曾多亂彈

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曾多亂彈:從運動員到操盤手教練(二)

(2007-01-02 12:44:38) 下一個
關於新手怎樣克服交易時候的恐懼感,很多新手認為要想以交易為生,至少要保證八成的成功率,Doug並不同意這個觀點,最好的交易員也隻是在53% 的時間掙錢,So stop trying to be perfect. Just make smart trades and take smart losses. 

至於決定是否開倉的最重要因素,我和Doug的想法一樣,就是評估風險和收益。What is the probability of it working and how much will you make vs. what is the probability of it not working and how much will you lose. If the reward outweighs the risk by at least 2:1, then you can put the trade on knowing you made an objective trading decision. This does not guarantee the trade will work (remember it is a 50-50 game) but if cut your losses and employ this objective strategy consistently then, over time, you will make money trading. It works for the Casinos.

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