我7月份猜過SPY to 700,  屬於最早最樂觀的一個

我7月份猜過SPY to 700,  屬於最早最樂觀的一個

                    •                    
                    降息0.25 是98% probability and priced in. 看老鮑後麵說話的口氣如何
                     -QQQ2074- 
                    ♂                    
                        
                    
                                                            
                    
                    
                                        
                        (0 bytes)
                        ()
                        10/27/2025 postreply
                                                18:42:32
                    
                    
                    •                    
                    0.25是priced in.  但是, 也有可能超預期
                     -bogbog- 
                    ♀                    
                        
                    
                                                            
                        
                    
                                        
                    
                    
                                        
                        (0 bytes)
                        ()
                        10/27/2025 postreply
                                                18:43:33
                    
                    
                    •                    
                    期待0.5
                     -香虞- 
                    ♀                    
                        
                    
                                                            
                    
                    
                                        
                        (0 bytes)
                        ()
                        10/27/2025 postreply
                                                19:51:07
                    
                    
                    •                    
                    可能性基本為零。98% probability 是債市用真金白銀買出來的
                     -QQQ2074- 
                    ♂                    
                        
                    
                                                            
                    
                    
                                        
                        (0 bytes)
                        ()
                        10/27/2025 postreply
                                                20:06:45
                    
                    
WENXUECITY.COM does not represent or guarantee the truthfulness, accuracy, or reliability of any of communications posted by other users.
Copyright ©1998-2025 wenxuecity.com All rights reserved. Privacy Statement & Terms of Use & User Privacy Protection Policy