原文鏈接:https://medium.com/@giorgioprovinciali/facts-and-history-answer-to-propagandists-and-nay-sayers-about-ukraine-c94a52b02391?sk=1ae8fb5b2dfc27b3e72126fc5b0027c1
Facts and History Answer to Propagandists and Nay-sayers About Ukraine
By: Giorgio Provinciali
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Chernivtsi Referring to the 90 billion EU loan, an Italian newspaper ran a Sunday headline:Zelensky costs us 220 each. A few days earlier, those same pages also justified the statement by Italian Vice President Matteo Salvini, who said,If Hitler and Napoleon failed to bring Moscow to its knees with their Russian campaigns, its unlikely Kaja Kallas, Macron, Starmer, and Merz will succeed.
Reproduced almost verbatim by another Italian Kremlin mouthpiece, those headlines arent just obscene: theyre, above all, false. Wrong in their numbers, method, logic, political message, and historical reconstruction.

Lets even assume we wanted to divide that figure by the European population. Without even bending the arithmetic to populism, 90 billion divided by approximately 450 million EU citizens equals just over 200 per capita, not 220.
But thats not even the point.
No European citizen will pay 200 euros today, tomorrow, or through a Ukraine bill. This is a common debt, spread over decades, like any other European Union financial instrument. It is a loan, not a grant, and Ukraine will be required to repay it only when the Russian Federation repays reparations for the war Vladimir Putin unleashed in Europe.
Not Volodymyr Zelensky.
Between inflation, the industrial crisis, eroded real wages, devalued savings, and bills which we paid immediately the Russian war has already cost Europeans thousands of euros each. If Russia were to win in Ukraine, the structural instability at the EUs borders would lead to even higher permanent military spending. By keeping this eventuality at bay,the Ukrainian resistance led by Volodymyr Zelensky if anything, reduces the cost of the war for Europe.
Reversing this sequence is not opinion, but intellectual dishonesty.
The EU is supporting Ukraine to limit the damage, defending its borders and interests after suffering an energy, economic, industrial, and military shock caused by Russian aggression.It is Moscow that has brought a colonial and imperialist war to Europe. Not the other way around.
The financial instrument adopted by the EU is a loan, not a gift. It is a joint debt, with multi-year repayment and interest; frozen Russian assets guarantee a portion. It does notcostItalians as if it were lost money, and Zelensky receives nothing. The funds are disbursed in tranches, under the control of the European Commission, the European Investment Bank, and the International Monetary Fund.
The Ukrainian resistance is not a source of expenditure but the consequence of an illegitimate invasion. Supporting it is not just a moral duty: it is a way to defend Europe in line with international law.
The Russian war, which is the cause, defies all logic and rules and has already cost every Italian thousands of euros.
Likewise, the logical and historical reversal with which they attempt to justify a very serious and doubly incorrect statement made by a minister of the Italian Republic, like Salvini, is astonishing.
Both the Napoleonic campaign of 1812 and Operation Barbarossa of 1941 took place mainly in present-day Ukraine: in central and eastern Ukraine, the Dnipro basin, the Donbas, Crimea, and the Ukrainian steppes. Less than a month ago, I documented in avideorecorded in Moshchun how,alongside the Second World War trenches, Ukrainians dug trenches to defend Kyiv in 2022.
A few months earlier, Iexplainedhow, together with a partisan from Sumy armed with a metal detector, Alla Perdei and I found coins, bullets, and buttons belonging to the Nazi-Fascist soldiers sent in vain to invade Ukraine.With its territory devastated, millions of civilians dead, and cities transformed into battlefields, it was Ukraine that exhausted and shattered the offensive capacity of those invaders.Saying that Russia resisted is a propaganda oversimplification that ignores geopolitical reality.Napoleon Bonaparte and Adolf Hitler werent stopping a Russian advance: they were invading Ukraine to push further east.
Its not true that no one ever stopped Russia. Whats true, instead, is that those who tried to conquer Ukraine including Russia itself always ended up losing the war.
History answers Minister Salvini and those newspapers.
Tsarist Russia suffered a resounding defeat in the 19041905 war when it attempted to expand into Manchuria and Korea, and Japan inflicted a complete and overwhelming loss. The Russian fleet was destroyed at Tsushima, the empire lost Port Arthur, and was humiliated and forced to sign a peace. The following year, the 1905 revolution occurred.
In 19391940, the USSR attempted to invade Finland. It was the Russian army that suffered enormous losses, exposing its inefficiency. A failure so severe that it made Adolf Hitler realize that the Red Army was far from invincible.The Nazi-Fascist troops ultimately crumbled in Ukraine.Lasting 10 years (19791989), the Afghan War was a total strategic defeat, ending with the collapse of the USSR in 1991.
In Ukraine, Russia has already been stopped strategically: it wanted to conquer Kyiv, overthrow the government, and annex the entire country. How it went is clear to all.
Therefore,Russia can indeed be stopped, and it loses every time it attempts wars of expansion. The myth of its invincibility is propaganda, not history.And the Italians who were stopped in Ukraine should remember this best of all.


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事實與曆史:對烏克蘭的宣傳者與反對者的回應
作者:Giorgio Provinciali
烏克蘭前線報道 ????????
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切爾尼夫茨周日一家意大利報紙針對900億歐元的歐盟貸款發表了標題為:澤連斯基讓我們每人花費220歐元的文章。幾天前,這同一報刊還為意大利副總理馬泰奧薩爾維尼如下言論辯護,他說:如果希特勒和拿破侖在他們的俄羅斯戰役中未能讓莫斯科屈服,那麽卡亞卡拉斯、馬克龍、斯達默和梅茲也不太可能成功。
這些標題幾乎被另一家意大利克裏姆林宮的喉舌逐字重複。這些標題不僅令人反感:更重要的是它們都是假的。它們在數字、方法、邏輯、政治信息和曆史重建方麵都是錯誤的。
(圖:照片由《La Verit》提供)
即使我們假設想將這一數字除以歐洲人口。即使不將算術扭曲為民粹主義,900億歐元除以約4.5億歐盟公民,每人僅超過200歐元,而不是220歐元。
但這根本不是重點。
今天、明天或通過烏克蘭法案,沒有任何歐洲公民需要支付200歐元。這是一筆共同的債務,分散在數十年之內,就像任何其他歐盟的金融工具。這是一筆貸款,而不是贈款,烏克蘭隻有在俄羅斯聯邦償還普京在歐洲發動的戰爭的賠償時,才會被要求償還這筆貸款。
不是弗拉基米爾澤連斯基。
在通貨膨脹、工業危機、實際工資下降、儲蓄貶值和需要立即支付的賬單之間俄羅斯的戰爭已經使每位歐洲人損失了幾千歐元。如果俄羅斯在烏克蘭獲勝,歐盟邊界的結構性不穩定會導致更高的永久性軍事支出。通過阻止這一情況發生,弗拉基米爾澤連斯基領導的烏克蘭抵抗力量,完全是在降低歐洲的戰爭成本。
扭轉這個順序不是觀點問題,而是智力上的不誠實。
歐盟正在支持烏克蘭,以限製戰爭造成的損害,捍衛其邊界和利益,因為其遭受了俄羅斯侵略造成的能源、經濟、工業和軍事衝擊。是莫斯科將殖民主義和帝國主義的戰爭帶入歐洲,而不是反過來。
歐盟采用的金融工具是貸款,不是贈款。這是一筆共同債務,具有多年償還和利息;凍結的俄羅斯資產保證了其中一部分。它對意大利人來說並不花費如同損失金錢,而澤連斯基也未獲得任何東西。資金是分期撥付的,由歐洲委員會、歐洲投資銀行和國際貨幣基金組織控製。
烏克蘭的抵抗力量不是支出的來源,而是非法入侵的結果。支持它不僅是道德責任:而是依據國際法捍衛歐洲的一種方式。
這場俄羅斯戰爭,作為根本原因,挑戰所有邏輯和規則,已經讓每個意大利人損失了幾千歐元。
(圖:我在烏克蘭莫什恰拍攝了這段影片版權歸Giorgio Provinciali所有)
同樣,試圖為意大利共和國的一位部長,如薩爾維尼,所作出的非常嚴重且雙重錯誤的聲明辯護的邏輯和曆史顛倒,令人驚訝。
1812年拿破侖的戰役和1941年的巴巴羅薩行動主要發生在當今的烏克蘭:在烏克蘭中部和東部、德涅普河流域、頓巴斯、克裏米亞和烏克蘭草原。不到一個月前,我在莫什恰拍攝的視頻中記錄了烏克蘭人在2022年如何在第二次世界大戰的壕溝旁邊挖掘壕溝以保衛基輔。
幾個月前,我與一位來自蘇梅的遊擊隊員一起,解釋了如何使用金屬探測器,Alla Perdei和我找到了一些屬於納粹-法西斯士兵的硬幣、子彈和鈕扣,他們被派來入侵烏克蘭,但最終徒勞無功。烏克蘭國土遭到毀壞、數百萬人平民喪生、城市變成了戰場的情況下,正是烏克蘭耗盡並摧毀了那些侵略者的進攻能力。宣稱當時是俄羅斯在抵抗是一種簡化的宣傳,忽略了地緣政治的現實。拿破侖波拿巴和阿道夫希特勒並不是在阻止俄羅斯的進攻:他們是在入侵烏克蘭,向東推進。
並不是真的沒有人能夠阻止俄羅斯。事實是,正相反,那些試圖征服烏克蘭的人包括俄羅斯本身最終總是輸掉戰爭。
曆史回答了薩爾維尼部長和那些報紙。
沙皇俄國在1904至1905年的戰爭中遭受了慘重的失敗,當時它試圖向滿洲和朝鮮擴張,而日本則給予它徹底且壓倒性的損失。俄羅斯艦隊在對馬海戰中被摧毀,帝國失去了旅順港,並遭到羞辱,被迫簽署和平條約。隨後的那一年,發生了1905年革命。
在1939至1940年間,蘇聯試圖入侵芬蘭。俄軍遭受了巨大的損失,暴露出其低效。這次失敗如此嚴重,以至於阿道夫希特勒意識到紅軍遠非不可戰勝。納粹-法西斯部隊最終在烏克蘭崩潰。持續了十年的阿富汗戰爭(19791989)是一場完全的戰略失敗,最終導致1991年蘇聯的崩潰。
在烏克蘭,俄羅斯已經在戰略上被阻止:它想征服基輔、推翻政府並吞並整個國家。結果如何時顯而易見。
因此,俄羅斯的確可以被阻止,每次試圖發動擴張戰爭時,最後都會失敗。其不可戰勝的神話是宣傳,而不是曆史。而被阻止在烏克蘭的意大利人,應該最清楚這一點。
(圖:我與Alla拍攝了這張照片,當時在一個由蘇梅的遊擊隊員為抵抗俄軍建造的壕溝裏,正是在二戰交戰的同一森林中版權歸Giorgio Provinciali所有)
(圖:我在莫什恰拍的照片,烏克蘭在與二戰壕溝完全相同的位置上修建了新的壕溝版權歸Giorgio Provinciali所有)
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