[10] P(car = blue | id = blue) = 12 / 29

P(car=Blue) = 0.15
P(Car=Green) = 0.85

P(id=blue | car = blue) = 0.8
P(id=green | car = blue) = 0.2

(0.15 * 0.8)/(0.15*0.8 + 0.85* 0.2)= 12/29

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