ABC認為選舉膠著:但川普在過去兩周內完成了反轉,由落後變為領先,現在有52%的可能贏得總統選舉

Trump has gained in 538's forecast, but the election is still a toss-up

 

The closest election of the century keeps getting closer. Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. Now — just 18 days away from Election Day — our forecast gives Trump the bare advantage in the race with a 52-in-100 chance to win.*

 

 

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