While reinforcements to Ukraine slow down, Russia changes tactics but not targets
By: Giorgio Provinciali
（The original article：https://medium.com/@giorgioprovinciali/while-reinforcements-to-ukraine-slow-down-russia-changes-tactics-but-not-targets-b68a6decf7ff）
Live from Ukraine ????????
Dytiatkivska Throughout the night, yesterday, the Russian Federation continued to strike civilian targets in Ukraine, launching over 380 drones and 35 other missiles of various types against a series of energy infrastructures in several regions, particularly those related to gas transportation.
The main directions of attack were the oblasts of Cherkasy, Dnipropetrovsk, Kharkiv, Odesa, Poltava, and Sumy. The impacts of the 94 Russian air targets that escaped anti-aircraft fire reveal thatMoscow adapted trajectories, launch dynamics, and likely even the actual hardware of those launchers to evade Ukrainian defenses with evasive maneuvers.
None of the seven Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missiles launched by the Russians were shot down. Nearly half of the Iskander-K cruise missiles and one out of four Shahed/Geran/Gerbera drones launched by the Russians hit about fifteen Ukrainian locations. Debris falling on six others indicatesa coordinated attack involving decoy drones and missiles that can abruptly change course after following a standard trajectory. This is terrible news, especially now thatUkraine is facing increasingly slow deliveries of the only interceptors Patriot and Samp/T capable of stopping Russian ballistic threats.
Due to these attacks, now increasingly carried out in broad daylight and against civilian targets such as schools and hospitals, in addition to those mentioned yesterday on these pages, otherschools in various regions of Ukraine have switched to distance learning. The Russian Air Force has adjusted its attack methods but has not changed its targeting.
In Poltava, for example, yesterdayeven the Church of St. Nicholas of the Ukrainian Orthodox Church was targeted, destroying five of its bays.
To counter increasingly severe attacks, including those using FPV drones and artillery,the curfew in Donetsk oblast has been extended from 3:00 PM to 11:00 AMacross all settlements in the Siverska, Soledarska, Toretska, Lymanska, Druzhkivska, Illinivska, Kostyantynivska, Pokrovska, Hrodivska, Myrnogradska, Udachnenska, and Shakhivska hromadas. This ordinance, now in effect, expands the so-called komendanstska hodyna byrequiring residents to stay barricaded in their homes for 18 hours each day a necessary measure asthe Russians are attacking with unprecedented ferocity and across the board, targeting both civilians and military locations.
Yesterday alone,615 artillery shells were fired at 17 settlements in the Zaporizhzhia region, trying to open a new front to compensate for the failures in each of those Donbas districts.
Not far away,the Ukrainian General Staff has evidence that they are attempting to dangerously connect the six reactors of the Enerhodar nuclear power plant to the Russian power grid. They have been held hostage for three years and have been cooling them for the past eleven days with diesel generators that have a limited autonomy of just one more week. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andryi Sybiha reported that the Russians intentionally shut down the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant for this very purpose and are now trying to restart its reactors to display Putins control of the area, despite promising the IAEA they would not do so.
This is essentially another military maneuver, which, after the blackout at the Chornobyl nuclear power plant, shows how every step taken by the Russian Federation represents a mortal risk and the beginning of a path to disaster Sybiha observed.
This eleventh episode since the start of the war is no coincidence, but rather evidence thatPutin has no qualmsabout using nuclear security as a weapon.
This is a further, dangerous escalation of the shift already undertaken by the Russians to weaken Ukrainian defenses, leavingthe weak point of energy security exposed to strategic consequences that impact all of Europe.
當對烏克蘭的增援減緩時，俄羅斯改變戰術，但目標不變
作者：Giorgio Provinciali
（原文全文鏈接：https://medium.com/@giorgioprovinciali/while-reinforcements-to-ukraine-slow-down-russia-changes-tactics-but-not-targets-b68a6decf7ff）
Dytiatkivska昨天整晚，俄羅斯聯邦繼續襲擊烏克蘭的民用目標，發射了380多架無人機和35枚其他各種型號的導彈，攻擊幾個地區的一係列能源基礎設施，特別是與天然氣運輸相關的基礎設施。
主要的攻擊方向是切爾卡瑟、第聶伯羅彼得羅夫斯克、哈爾科夫、敖德薩、波爾塔瓦和蘇梅等州。逃脫防空火力攔截的94個俄羅斯空中目標的衝擊顯示，莫斯科調整了彈道軌跡、發射動態，甚至可能調整了這些發射器的實際硬件，以透過規避動作來躲避烏克蘭的防禦。
俄羅斯發射的七枚Iskander-M/KN-23彈道導彈沒有一枚被擊落。俄軍發射的近一半的Iskander-K巡航導彈和四分之一的Shahed/Geran/Gerbera無人機擊中了約15個烏克蘭場所。落在其他六個地點的碎片表明，這次襲擊是誘餌無人機和導彈的協調攻擊，這些導彈在標準彈道軌跡飛行途中就可以突然改變航向。這是個可怕的消息，特別是現在，烏克蘭麵臨著唯一能夠阻止俄羅斯彈道威脅的攔截器愛國者和Samp/T-的交付速度越來越慢的形勢。
（圖：我，拍攝地蘇梅和哈爾科夫之間的這個小村莊正是俄羅斯襲擊的烏克蘭平民（房屋）基礎設施-版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
由於這些襲擊越來越多地在光天化日之下針對學校和醫院等民用目標，除了昨天我們報道的那些之外，烏克蘭各個地區的其他學校已轉為遠程教學。俄羅斯空軍調整了其攻擊方法，但沒有改變目標。
例如，昨天在波爾塔瓦，就連烏克蘭東正教聖尼古拉斯教堂也成為了目標，摧毀了它的五個壁龕。
為了應對越來越嚴重的襲擊，包括那些使用FPV無人機和大炮的襲擊，頓涅茨克州的宵禁已從下午3:00延長至上午11:00，涉及西韋爾斯卡、索萊達斯卡、托雷茨卡、萊曼斯卡、德魯日科夫斯卡、伊利尼夫斯卡、科斯蒂安蒂諾夫斯卡、波克羅夫斯卡、赫羅迪夫斯卡、米爾諾格拉德斯卡、烏達奇南斯卡和沙希夫斯卡赫羅馬達斯卡的所有定居點。該法令現已生效，通過要求居民每天在各自的家中封鎖18小時，擴大了所謂的komendanstska hodyna這是一項必要的措施，因為俄羅斯人正在以前所未有的殘暴針對平民和軍事地點發動全麵攻擊，。
（圖：在俄羅斯襲擊期間，Alla在一棟烏克蘭平民建築內-版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
僅昨天一天，就有615枚炮彈射向劄波羅熱地區的17個定居點，試圖開辟一個新的戰線，以彌補在頓巴斯各個地區的失敗。
烏克蘭總參謀部有證據表明，在不遠的埃涅爾霍達核電廠，俄軍正試圖以危險的方式將六座反應爐連接到俄羅斯電網。核電廠已被俄軍劫持三年，並且在過去的11天裏一直使用柴油發電機為其冷卻，而柴油發電機自主性有限，僅有一周。烏克蘭外交部長Andryi Sybiha報告說，俄羅斯人正是為此目的而故意關閉了劄波羅熱核電廠，現在正試圖重新啟動其反應爐，以展示普丁對該地區的控製，盡管他們曾向國際原子能總署承諾不會這樣做。
Sybiha觀察到，這本質上是另一項軍事行動，繼切爾諾貝利核電站停電後，顯示了俄羅斯聯邦采取的每一步是怎樣代表著致命的風險和通往災難的道路的開始。
自戰爭開始以來逐漸升級的事件並非巧合，而是證明普京毫不顧忌地將核安全用作武器。
這是俄羅斯人已經采取的削弱烏克蘭防禦的轉變的進一步、危險的升級，使能源安全的薄弱點暴露給影響整個歐洲的戰略後果。
（圖：我和Alla在俄羅斯襲擊後的烏克蘭多布羅皮利亞????????-版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
