AI時代的真實自我：誰是真正的“Peter”？ Lecture Title: The True Self in the Age
第二章 Chapter 2
從“Vibe Coding”到蓋茨預言：被替代的恐慌
From Vibe Coding to Gates’ Prophecy — The Fear of Replacement
一、“Vibe Coding”到底是什麽？
1. What Is “Vibe Coding” Exactly?
“Vibe Coding”並不是一種新編程語言，而是一種團隊協作方式的革命。它利用AI輔助工具自動生成代碼、調試錯誤、生成文檔，甚至提出優化建議。其核心思想是：一個10人團隊，配備先進AI工具，可以完成原本需要50-100人做的開發任務。
“Vibe Coding” isn’t a new programming language. It’s a revolution in team collaboration. It combines AI tools that automatically generate code, debug, document, and optimize. The core idea: a 10-person team, empowered by AI, can do the work of 50 to 100 developers.
這不僅僅是效率提升，更是“人類勞動力”的根本性重構。它意味著：
• 中層程序員被邊緣化
• 團隊管理者被自動協調機製替代
• 初學者麵臨更大門檻
This isn’t just an efficiency gain—it’s a fundamental reconstruction of “human labor.” It implies:
• Mid-level developers are marginalized
• Team managers are replaced by auto-coordination systems
• Beginners face a higher threshold to entry
二、投資人為何狂熱？
2. Why Are Investors So Obsessed?
AI coding初創公司正在成為風投的香餑餑。OpenAI、Replit、Cognition Labs、Codium等公司接連獲得數千萬美元投資。因為它們滿足了三大資本夢想：
AI coding startups are becoming the darling of venture capital. OpenAI, Replit, Cognition Labs, Codium, and others are securing tens of millions in funding. Why? Because they fulfill the three dreams of capital:
1. 用更少的人完成更多的活（成本最低）
2. 產品速度更快上市（搶占市場）
3. 自動化程度高（更易規模化）
4. Do more with fewer people (lowest cost)
5. Get products to market faster (first-mover advantage)
6. High automation (easy to scale)
三、Bill Gates 的十年預言：AI將替代大多數人類工作
3. Bill Gates’ Ten-Year Prophecy: AI Will Replace Most Human Jobs
2024年，蓋茨在一場Netflix紀錄片推廣活動中公開表示：
“十年內，AI將取代很多醫生與老師。對大多數事情，人類將不再‘需要’。”
In 2024, Bill Gates stated during a Netflix documentary promo:
“Within ten years, AI will replace many doctors and teachers. For most things, humans won’t be needed.”
這句話引起巨大爭議。它不僅關乎教育、醫療行業的未來，更挑戰了“人類在社會中不可替代”的信仰。
The remark sparked massive controversy. It wasn’t just about the future of education and healthcare—it challenged the belief that humans are fundamentally irreplaceable.
但細想之下，這預言其實早已悄然實現：
• 美國遠程問診平台使用AI算法輔助初診
• 數字教師App幫助數百萬學生自學
• AI心理谘詢工具每月與數十萬人“對話”
But think more deeply—it’s already happening:
• US telehealth platforms use AI to assist diagnoses
• Digital teacher apps help millions of students self-learn
• AI therapy tools hold “conversations” with hundreds of thousands monthly
四、來自普通人的恐懼與質疑
4. Fears and Doubts from Everyday People
在一次對話中，一位會計師問我：“我做了十幾年財務，AI是不是很快也能把我取代？”
In a recent talk, an accountant asked me: “I’ve worked in finance for over a decade. Will AI replace me too?”
我的回答是：“不是會不會，而是已經開始。”
My answer: “It’s not a matter of if. It’s already begun.”
而另一位家長說：“我孩子才小學三年級，他長大後還有必要考大學嗎？”
Another parent said: “My kid is in third grade—will college even matter by the time he grows up?”
這正是關鍵問題：我們還是否擁有未來的主動權？
This is the key issue: Do we still have agency over our future?
五、麵對恐慌，我們該如何重塑思維？
5. How Do We Respond to the Panic?
AI無法阻擋，它不會等我們準備好才來。我們必須從“被動接受”變為“主動參與”：
AI is unstoppable. It won’t wait until we’re ready. We must shift from “passive acceptance” to “active participation.”
我們要問的不是“我會不會被取代”，而是：
1. 我能否利用AI增強自己？
2. 我如何訓練自己不被輕易替代？
3. 我能否創造AI無法企及的價值？
We should ask not “Will I be replaced?” but:
1. Can I use AI to augment myself?
2. How can I train myself to be less replaceable?
3. Can I create value that AI cannot reach?
六、小結：恐慌隻是開始，選擇才是關鍵
6. Summary: Panic Is Just the Beginning, But Choice Is the Key
AI的浪潮不是問題，問題是我們麵對它時的選擇與反應。科技永遠是中性的，關鍵在於人類是否能做出更高維度的回應。
The AI wave isn’t the problem. The problem lies in our choices and reactions. Technology is always neutral. What matters is whether humans can respond from a higher dimension.
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