你如果去看Vance對這議題的各種訪談和演講,你就會知道為什麽川普要促成俄烏停戰。
我就舉一個例子,那就是Vance在今年二月參加歐洲的慕尼黑安全會議時的演講。那時雖然他還沒被川普選為副手,但他在演講裏多次提到川普,顯然他跟川普在那時候就有許多理念的交流,演講的口氣也儼然以川普理念的發言者自居,很顯然那時候他就是川普屬意的副手。我們來看他的這篇演講:
讀完這篇他對歐洲政治領袖的演講,我們就可以了解到,川普為什麽要促成俄烏的停戰。說白了就是美國必須全力對付中國的崛起。然而美國的武器生產是有限的,既然美國必須全力對付中國的崛起,就無法把這些武器投到俄烏戰爭,演講裏他以愛國者導彈係統作為例子。我把他演講的兩段摘錄如下:
““Now, on the question of European security, I think there’s a fundamental issue here that Europe really has to wake up to. And I offer this in the spirit of friendship, not in the spirit of criticism, because, no, I don’t think that we should pull out of NATO, and no, I don’t think that we should abandon Europe. But yes, I think that we should pivot. The United States has to focus more on East Asia. That is going to be the future of American foreign policy for the next 40 years, and Europe has to wake up to that fact.
“Now, let me just throw a couple of facts out there. Number one, the problem in Ukraine from the perspective of the United States of America, and I represent, I believe, the majority of American public opinion, even though I don’t represent the majority of opinion of senators who come to Munich, is that there’s no clear endpoint, and fundamentally the limiting factors for American support of Ukraine, it’s not money, it’s munitions. America, and this is true, by the way, of Europe too, we don’t make enough munitions to support a war in Eastern Europe, a war in the Middle East, and potentially a contingency in East Asia. So the United States is fundamentally limited.”
所以說川普和萬斯要促成俄烏停戰並不是親俄綏靖或孤立主義,而是背後有全球戰略考量的。