CNN最新預測：Trump will lose in a landslide because of the economy, n

https://www.cnn.com/2020/05/20/business/economy-election-trump-biden-jobs/index.html

New York (CNN Business)The economy has gone from President Donald Trump's greatest political asset to perhaps his biggest weakness.

Unemployment is spiking at an unprecedented rate. Consumer spending is vanishing. And GDP is collapsing. History shows that dreadful economic trends like these spell doom for sitting presidents seeking reelection.

The coronavirus recession will cause Trump to suffer a "historic defeat" in November, a national election model released Wednesday by Oxford Economics predicted.

 

Is the bear market over? Wall Street isn't so sure

The model, which uses unemployment, disposable income and inflation to forecast election results, predicts that Trump will lose in a landslide, capturing just 35% of the popular vote. That's a sharp reversal from the model's pre-crisis prediction that Trump would win about 55% of the vote. And it would be the worst performance for an incumbent in a century.

所有跟帖： 

• 雖然他任上到處一塌糊塗，我覺得他還會大概率連任。一是民主黨無人，二是很多人對他有faith，一種信仰 -bridge008- ♂ (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 13:08:33

• 很多人是為了絕對不能讓民主黨上台而選川普 -落花起作回風舞- ♀ (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 13:48:11

• CNN還預測希拉裏贏 -piris1987- ♀ (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 13:13:49

• 美國會很快強勢反彈，而這次疫情民主黨的州普遍表現很差 -eggburger- ♂ (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 13:19:03

• 我基本上停止收看收聽MSM，是2008年，那一年所有的媒體心口一致地為奧巴馬唱讚歌，我就知道媒體出問題了，但2016年對川普的報 -落花起作回風舞- ♀ (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 13:51:42

• 但2016年對川普的報道讓我徹底放棄MSM -落花起作回風舞- ♀ (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 13:52:16

• 一般不看新聞，需要的時候就幾個不同來源對照著看看，分析一下再做判斷 -落花起作回風舞- ♀ (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 14:04:33

• 那還是msm，不過就是不rely on一個msm。 我是看cnn為主，有時看看Fox News。 -voiceofme- ♂ (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 14:06:10

• 需要的時候少，而且不是CNN、NBC、ABC或Fox等新聞媒體，而是WSJ，Bloomberg，BusinessInsider之 -落花起作回風舞- ♀ (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 14:11:01

• 學川普，做孤家寡人嗎？ -又到了夏天- ♂ (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 14:05:10

• 那倒也沒啥，管他風雲變幻，我還是過自己的日子，做點事情有點收入管好孩子讀點書……生活不就是這些嗎 -落花起作回風舞- ♀ (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 14:08:25

• CNN上一次也是說川普會輸個landslide -落花起作回風舞- ♀ (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 13:47:15

• 川普是曆史上首個有幸輸兩個Landslide的候選人 -mojomojo- ♂ (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 13:58:57

• CNN 還閑丟人不夠？ -stop-loss- ♂ (0 bytes) () 05/20/2020 postreply 20:06:00