看看曆史上每年政府deficit,spending,和national debt

本帖於 2024-09-22 17:27:15 時間, 由普通用戶 MoonlightBee 編輯

家人總是說現在的總統候選人人心不古,2000年以後沒有一個候選人把減少national debts作為top priority。之前的總統候選人把增加defict,national debts作為一種恥辱。92年和老布什、克林頓同時競選的一名獨立候選人Ross Perot的競選宣言就是要留給後代一份好看的balance sheet,現在沒人再提了。不論是共和黨還是民主黨執政都在繼續增加debt,增大deficit.  從911之後就一直是deficit,沒有過surplus,之後最大的deficit是2008年金融危機和長期的反恐戰爭之後(反戰是奧巴馬能贏希拉裏的最主要的原因),這裏奧巴馬上台之後發錢造成了很大的deficit, national debt增加了2 trillions。之後奧巴馬表現還算不錯,一直在填補這個鴻溝。到了2016年下台之前已經填補了不少,當時的經濟還是很不錯的,也就是說Trump應該算是很幸運的。當時的FED chairman Bernanke就說過:我們還能繼續保持這樣的低利率。這時候川普接手,不但沒有減少national debt,反而進一步擴大。2017年川普上台,挺好的局麵還比2016多增加了700 billions的debt, deficit又開始往下走。這時候完全沒有必要給企業和富豪減稅,然而為了他自己,他還是做了,所以可以看到即使是在covid的之前他任上的deficit,和national debt進一步惡化,2019比2017多出去2.5 trillion的債務。covid之後就不用說了,數字說話。川普身為共和黨人,沒有秉承共和黨小政府,少government spending的作風,一直都是在搞破壞。

民主黨也一樣,顯然雙方已經都不把降低deficit,national debt放到競選計劃之中了,到了死豬不怕開水燙的地步。一個不停給富人和企業減稅,一個不停給窮人發錢。我們需要一個力挽狂瀾的群體,可惜這個群體還沒出現,或許可以期待我出山去挽一下?嗬嗬。

 

 

National Debt by Year
End of Fiscal Year Debt (in billions, rounded) Debt-to-GDP Ratio Major Events by Presidential Term
1929 $17 16% Market crash
1930 $16 17% Smoot-Hawley reduced trade
1931 $17 22% Dust Bowl drought raged
1932 $20 34% Hoover raised taxes
1933 $23 40% New Deal increased GDP and debt
1934 $27 40%  
1935 $29 39% Social Security
1936 $34 40% Tax hikes renewed depression
1937 $36 39% Third New Deal
1938 $37 42% Dust Bowl ended
1939 $40 51% Depression ended
1940 $43 49% FDR increased spending and raised taxes
1941 $49 44% U.S. entered WWII
1942 $72 48% Defense tripled
1943 $137 70%  
1944 $201 91% Bretton Woods
1945 $259 114% WWII ended
1946 $269 119% Truman's 1st term budgets and recession
1947 $258 103% Cold War
1948 $252 92% Recession
1949 $253 93% Recession
1950 $257 86% Korean War boosted growth and debt
1951 $255 74%  
1952 $259 71%  
1953 $266 68% Recession when war ended
1954 $271 69% Eisenhower's budgets and Recession
1955 $274 64%  
1956 $273 61%  
1957 $271 57% Recession
1958 $276 58% Eisenhower's 2nd term and recession
1959 $285 55% Fed raised rates
1960 $286 54% Recession
1961 $289 52% Bay of Pigs
1962 $298 50% JFK budgets and Cuban missile crisis
1963 $306 48% U.S. aids Vietnam, JFK killed
1964 $312 46% LBJ's budgets and war on poverty
1965 $317 43% U.S. entered Vietnam War
1966 $320 40%  
1967 $326 40%  
1968 $348 39%  
1969 $354 36% Nixon took office
1970 $371 35% Recession
1971 $398 35% Wage and price controls
1972 $427 34% Stagflation
1973 $458 33% Nixon ended gold standard and OPEC oil embargo
1974 $475 31% Watergate and budget process created
1975 $533 32% Vietnam War ended
1976 $620 33% Stagflation
1977 $699 34% Stagflation
1978 $772 33% Carter budgets and recession
1979 $827 32%  
1980 $908 32% Volcker raised fed rate to 20%
1981 $998 31% Reagan tax cut
1982 $1,142 34% Reagan increased spending
1983 $1,377 37% Jobless rate 10.8%
1984 $1,572 38% Increased defense spending
1985 $1,823 41%  
1986 $2,125 46% Reagan lowered taxes
1987 $2,350 48% Market crash
1988 $2,602 50% Fed raised rates
1989 $2,857 51% S&L Crisis
1990 $3,233 54% First Iraq War
1991 $3,665 58% Recession
1992 $4,065 61%  
1993 $4,411 63% Omnibus Budget Act
1994 $4,693 64% Clinton budgets
1995 $4,974 64%  
1996 $5,225 64% Welfare reform
1997 $5,413 63%  
1998 $5,526 60% LTCM crisis and recession
1999 $5,656 58% Glass-Steagall repealed
2000 $5,674 55% Budget surplus
2001 $5,807 55% 9/11 attacks and EGTRRA
2002 $6,228 57% War on Terror
2003 $6,783 59% JGTRRA and Iraq War
2004 $7,379 60% Iraq War
2005 $7,933 61% Bankruptcy Act and Hurricane Katrina.
2006 $8,507 61% Bernanke chaired Fed
2007 $9,008 62% Bank crisis
2008 $10,025 68% Bank bailout and QE
2009 $11,910 82% Bailout cost $250B ARRA added $242B
2010 $13,562 90% ARRA added $400B, payroll tax holiday ended, Obama Tax cuts, ACA, Simpson-Bowles
2011 $14,790 95% Debt crisis, recession and tax cuts reduced revenue
2012 $16,066 99% Fiscal cliff
2013 $16,738 99% Sequester, government shutdown
2014 $17,824 101% QE ended, debt ceiling crisis
2015 $18,151 100% Oil prices fell
2016 $19,573 105% Brexit
2017 $20,245 104% Congress raised the debt ceiling
2018 $21,516 105% Trump tax cuts
2019 $22,719 107% Trade wars
2020 $27,748 129% COVID-19 and 2020 recession
2021 $29,617 124% COVID-19 and American Rescue Plan Act
2022 $31,420 119% Inflation Reduction Act and student loan forgiveness
2023 $34,001 122% Fed raises rates
 

所有跟帖: 

Do it! Lol -Solomon7- 給 Solomon7 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 09/22/2024 postreply 16:45:54

Trump不是共和黨。民主黨實際上是把寶要在AI革命上。所以要公司稅增加。middle減稅是為了選票,沒辦法。 -BJming- 給 BJming 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 09/22/2024 postreply 16:47:32

川開始了各地基建翻新,透支不少 -Dotline- 給 Dotline 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 09/22/2024 postreply 16:50:24

既然要搞基建還給富人和企業減稅?企業把錢都投到股市上給他撐麵子去了。他沒有搞什麽基建,謊話連篇。 -MoonlightBee- 給 MoonlightBee 發送悄悄話 MoonlightBee 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 09/22/2024 postreply 16:52:53

降企業稅為吸引製造業回流。川想做的事情太多,欲速不達且亂 -Dotline- 給 Dotline 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 09/22/2024 postreply 16:56:46

隻降稅不行, 要工人同意減薪才行 -redpanda- 給 redpanda 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 09/22/2024 postreply 17:11:48

相反,應該加薪,保持人才吸引力 -Dotline- 給 Dotline 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 09/22/2024 postreply 17:24:26

沒見到他搞過什麽基建 -5678910- 給 5678910 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 09/22/2024 postreply 16:55:57

搞過都是爛尾,一個鐵路橋,還有Carson的住房部,大爛尾。所以我對Carson恨失望。應該還有一個港口也是爛尾。 -BJming- 給 BJming 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 09/22/2024 postreply 16:58:18

美國還是私人基金介入搞的基建快。小區各種配套都雨後春筍。公司的new campus也是。 -BJming- 給 BJming 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 09/22/2024 postreply 17:00:09

地方不少大基建都有聯邦政府match -Dotline- 給 Dotline 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 09/22/2024 postreply 17:09:51

川普在任時為了政治目的是光砍稅收入卻不節流,當然赤字增加。後來不幸又趕上pandemic。 -voiceofme- 給 voiceofme 發送悄悄話 voiceofme 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 09/22/2024 postreply 17:11:16

這種政策需要時間,不如降息補貼直接有效,拜政府其實也得益川的一些政策。 -Dotline- 給 Dotline 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 09/22/2024 postreply 17:26:39

how? 我在這個行業我還不知道,企業都把錢投入股市buy back their stocks了。17年不增稅就行,減稅 -MoonlightBee- 給 MoonlightBee 發送悄悄話 MoonlightBee 的博客首頁 (123 bytes) () 09/22/2024 postreply 17:32:16

我當然知道股票回購,哪家有利潤公司當時不這樣,但這隻是短期行為,利潤最終會再投資生產 -Dotline- 給 Dotline 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 09/22/2024 postreply 17:37:38

所以減稅的目的就是讓他們投資股市是嗎?目的不是讓擴大生產嗎?目的達到了嗎? -MoonlightBee- 給 MoonlightBee 發送悄悄話 MoonlightBee 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 09/22/2024 postreply 17:40:45

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