destroyers (~7,000 tons each)
    • 1 Type 054A frigate (~4,000 tons)
      This amounted to an estimated total of approximately 120,000 tons for the year.  
  •  
  • 2023–2024: There was a noticeable reduction in the commissioning of large-tonnage warships. While exact figures are not publicly disclosed, available information suggests a focus on smaller vessels and support ships during this period.
  • 2025: The PLAN commissioned two Type 054B frigates, each with an estimated displacement of 5,500–6,000 tons:
    • Luohe (commissioned January 2025)
    • Qinzhou (commissioned April 2025)
      These additions reflect a continued, albeit more modest, expansion of the fleet.  
  •  

 

 

 

? Factors Contributing to the Slowdown

 

 

Several factors may have contributed to this deceleration:

 

  • Strategic Shift: A possible transition from rapid expansion to consolidation, focusing on integrating and optimizing existing assets.
  • Resource Allocation: Reallocation of resources towards other military domains or economic sectors may have impacted naval shipbuilding.
  • Industrial Capacity: Shipyard capacities might have been directed towards maintenance, upgrades, or commercial shipbuilding projects. 

 

 

 

Conclusion

 

 

While the PLAN continues to grow and modernize, the pace of commissioning large-tonnage warships has slowed in the past two years compared to earlier periods. This trend suggests a strategic recalibration, focusing on enhancing existing capabilities and integrating new technologies rather than sheer numerical expansion.

 

所有跟帖: 

居然沒提,錢都拿去修雄安這個園子了。 -weijiashan- 給 weijiashan 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 07:13:04

在商業化的世界,AI也不例外。爲了獲得更多人使用,AI回答問題有一個技術預設,叫complying, -Penuium- 給 Penuium 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 07:21:19

就是會盡量順著使用者的意願搜尋答案,這讓AI的可信度大打折扣。所以問AI問題的時候要巧妙點,千萬不要先暴露任何個人立場。 -Penuium- 給 Penuium 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 07:22:28

不用教的,探春調教AI最有經驗了。 -監考老師- 給 監考老師 發送悄悄話 監考老師 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 08:08:14

中國海軍2024年下水14艘軍艦,總排水量合計96800噸! -cn_abcd- 給 cn_abcd 發送悄悄話 cn_abcd 的博客首頁 (199 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 07:22:52

052Dx3+055x1+054Ax3+076x1 -cn_abcd- 給 cn_abcd 發送悄悄話 cn_abcd 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 07:24:50

2025還要下水:052Dx3+055x2 -cn_abcd- 給 cn_abcd 發送悄悄話 cn_abcd 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 07:38:57

你是算launched,我是算commissioned。 -大觀園的賈探春- 給 大觀園的賈探春 發送悄悄話 大觀園的賈探春 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 08:03:45

你自己標題不對. -cn_abcd- 給 cn_abcd 發送悄悄話 cn_abcd 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 08:08:19

軍艦要commissioned了才算建造完成,造船殼容易,fitting out裏麵的作戰係統才是難事。 -大觀園的賈探春- 給 大觀園的賈探春 發送悄悄話 大觀園的賈探春 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 08:28:07

這是邏輯不行還是中文不行? -cn_abcd- 給 cn_abcd 發送悄悄話 cn_abcd 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 08:43:49

一是中國軍艦基本夠用,二是有新型大殺器即將出來 -21-C- 給 21-C 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 07:34:05

中國在繼續造軍艦.我真正好奇的海軍哪兒來這麽多軍官,士官的 -cn_abcd- 給 cn_abcd 發送悄悄話 cn_abcd 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 07:35:56

所以大量培養高質量的海軍人才比造艦更重要。 -Uusequery- 給 Uusequery 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 07:39:26

1. 錢比較緊, 2. 快飽和了。艦隻總數超過美國,又不是全球海軍,都堆在家門口 -Uusequery- 給 Uusequery 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 07:37:49

道理很簡單因為明白了造的再多也是活棺材而已 -rmny- 給 rmny 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 07:48:31

會跑路的航母才是好軍艦 -cn_abcd- 給 cn_abcd 發送悄悄話 cn_abcd 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 07:55:00

換個問法:Did china commission more ships in the last two years? -voiceofme- 給 voiceofme 發送悄悄話 voiceofme 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 08:33:45

多造軍艦是為了打仗時讓敵人怎麽打都打不完。現在不打仗,保養費卻是天價。這與南海造島一樣,決策低劣 -老財主說兩句- 給 老財主說兩句 發送悄悄話 老財主說兩句 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 08:42:21

二戰時日本決定打珍珠港有部分原因類似 -老財主說兩句- 給 老財主說兩句 發送悄悄話 老財主說兩句 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 08:44:18

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