Russian Offensive Keeps Crashing Into the Ukrainian Fortress Belt of Donbas, Bleeding Out One Soldier Every Three Meters
By:Giorgio Provinciali
Live from Ukraine ????????
Oleksandrivka, Donetsk Accordingto Ukraines UN Ambassador, Andryj Melnyk,to occupy the entire region we write from, the Russian regime would have to send more men to their deaths than it has already lost over the past four years, bringing the total including deaths and serious injuries to over three million.Estimates so far by the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense and British intelligence confirm this.
Despite these areas of Donbas being extremely fortified, the Russian regime continues tothrowsuch a quantity of cannon fodder there that, for at least four months now, it has been unable to recruit enough to replace the losses. In addition to the fortifications visible above ground in the various videos we have made available on this newspapers YouTube channel, there are others underground, connected by dozens of kilometers of tunnels linking the Ukrainian settlements within the so-called fortress belt.
To reach the gates of this defensive belt, MelnykestimatedthatMoscow has already left an average of 254 soldiers on the battlefield for every occupied square kilometer: one for every less than four linear meters, taking into account the depth of the various sectors of the front. This figure could rise to 316 per square kilometer in 2026 that is,one for every three linear meters as Ukrainian drones gain dominance on the battlefield.
Such losses are unparalleled in any war of this magnitude, given the insignificant territorial gains.
For comparison, Melnyk himselfnotedthat between 1939 and 1940, during the invasion of Finland, the Soviet Union paid a price approximately one hundred times lower.
The Russian Federation continues toinsistthat Ukrainian troops withdraw from the Donetsk region as a prerequisite for any serious negotiations, and its easy to understand why:the Russians arent advancing here.
For example, Toretsk is about 11 kilometers from where they were 12 years ago. Pokrovsk is about 50 kilometers away.
The images weve made available in recent weeks overturn a superficial reading of the front: they depict not just a fortified line buta layered defense system, both visible and invisible, forcing the Russians to expend manpower to achieve minimal, often irreducible, tactical gains.
Despite having reacheda breaking point in the sustainable human load, the Russian command continues to throw cannon fodder at a Ukrainian defensive belt that is made not only of trenches, dragons teeth, and strongpoints but also ofunderground depth, connections, protected mobility, and redundancy.
This makes it clear that these are not simple strongholds buta system that has evolved over 12 years, absorbing impact, dispersing fire, protecting logistics, and making it harder to convert an assault into a breakthrough.
Crashing against this extraordinary defensive belt, Russian offensive pressure, while remaining brutal, is beginning to lose its sustainability.
By spending bodies, the Kremlin can still buy microscopic local advances, but it is increasingly unable to do so without eroding its available human base. Even so, as Melnykpointed out,for Putin, a Russians life is worth less than a penny.
By continuing to attempt breakthroughs like the one a month ago thatburned405 soldiers, 11 armored infantry and troop carriers, and 84 motor vehicles,the occupiers are not making any territorial gains.
Yet they continue to attack, despite no longer being able to absorb the human cost of those attacks.
Since December, Moscow has beenlosingfar more men than it can recruit: over 35,000 a month well over a thousand a day, according to the Ukrainian General Staff compared with fewer than 30,000 new recruits.
When we decided to release images of the Ukrainian defense lines in Donbas, a well-known Ukrainian political scientist contacted us, saying:You did well. This way, the West will understand what were fighting for, what shatters Russian dreams of glory, and what theyre asking us to give up.
Theres also a further, very important implication, one that goes far beyond whats already visible even to Russian spy balloons and reconnaissance drones:the presence of dozens of kilometers of tunnels within the fortress belt. This is a detail we certainly wont be revealing, but it shows thatcontrol of the terrain in those areas cannot be viewed solely in the horizontal plane.
While above ground one can see rubble, earthworks, emplacements, and lines of defense, below lies the true continuity of the defense.
This means that even when the Russians strike or destroy a surface point, they dont necessarily disrupt a system that can continue moving men, materiel, and communications to relative safety. Its a huge difference,transforming every village and settlement into a hub rather than an isolated position.
But theres more.
The Donbas defensive belt today isnt just holding thanks to concrete, trenches, and tunnels: it holds becausea technological layer of electronic warfare, persistent reconnaissance, target acquisition, and drones operates above and around it, where Ukraine maintains a qualitative and integrated advantage over Russia.
Wevedescribedhowthe concept of a front has been surpassed and how areas of friction are no longer linear:
The fortress belt which is not a Ukrainian Maginot Line has adapted to the transition from linear to volumetric defense.
This means that the occupiers must not only assault fortified positions: they must do so while being more exposed to detection, fire correction, logistical interdiction, and communications degradation.
As a result, the human cost for them continues to grow.
Therefore,every Russian advance, when it occurs, increasingly appears to be the product of monstrous human attrition rather than a true operational breakthrough.
At the current rate,occupying all of Ukraine would require the total exsanguination of the Russian Federation: 122 million soldiers in a war expected to last 183 years.
This is whyUkrainerejectsany kind of ultimatum.
As Melnykremindedthe UN:We will never abandon a single square millimeter of our territory or any of our citizens.
In 1.517 days of war,we recorded over 250 videos from ground zero and wrote more than 1,500 articles.
We are doing our best to provide genuine, first-hand reports from zones where almost no press dares to go. This means living in a kill zone constantly. We take the risk, but without your invaluable support, our voices would remain unheard and silent. Without brave people sharing our articles from afar, they would remain unread. Our reports would go unseen, and our efforts would be lost. Theres still a lot of work to do here, as the people around us are also in no better situation.
Were renewing ourfundraising campaignand thanking everyone who joins us in helping to restore what Russia is destroying. Moving forward with only a small reimbursement for each article from a brave newspaper that believes in us is extremely challenging. Thats why we are grateful to all the kind people who support us and trust in our mission.
Even a small donation helps.
Well keep you updated on developments.
Thank you all, dear friends ????????
俄羅斯攻勢不斷撞擊頓巴斯烏克蘭防禦帶，每推進三米就犧牲一名士兵
作者：Giorgio Provinciali
翻譯：旺財球球
烏克蘭前線報道????????
頓涅茨克州奧列山德裏夫卡據烏克蘭常駐聯合國大使安德裏伊梅爾尼克稱，要占領我們目前所在的整個地區，俄方政權必須投入比過去四年已經損失人員更多的兵力，使累計死亡與重傷人數超過三百萬。烏克蘭國防部與英國情報部門最新評估證實了這一點。
（圖：我在烏克蘭頓涅茨克馬伊奇卡橋上，此橋是連接克拉馬托爾斯克與斯洛維揚斯克的兩條補給路線的戰略交匯點????????版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
盡管頓巴斯這些地區防禦極為堅固，俄方仍在此投入大量炮灰，以至於至少過去四個月來無法招募足夠兵力替補戰場損失。除我們在本報YouTube頻道提供的影像中可見的地麵防禦工事外，還有地下防禦工程，數十公裏的隧道將所謂要塞帶內的烏克蘭定居點連成一體。
（視頻：我與Alla在通往克拉馬托爾斯克公路旁的小村莊米哈伊利夫卡村現場報道，頓涅茨克，烏克蘭????????版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
梅爾尼克估算，為到達這道防禦帶的門口，莫斯科每占領一平方公裏就有254名士兵倒在戰場上：換算為線性距離，即不足四米犧牲一人；隨著烏克蘭無人機在戰場上取得主導地位，這一數字到2026年可能上升到每平方公裏316名，也就是每三米便付出一名士兵生命。
鑒於極其有限的領土收益，這樣的傷亡在同等規模的戰爭中前所未有。
作為比較，梅爾尼克指出，19391940年蘇聯入侵芬蘭時所付出的代價大約要低一百倍左右。
（視頻：我在烏克蘭頓涅茨克科羅舍拍攝的影像版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
俄聯邦繼續堅持要求烏克蘭部隊撤出頓涅茨克地區，作為任何嚴肅談判的前提條件，其原因不言思明：俄羅斯人在這裏無法推進。
例如，托列茨克距俄軍12年前所在位置約11公裏；波克羅夫斯克則相距約50公裏。
我們近幾周公布的影像推翻了對前線的膚淺解讀：畫麵展現的並非是單一的工事線，而是一個有形與無形並存的分層防禦體係，迫使俄方消耗大量人力才能換取極有限、常常無法保持的戰術收益。
盡管已達到可持續人力負荷的臨界點，俄方指揮仍不斷向烏克蘭這道防禦帶投送炮灰；防禦帶不僅由戰壕、反坦克龍牙與據點構成，而且具備地下縱深結構、連通隧道、受保護的機動線路與冗餘能力。
由此表明，這些並非孤立據點，而是經過12年進化的防禦體係，能吸收衝擊、分散火力、保護後勤，使進攻難以轉化為突破。
（視頻：我在烏克蘭頓涅茨克州腹地錄製的影像版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
撞擊這道非凡的防禦帶，俄方攻勢雖仍殘酷，但其可持續性已開始喪失。
憑借人肉消耗，克裏姆林宮仍能換取微不足道的局部推進，但其人力基礎正被如此係統性侵蝕、難以為續。即便如此，正如梅爾尼克所指出的，對普京而言，俄羅斯人的生命連一分錢都不值。
持續發動如一個月前那次突擊行動其消耗了405名士兵、11輛裝甲車/運兵車，和84輛機動車，侵略者並未取得任何領土收益。
然而，俄軍卻仍繼續發動攻擊，盡管已無法承受這些攻擊帶來的人力消耗。
（圖：我在奧列山德裏夫卡一處被俄聯邦摧毀的農場進行報道，頓涅茨克，烏克蘭????????版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
自去年12月以來，莫斯科的傷亡遠超其可征召士兵數：據烏克蘭總參謀部統計，每月損失超過35,000人，即日均千餘人，而新入伍人數不到30,000人。
當我們決定公開頓巴斯烏克蘭防線的影像時，一位知名烏克蘭政治學者聯係了我們並表示：你們做得好。這樣，西方會明白我們為何而戰，明白是什麽擊碎了俄羅斯的榮耀幻想，以及他們要我們放棄的是什麽。
（圖：我在烏克蘭頓涅茨克一處地下通道入口處報道????????版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
還有一個更重要的含義，遠超俄方間諜氣球和偵察無人機能看到的表象：防禦帶內存在數十公裏隧道網絡。此細節我們當然不會披露，但它表明對該地區的控製不能僅在水平麵上考量。
地麵上可見瓦礫、土方、防禦設施與防線，地下則是真正的防禦連續體。
這意味著即便俄軍摧毀或打擊了某一表麵點，也不一定能瓦解一個仍能持續轉移兵員、物資與通信的體係。這是巨大差異，讓每個村莊與定居點成為運作樞紐而非孤立據點。
這還不是全部。
如今，頓巴斯防禦帶之所以屹立，不僅靠混凝土、戰壕與隧道，還依賴於一個在其上方和周邊運行的技術層：電子戰、持續偵察、目標獲取與無人機組，烏克蘭在此層麵相較俄羅斯保持著質量上的和整合性的優勢。
（圖：我在烏克蘭頓涅茨克近防線處????????版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
我們已描述過傳統前線概念如何被超越，摩擦區不再呈線性：
這道防禦帶並非烏克蘭的馬其諾防線已成功適應了由線性向體積化防禦的轉變。
這意味著侵略者不僅要攻擊被加固的陣地：在進攻過程中，他們更易被發現、遭火力校正、後勤攔截與通信破壞。
因此，其人命代價持續攀升。
由此，每一次俄方推進，若發生，愈發顯得是通過恐怖的人力消耗換來的，而非真正的作戰突破。
以當前速度，若要占領整個烏克蘭，將意味著俄羅斯聯邦的完全耗盡：12.2億名士兵的損耗，戰爭預計持續183年。
這也是烏克蘭拒絕任何形式最後通牒的原因。
正如梅爾尼克在聯合國所重申的：我們絕不會放棄一平方毫米的領土或我們的任何一位公民。
（圖：我在烏克蘭頓涅茨克靠近克拉馬托爾斯克的一個小型檢查站進行報道????????版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
***
在1516天的戰爭中，我們從前線錄製了250多段視頻，並撰寫了1500多篇文章。
我們盡最大努力從幾乎沒有媒體敢進入的地帶進行真實的一手報道，這意味著我們長期生活在殺傷區。我們承擔風險，但若沒有你們寶貴的支持，我們的聲音將無從傳出。若沒有遠方的勇敢的人們轉發分享我們的文章，它們將無人問津。我們的報道會被忽視，我們的努力將付諸流水。這裏還有大量工作要做，周圍的人們境況同樣艱難。
我們正在更新籌款活動，感謝每一位加入我們、幫助修複俄羅斯破壞的人們。僅靠一家勇敢的報紙為我們每篇文章支付微薄稿酬以維持前線報道極為困難。因此，我們感激所有支持並信任我們使命的善良人們。
哪怕是小小的捐助也有助益。
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