Total Lies Create False Progress, While the Field Shows that Attacking Costs Far More Than Defending
By: Giorgio Provinciali
Live from Ukraine ????????
Kyiv During an interview with Axios, the President of Ukraine addressed a crucial point yesterday, supporting it with two undeniable facts:Putin does not have enough military equipment and personnel to win the war.
First, becausehis strongest battalions have been destroyed: since the beginning of 2025, he has lost approximately 346,000 men due to deaths and injuries, which is the same number he mobilized during that period.
Second, it is clear thatthe assurances he privately gave to Trump in Anchorage that he would invade all of Donbas by mid-October have failed badly.
Consequently, as Zelensky noted, the Russians are using the highways they have built in the Western information space to make thoseimaginary advancesthat on the ground proceed uphill and with the handbrake pulled.
Accordingto British intelligence statistics,the Russian army has lost 1,118,000 soldiers since the beginning of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine. At a rate of a thousand casualties per day, the Russian authorities are now considering the introduction of annual conscription to reduce the impact of these losses on the populations morale.
Just yesterday, the Russians launched a new mechanized assault on Volodymyrivka and Shakhove, deploying 29 armored vehicles in that sector of Dobropillia but ultimately losing more than half of them (two tanks, 12 combat vehicles, and one light anti-tank gun). That massive loss of men and resources resulted only in the infiltration of a few Russian soldiers into Shakhove, while the Ukrainian Defense Forces successfully repelled the occupiers at least three points (Fedorivka, Nikanorivka, and Novy Shakhovy), after raising the yellow-and-blue flag at at least three others: Sukhetske, Zatyshok, and Kucheriv Yar.
Saying that, overall, Russia is not making any progress is incorrect because, at a very high human, economic, and technical cost, some progress has been achieved. However, it is equally misleading to interpret daily setbacks like those described as success.
The Russian army is bleeding much faster than the Ukrainian one, because if theres one thing this great war of the new millennium has proven, its thatattacking costs disproportionately much more than defending.
Current technologies enable the affordable production of drones capable of neutralizing multi-million dollar attacks and mechanized vehicles, just as was seen in the Russian offensive against Shakhove and Volodymyrivka, which is a carbon copy of at least two other similar unsuccessful attempts by the Russians between September and October on Kostiantynivka and Kupiansk.
There,in Pokrovsk, Russian saboteurs have indeed infiltratedand, at a significant cost, are nowtrying to reinforce positions that the Ukrainians have repeatedly destroyed, who keep pushing them back until their generals send more.
Faced with such a situation, any observer with the slightest knowledge of the facts would have immediately dismissed asfalse the news released by the Russian news agency TASS about the alleged encirclement of 5,000 Ukrainian troops. Unfortunately, however,the media actually present on the ground is increasingly rare, and so lies find fertile ground. If, as I reported yesterday, its the public information service itself thats reposting certain fake news created by those agencies, theres no reason why the Kremlins megaphones shouldnt feel compelled to spread even bigger ones. Thus, it happens that the supposedly encircled Ukrainian soldiers number as many as 10,000, as some Italian news sources report, citing alleged analysis and defense sources written by the same authors.
This issue isnt confined to Italy; it has become so serious worldwide that Zelensky needed to intervene directly, dismissing those exaggerated stories astotal liesdesigned to give the false impression of an imminent Russian victory.As the Ukrainian president clarified,aside from minor adjustments, the front-line situation has stayed the same for two or three months. However,the situation described by the media is not, and thats where the true strength of the Wests enemy lies.
For years, Moscow has invested enormous sums to consolidate a network of spies, informants, officials, and corrupt journalists which was once the pride of the former Soviet Union, skillfully adapting it to new technologies. Considering the cost of war on the military side and the repercussions of media coverage on the political decisions that can influence a global conflict, those pharaonic expenditures are peanuts, which have yielded truly remarkable returns.
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在過去的三年裏，作為自由撰稿人，我們一直在烏克蘭戰爭的所有前線進行報道，自從大規模
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謊言製造虛假進展，而戰場顯示攻擊遠比防禦付出更高的代價
作者：Giorgio Provinciali
烏克蘭現場報道????????
基輔昨天,烏克蘭總統在接受Axios采訪時，談到了一個關鍵問題，並用兩個不可否認的事實予以支持：普京沒有足夠的軍事裝備和兵力贏得這場戰爭。
首先，因為他最強大的營已被摧毀：自2025年初以來，因傷亡和犧牲普京已損失大約34.6萬人，這與他在此期間動員的兵力相當。
其次，很明顯他私下向特朗普在安克雷奇做出的承諾到十月中旬將全麵入侵頓巴斯徹底失敗。
因此，正如澤連斯基所指出的，俄軍利用他們在西方信息空間建造的公路，進行那些想象中的推進，雖然在地麵上前進，但卻像是踩著刹車上坡一樣。
（圖：Alla在烏克蘭防線報道版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
根據英國情報統計，自全麵入侵烏克蘭以來，俄軍已損失111.8萬名士兵。以每日千餘人傷亡的速度，俄羅斯當局現在考慮引入年度征兵，以減輕這些損失對民眾士氣的衝擊。
就在昨天，俄軍對沃洛迪米裏夫卡和沙霍韋發動了一次新的機械化攻擊，在多布羅品利地區部署了29輛裝甲車，但最終損失了其中一半以上（2輛坦克、12輛戰鬥車和一門輕型反坦克炮）。大量人力和資源的損失，隻換來少數俄軍士兵潛入沙霍韋，而烏克蘭國防軍則成功在至少三個地點（費多雷夫卡、尼康諾裏夫卡和諾維沙霍韋）擊退了敵人，並至少在另外三個地點升起了藍黃旗（蘇赫茨克、紮蒂肖克和庫切裏夫雅爾）。
總體而言，聲稱俄羅斯沒有取得任何進展是不正確的，因為在極高的人力、經濟和技術成本下，俄軍已經取得了一些進展。然而，將對方的日常挫折宣稱為自己的成功，也是具有極度誤導性。
俄軍的傷亡速度遠遠快於烏克蘭，因為這場新時代的偉大戰爭已證明，進攻的成本遠遠高於防禦。
現代技術能夠負擔的起生產那種無人機，可以破壞價值數百萬美元的攻擊和機械化車輛，正如在俄軍對沙霍韋和沃洛迪米裏夫卡的攻擊，就是俄軍在九月至十月間在科斯蒂安蒂夫卡和庫皮揚斯克的兩次失敗嚐試的複製品。
在波克羅夫斯克，付出了巨大代價後，俄羅斯破壞者確實已經成功潛入，目前正試圖鞏固那些烏軍多次摧毀的據點，而烏軍則不斷將其擊退，直到他們的將軍派出更多增援。
（圖：我在烏軍的一個戰壕中版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
麵對如此局勢，任何對事實稍有了解的觀察者都會立即駁斥俄羅斯新聞機構塔斯社關於包圍了5000名烏克蘭士兵的報道，視其為假新聞。然而，不幸的是，親赴現場報道的媒體越來越少，這為謊言提供了滋生的沃土。正如我昨天所報道的，甚至是公眾信息服務本身也在轉發由這些機構製造的假新聞，克裏姆林宮的喉舌沒有理由不去傳播更大規模的虛假信息。因此，正如一些意大利新聞來源報道，所謂被包圍的烏克蘭士兵數量據稱多達1萬人，是引用了由同一作者撰寫的所謂分析和防禦消息來源。
這個問題並不局限於意大利；它已經在全球範圍內變得如此嚴重，以至於澤連斯基不得不直接介入，斥責這些誇張的報道為徹頭徹尾的謊言，旨在營造俄羅斯勝利在即的虛假印象。正如烏克蘭總統所澄清的，除了少許變動外，前線局勢在過去兩三個月內一直保持不變。然而，媒體描述的情況並非如此，這也揭示了西方敵人的真正實力所在。
多年來，莫斯科投入巨資鞏固了一張由間諜、線人、官員和腐敗記者組成的網絡，這曾是前蘇聯的驕傲，並巧妙地采用新技術如虎添翼。考慮到軍事方麵的戰爭成本，以及媒體報道對可能影響全球衝突的政治決策的影響，這些巨額的開支根本微不足道，卻帶來了非常顯著的回報。
（圖：我為意大利報紙La Ragione撰寫的專欄版權所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
