Peace Needs Ammo, and Europe Cant Fill the Void Left by the US
By:Giorgio Provinciali
Live from Ukraine ????????
THANKS TO ALL WHO BACK US IN THESE HARD TIMES
Sloviansk In the past few hours, the Russian Federation has launched 460 high-explosive drones and 22 other missiles of various types to strike energy targets in Kyiv and five other regions of Ukraine.
Six of those drones crossed into Ukrainian airspace, ending up in Moldova and Romania without being neutralized in time. Ukrainian air defenses still shot down a large portion of the ballistic threats, proving the effectiveness of the Patriot and Samp/T defense systems and the algorithms developed in Kyiv almost three years ago.All of those Russian missiles were recently produced.
As President Zelensky noted, this once again showshow essential weapons are, especially now when diplomacy is at stake. However, it also confirms that after 12 years of war and sanctions the Russian Federation still has the money and resources to produce these vectors of death.
Suffice it to say that asingle Kinzhal missile contains around 48 non-Russian components: Moscows air force launched four yesterday, and Kyivs anti-aircraft defenses only shot down one. Depending on the version,an Iskander includes 15 to 32 parts produced abroad: of the seven fired, five were intercepted;a Kalibr has 45 foreign electronic components: eight launched, five neutralized.
Those asking Ukraine togive up something for peaceshould also have a clear conscience knowing that they have done the same.Especially those who pressured this country to give up its nuclear deterrent (the third worlds largest in 1994) in exchange for vague promises.
Investing in defense and maintaining strong sanctions on the aggressor is crucial today in light of attacks like those on European cities such as Kyiv, Dnipro, Lviv, Odesa, and Kharkiv. The six russian vectors that crossed into Moldovan and Romanian territory (the latest in a long list) highlight how close the rest of Europe is. However,separating these strikes from the situation on the front remains a serious but common mistake in the West, to the point that it has affected its stability.
Ukraine needs weapons right now when peace is being discussed. European weapons, however, that Europe itself does not have.
An interesting comparison of Russian and Ukrainian forcescompiledby Molly Carlough and Benjamin Harris for the Council on Foreign Relationshighlightshow in the face of the enormous disproportion between the parties in this area, which is the primary problem afflicting Ukraine the European Union is unable to provide enough to fill the gap left by the United States of Americaafter Donald Trumps second inauguration at the White House.
The EU continues to rely on the American industrial system despite its clear betrayals, such as the intelligence blackout that ended the Kursk operation and the over six-month halt in military supplies that helped lead to the collapse of the Avdiivka front.
The Russian narrative has penetrated the Western media to the point of implying that the problem in Ukraine is manpower, leading to the convenient recommendation to extend the mobilization to the 1824 age group.This is the easiest way to wash ones hands of the matter, reducing it all to an internal issue.
Since the very beginning of the large-scale invasion of Ukraine, Europe made the mistake ofsuccumbing to simple narratives about the war, spread by activists, propagandists, and milbloggers, which suggested that a poorly armed army would come to Ukraine with shovels and goats to steal chips from washing machines. Meanwhile, billions of euros and top-quality Western technology continued to flow into Russia.Today, the Russian narrative aims to discredit the President of Ukraine and the Commander-in-Chief of its Armed Forces, while tens of thousands of Ukrainians find themselves on the front lines without adequate means to defend their country i.e., Europe and Ukrainian cities are being bombed with hundreds of missiles each night significantly impacting the situation at the front.
Winning the war by any means possible, including the material exhaustion of Ukraine, is precisely the goal of the Russian leadership.
Despite this enormous disparity in weapons and ammunition, much of the West still funds the Russian war effort, advising Ukraine to recruit even more men.Entire brigades are all around us, ready to attack but lacking the means to do so. To the half-thousand missiles and nearly a thousand Russian glide bombs raining down daily on our homes and the positions of young soldiers positions, Ukraine can only respond with a few dozen home-made drones, even fewer glide bombs, and very few missiles. Made in Ukraine, because Western ones are subject to suchabsurd restrictions that leave Ukraine fighting with one hand tied behind its back against a stronger opponent.
Meanwhile,millions of artillery shells keep flowing from Pyongyang, along with an equal number of drones coming from Beijing.
Under these conditions, it takes real courage to criticize Zelensky and Syrsky, reminding them that theydont have the cards.
THANKS TO ALL WHO BACK US IN THESE HARD TIMES
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感謝所有在這段艱難時期支持我們的人
????????幫助我們購買無人機探測器????????????
在過去的三年裏，作為自由撰稿人，我們一直在烏克蘭戰爭的所有前線進行報導，自從大規模
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和平需要彈藥，而歐洲無法填補美國留下的空白
作者：Giorgio Provinciali
烏克蘭前線報道????????
斯拉維揚斯克-在過去幾個小時裏，俄羅斯聯邦發射了460架高爆無人機和22枚其他類型的導彈，以打擊基輔和烏克蘭其他五個地區的能源目標。
其中六架無人機進入了烏克蘭空域，最終在沒有及時被擊落的情況下飛入摩爾多瓦和羅馬尼亞。烏克蘭的防空係統仍然擊落了大量彈道威脅，證明了愛國者和Samp/T防禦係統以及近三年前在基輔開發的算法的有效性。所有這些俄羅斯導彈都是最近生產的。
正如澤倫斯基總統所指出的，這再次表明武器的重要性，特別是在外交麵臨挑戰的情況下。然而，這也證實了，經過12年的戰爭和製裁，俄羅斯聯邦仍然擁有生產這些致命武器的資金和資源。
隻需拿匕首導彈舉例來說，一枚導彈就包含約48個非俄羅斯組件：莫斯科的空軍昨天發射了四枚，而基輔的防空係統僅擊落了一枚。根據不同版本，伊斯坎德爾導彈包括15至32個國外生產的部件：七枚發射中有五枚被攔截；卡利布爾則有45個外國電子組件：發射的八枚中五枚被攔截。
那些要求烏克蘭為和平放棄某些東西的人也應該清楚的認知到，烏克蘭曾經這樣做過。尤其是那些施壓烏克蘭放棄核威懾力量（1994年時烏是世界第三大核武庫）以換取模糊承諾的人。
如今，考慮到基輔、德尼普羅、利沃夫、敖德薩和哈爾科夫等歐洲城市遭受的攻擊，投資於國防並對侵略者維持強有力的製裁顯得至關重要。六個進入摩爾多瓦和羅馬尼亞領土的俄羅斯導彈（這隻是眾多事件中最新的一起）突顯了其餘歐洲的脆弱。然而，西方在將這些攻擊與前線形勢分開來看，仍然是一個嚴重但普遍的錯誤，以至於影響了其穩定性。
（圖：在我身後，這張在頓涅茨克地區拍攝的照片中，有兩則廣告，聲稱願意支付高價收購無人機-版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
在談判和平的時候，烏克蘭現在急需武器。可惜，歐洲自己的武器卻並不充足。
由莫莉卡爾洛和本傑明哈裏斯為外交關係委員會編製的俄羅斯和烏克蘭軍隊的有趣比較，突顯了在這一領域各方之間巨大不成比例的情況下（這是困擾烏克蘭的主要問題），歐洲聯盟無法提供足夠的支持以填補美國在唐納德特朗普第二次入主白宮後留下的空白。
盡管歐盟遭遇了明顯的背叛，如導致庫爾斯克行動結束的情報封鎖和導致阿夫迪伊夫卡戰線的崩潰的六個多月的軍事供應停滯，但歐盟仍然依賴美國的工業體係。
（圖：Alla在利沃夫現場報道。俄羅斯每天都會轟炸烏克蘭的歐洲城市????????-版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
俄羅斯的敘述已滲透到西方媒體，甚至暗示烏克蘭的問題在於人力，導致延長征兵範圍擴大至18至24歲的便宜建議。這是將問題簡化為內部事務、徹底撇清關係的最簡單方式。
自俄羅斯大規模入侵烏克蘭之初，歐洲就犯了一個錯誤，屈從於由活動家、宣傳者和軍事博客作者傳播的關於戰爭的簡單敘述，這些敘述聲稱一支武裝不足的軍隊會帶著鐵鍬和山羊來烏克蘭竊取洗衣機的芯片。與此同時，數十億歐元和優質西方技術持續流入俄羅斯。今天，俄羅斯的敘述旨在詆毀烏克蘭總統和其武裝部隊的總指揮，而數以萬計的烏克蘭人在前線缺乏足夠的武器保衛他們的國家，保衛歐洲；烏克蘭的城市每晚都遭到數百枚導彈的轟炸，顯著影響著前線局勢。
以任何可能的手段贏得戰爭，包括對烏克蘭的物質耗竭，正是俄羅斯領導層的目標。
（圖：Alla在烏克蘭利沃夫，照片中的黃色幕布上寫著Ц?на，意思是烏克蘭獨立和主權的代價。所有其他旗幟展示著為為保衛烏克蘭犧牲的戰士的照片和故事，以及那些不可剝奪的價值觀--版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
盡管武器和彈藥之間存在巨大的差距，西方的很多國家仍然資助俄羅斯的戰爭行動，並建議烏克蘭招募更多士兵。周圍到處都是整支部隊，雖然準備好攻擊，卻缺乏必要的武器。麵對每天向我們的家園和年輕士兵陣地傾瀉而下的五百枚導彈和近千枚俄製滑翔炸彈，烏克蘭隻能用幾十架自製無人機、甚至更少的滑翔炸彈和極少的導彈進行反抗。這些武器均為烏克蘭製造，因為西方的武器受到如此荒謬的限製，使烏克蘭在對抗強大的對手時猶如一隻手被綁在背後作戰。
與此同時，數百萬炮彈不斷從平壤流入，而來自北京的無人機數量也在不斷增加。
在這種情況下，批評澤倫斯基和西爾斯基，提醒他們沒有牌可打，需要真正的勇氣。
（圖：我在烏克蘭斯拉維揚斯克的一處抗無人機走廊下，寫下這篇文章的前一刻。????????-版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
