絕非聳人聽聞:US could fall to a right-wing dictatorship by 2030

來源: 爪四哥 2023-08-16 13:57:28 [] [博客] [舊帖] [給我悄悄話] 本文已被閱讀: 次 (27700 bytes)
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看到一腦子土共醬缸思維,順我者昌逆我者亡的黑子們,抱團取暖大談美式民主,肉麻地齊聲高唱“美式民主永不倒”的讚歌,俺差點兒笑出內傷。哈哈

對美式民主隻會盲人摸象的美吹們,舔族們,歇歇吧!嘻嘻

隨手摘錄了幾篇,聽聽真正的研究美式民主的專家是怎麽說的:解釋

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The US could be under a rightwing dictatorship by 2030, a Canadian political science professor has warned, urging his country to protect itself against the “collapse of American democracy”.

“We mustn’t dismiss these possibilities just because they seem ludicrous or too horrible to imagine,” Thomas Homer-Dixon, founding director of the Cascade Institute at Royal Roads University in British Columbia, wrote in the Globe and Mail.

“In 2014, the suggestion that Donald Trump would become president would also have struck nearly everyone as absurd. But today we live in a world where the absurd regularly becomes real and the horrible commonplace.”

Homer-Dixon’s message was blunt:

“By 2025, American democracy could collapse, causing extreme domestic political instability, including widespread civil violence. By 2030, if not sooner, the country could be governed by a rightwing dictatorship.”

 

The author cited eventualities centered on a Trump return to the White House in 2024, possibly including Republican-held state legislatures refusing to accept a Democratic win.

Trump, he warned, “will have only two objectives, vindication and vengeance” of the lie that his 2020 defeat by Joe Biden was the result of electoral fraud.

A “scholar of violent conflict” for more than four decades, Homer-Dixon said Canada must take heed of the “unfolding crisis”.

“A terrible storm is coming from the south, and Canada is woefully unprepared. Over the past year we’ve turned our attention inward, distracted by the challenges of Covid-19, reconciliation and the accelerating effects of climate change.

“But now we must focus on the urgent problem of what to do about the likely unraveling of democracy in the United States. We need to start by fully recognising the magnitude of the danger. If Mr Trump is re-elected, even under the more optimistic scenarios the economic and political risks to our country will be innumerable.”

Homer-Dixon said he even saw a scenario in which a new Trump administration, having effectively nullified internal opposition, deliberately damaged its northern neighbor.

“Under the less-optimistic scenarios, the risks to our country in their cumulative effect could easily be existential, far greater than any in our federation’s history. What happens, for instance, if high-profile political refugees fleeing persecution arrive in our country and the US regime demands them back. Do we comply?”

 

Trump, he said, “and a host of acolytes and wannabes such as Fox [News]’s Tucker Carlson and Georgia representative Marjorie Taylor Greene”, had transformed the Republican party “into a near-fascist personality cult that’s a perfect instrument for wrecking democracy”.

Worse, he said, Trump “may be just a warm-up act”.

“Returning to office, he’ll be the wrecking ball that demolishes democracy but the process will produce a political and social shambles,” Homer-Dixon said.

“Still, through targeted harassment and dismissal, he’ll be able to thin the ranks of his movement’s opponents within the state, the bureaucrats, officials and technocrats who oversee the non-partisan functioning of core institutions and abide by the rule of law.

“Then the stage will be set for a more managerially competent ruler, after Mr Trump, to bring order to the chaos he’s created.”

I hope you appreciated this article. Before you move on, I was hoping you would consider taking the step of supporting the Guardian’s journalism. 

From Elon Musk to Rupert Murdoch, a small number of billionaire owners have a powerful hold on so much of the information that reaches the public about what’s happening in the world. The Guardian is different. We have no billionaire owner or shareholders to consider. Our journalism is produced to serve the public interest – not profit motives.

And we avoid the trap that befalls much US media – the tendency, born of a desire to please all sides, to engage in false equivalence in the name of neutrality. While fairness guides everything we do, we know there is a right and a wrong position in the fight against racism and for reproductive justice. When we report on issues like the climate crisis, we’re not afraid to name who is responsible. And as a global news organization, we’re able to provide a fresh, outsider perspective on US politics – one so often missing from the insular American media bubble. 

Around the world, readers can access the Guardian’s paywall-free journalism because of our unique reader-supported model. That’s because of people like you. Our readers keep us independent, beholden to no outside influence and accessible to everyone – whether they can afford to pay for news, or not.

 

所有跟帖: 

現在已經是left-wing dictatorship了,right一下屬於糾錯 -Riskart- 給 Riskart 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:09:30

有高院與眾院製衡,現在不能算是left-wing dictatorship -爪四哥- 給 爪四哥 發送悄悄話 爪四哥 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:35:21

燜蹄是:白人領袖要把黃種人與子孫後代送入焚屍爐。。。 -爪四哥- 給 爪四哥 發送悄悄話 爪四哥 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:28:57

先把燜蹄吃完再說話. -Uusequery- 給 Uusequery 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:42:12

美眉說話禮貌,邏輯性又強! - MoonlightBee - -爪四哥- 給 爪四哥 發送悄悄話 爪四哥 的博客首頁 (199 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:53:18

完全可能。美國兩黨越來越極端化,不是什麽好兆頭。 -為人父- 給 為人父 發送悄悄話 為人父 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:11:59

為咱們的子孫後代擔憂啊!好在旁邊還有個加拿大。。。。 -爪四哥- 給 爪四哥 發送悄悄話 爪四哥 的博客首頁 (209 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:34:22

"could", "might", "may be". 嗬嗬 -Uusequery- 給 Uusequery 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:16:34

"四哥", 請教一下: 沒有國會兩院和最高法支持,何來right-wing dictator? -Uusequery- 給 Uusequery 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:19:22

兩個辦法: 1. 都right了,2. 用總統行政令強製執行 -Riskart- 給 Riskart 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:25:30

第一條根本不可能 -Uusequery- 給 Uusequery 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:27:35

三權同屬一黨過多次 -Riskart- 給 Riskart 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:30:50

那為什麽沒有出現獨裁者? -Uusequery- 給 Uusequery 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:38:33

因為以前,民粹主義一直被兩黨打壓。現在,在美國洶湧澎湃 -爪四哥- 給 爪四哥 發送悄悄話 爪四哥 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:45:19

川普執政前兩年,也是兩會,白宮同屬一黨. -Uusequery- 給 Uusequery 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:55:53

那時候民粹主義與現在相比,可以忽略不計 -爪四哥- 給 爪四哥 發送悄悄話 爪四哥 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 15:04:33

UU留意最近以色列的政治風暴了沒有?看看內唐亞胡右翼政府是如何消弱高院與議會權力的 -爪四哥- 給 爪四哥 發送悄悄話 爪四哥 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:25:33

2020沒有成功,最近幾年難。 -LexusOnly- 給 LexusOnly 發送悄悄話 LexusOnly 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:21:05

還有一種可能,就是美國分裂:以德州為首的紅脖子州從美國獨立出去 -爪四哥- 給 爪四哥 發送悄悄話 爪四哥 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:30:53

不管左還是右,要獨裁首先是修憲廢除三權分立,以色列已經有這個苗頭,要廢除獨立司法。 -viBravo5- 給 viBravo5 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:25:24

英雄所見略同,剛剛在樓上回答了UU -爪四哥- 給 爪四哥 發送悄悄話 爪四哥 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:26:16

修憲廢除三權分立,敢提議的還沒生下來. -Uusequery- 給 Uusequery 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:49:08

老川2020連任成功的話,美國的三權分立製度就會麵臨與現在以色列同樣的處境 -爪四哥- 給 爪四哥 發送悄悄話 爪四哥 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:51:39

也是臆想 -Uusequery- 給 Uusequery 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:57:57

不隻是美國,隨著西方國家穆斯林和非裔人口比例增加,西方製度很難繼續玩下去,要麽逃亡要麽打破製度 -21-C- 給 21-C 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:30:27

法國的穆斯林黑人國會議員已經提議案:要把法國改為法蘭西斯坦,因為黑人與穆斯林很快就要超過法國人口的50% -爪四哥- 給 爪四哥 發送悄悄話 爪四哥 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:32:53

中國人多了以後,也會要求合法"裹小腳"的. -最接近太陽的人- 給 最接近太陽的人 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:38:34

黑人與穆斯林如果都像您這樣自黑自恨,該有多好! -爪四哥- 給 爪四哥 發送悄悄話 爪四哥 的博客首頁 (167 bytes) () 08/16/2023 postreply 14:41:18

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