Longterm Investing
A place to put my posts
正文
If you invest in stocks, you need to read stock investment books, just like you need to learn operating system if you want to be a computer engineer. The following points should be your natural instinct as an investor just like the thought of space time complexity issue for a computer engineer.
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I thought these quotes from Security Analysis Sixth Edition Hardcover might be food for thought.
Benjamin Graham and David Dodd first wrote security Analysis in 1934. The first edition was described by Graham as a “book that is intended for all those who have a serious interest in securities values. The book was not designed for the investment novice. One must have an intermediate to advanced understanding of financial statements, accounting and finance for the book to be understood. The book emphasizes logical reasoning. Graham wrote, “It is the conservative investor who will need most of all to be reminded constantly of the lessons of 1931 –1933 and of previous collapses.
On Page [xiv] Seth Klarman wrote:
”Losing money, as Graham noted, can also be psychologically unsettling. Anxiety from the financial damage caused by recently experienced loss or the fear of further loss can significantly impede our ability to take advantage of the next opportunity that comes along. If an undervalued stock falls by half while the fundamentals – after checking and rechecking – are confirmed to be unchanged, we should relish the opportunity to buy significantly more “on sale.” But if our net worth has tumbled along with the share price, it may be psychologically difficult to add to the position.”
On Page [xviii] Klarman wrote:
”Skepticism and judgment are always required.”
“Because the value of a business depends on numerous variables, it can typically be assessed only within a range.”
“In the end, the most successful value investors combine detailed business research and valuation work with endless discipline and patience, a well-considered sensitivity analysis, intellectual honesty, and years of analytical and investment experience.”
On Page [xx] Klarman wrote:
”Even in the worst of markets, Graham and Dodd remained faithful to their principles, including their view that the economy and markets sometimes go through painful cycles, which must simply be endured. They expressed confidence, in those dark days, the economy and stock market would eventually rebound: “While we were writing, we had to combat a widespread conviction that financial debacle was to be the permanent order.”
“It is always difficult to take a contrarian approach. Even highly capable investors can wither under the relentless message from the market that they are wrong.”
On Page [xxii] Klarman wrote:
”Of course, for those value investors who are truly long term oriented, it is a wonderful thing that many potential competitors are thrown off course by constraints that render them unable or unwilling to effectively compete.”
On Page [xxiv] Klarman wrote:
”When bargains are scarce, value investors must be patient; compromising standards is a slippery slope to disaster. New opportunities will emerge, even if we don’t know when or where.”
“Still value investors are bottom-up analysts, good at assessing securities one at a time based on the fundamentals. They don’t need the entire market to be bargained priced, just 20 or 25 unrelated securities – a number sufficient for diversification of risk. Even in an expensive market, value investors must keep analyzing securities and assessing businesses, gaining knowledge and experience that will be useful in the future.
On Page [xxvi] Klarman wrote:
”In a bad real estate climate, tighter lending standards can cause even healthy properties to sell at distressed prices. Graham and Dodd’s principles – such as the stability of cash flow, sufficiency of return, and analysis of downside risk – allow us to identify real estate investments with a margin of safety in any market environment.”
On Page [xxxix] Klarman wrote:
”In a rising market, everyone makes money and a value philosophy is unnecessary. But because there is no certain way to predict what the market will do, one must follow a value philosophy at all times. By controlling risk and limiting loss through extensive fundamental analysis, strict discipline, and endless patience, value investors can expect good results with limited downside.”
On Page [xl] Klarman wrote:
”The real secret to investing is that there is no secret to investing.”
*********************************************
I thought these quotes from Security Analysis Sixth Edition Hardcover might be food for thought.
Benjamin Graham and David Dodd first wrote security Analysis in 1934. The first edition was described by Graham as a “book that is intended for all those who have a serious interest in securities values. The book was not designed for the investment novice. One must have an intermediate to advanced understanding of financial statements, accounting and finance for the book to be understood. The book emphasizes logical reasoning. Graham wrote, “It is the conservative investor who will need most of all to be reminded constantly of the lessons of 1931 –1933 and of previous collapses.
On Page [xiv] Seth Klarman wrote:
”Losing money, as Graham noted, can also be psychologically unsettling. Anxiety from the financial damage caused by recently experienced loss or the fear of further loss can significantly impede our ability to take advantage of the next opportunity that comes along. If an undervalued stock falls by half while the fundamentals – after checking and rechecking – are confirmed to be unchanged, we should relish the opportunity to buy significantly more “on sale.” But if our net worth has tumbled along with the share price, it may be psychologically difficult to add to the position.”
On Page [xviii] Klarman wrote:
”Skepticism and judgment are always required.”
“Because the value of a business depends on numerous variables, it can typically be assessed only within a range.”
“In the end, the most successful value investors combine detailed business research and valuation work with endless discipline and patience, a well-considered sensitivity analysis, intellectual honesty, and years of analytical and investment experience.”
On Page [xx] Klarman wrote:
”Even in the worst of markets, Graham and Dodd remained faithful to their principles, including their view that the economy and markets sometimes go through painful cycles, which must simply be endured. They expressed confidence, in those dark days, the economy and stock market would eventually rebound: “While we were writing, we had to combat a widespread conviction that financial debacle was to be the permanent order.”
“It is always difficult to take a contrarian approach. Even highly capable investors can wither under the relentless message from the market that they are wrong.”
On Page [xxii] Klarman wrote:
”Of course, for those value investors who are truly long term oriented, it is a wonderful thing that many potential competitors are thrown off course by constraints that render them unable or unwilling to effectively compete.”
On Page [xxiv] Klarman wrote:
”When bargains are scarce, value investors must be patient; compromising standards is a slippery slope to disaster. New opportunities will emerge, even if we don’t know when or where.”
“Still value investors are bottom-up analysts, good at assessing securities one at a time based on the fundamentals. They don’t need the entire market to be bargained priced, just 20 or 25 unrelated securities – a number sufficient for diversification of risk. Even in an expensive market, value investors must keep analyzing securities and assessing businesses, gaining knowledge and experience that will be useful in the future.
On Page [xxvi] Klarman wrote:
”In a bad real estate climate, tighter lending standards can cause even healthy properties to sell at distressed prices. Graham and Dodd’s principles – such as the stability of cash flow, sufficiency of return, and analysis of downside risk – allow us to identify real estate investments with a margin of safety in any market environment.”
On Page [xxxix] Klarman wrote:
”In a rising market, everyone makes money and a value philosophy is unnecessary. But because there is no certain way to predict what the market will do, one must follow a value philosophy at all times. By controlling risk and limiting loss through extensive fundamental analysis, strict discipline, and endless patience, value investors can expect good results with limited downside.”
On Page [xl] Klarman wrote:
”The real secret to investing is that there is no secret to investing.”
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