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Investing in Ukraine to Defend Europe
By: Giorgio Provinciali
Live from Ukraine ????????
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Kyiv The Russian Federation launched 320 drones and 37 other missiles, including 28 ballistic missiles, against Ukraine last night. Ukrainian air defenses managedto shoot down 283 drones and five of the seven Kh-59 guided rocketsfired by the Russians.All 26 enemyIskander-M/KNN-23s, two Kh-47M2 Kinzhal aeroballistic missiles, and two Iskander-K cruisemissiles evaded Ukrainian anti-aircraft fire, with18 even being lostdue to undetection. For the sixth time since October,dozens of these missiles struck civilian targets linked to the supply of gasand therefore heatto Ukraine, causing casualties among Naftogaz technicians and workers. This prompted Naftogaz Chairman of the Board of Directors, Serhiy Koretsky, to urge the population to conserve this precious hydrocarbon, saying,The company will have the strength to overcome this, butevery cubic meter of gas saved counts today.
The Ukrainian Armed Forces responded by striking one of the oldest oil refineries in the Russian Federation at night: the one in Saratov, which, with its 4.8 million tons of refined petroleum products annually, meets a large portion of Putins armys needs.
Beyond Moscows adjustments to missile trajectories, launch methods, and hardware,the core issue is the huge decline in foreign arms supplies to Ukraine. Estimates from the Kiel Institute for the World Economy indicatea 43% decline in Western aid to Ukraine, primarily due to two factors:deliveries of military equipment are often lower than promised, andUkraines increasing production capacity means that many partners are now transferring funds instead of weapons.
As its Defense Minister, Denys Shmyhal,explainedfollowing the Ramstein meetings,Ukraine aims to produce as many as 20 million drones by 2026. This is a considerable amount, especially considering the precarious energy, logistics, and labor conditions of a country at war like Ukraine, which for 12 years has been stripped of much of its richest territories and most productive industrial facilities and has been targeted daily in this manner for 1,330 days. This also includes interceptor drones, of which Shmyhal has promised to reach a record number of 1,000 per day in the near future. Much of the coverage of the Ukrainian skies, now being mortally pierced by the Russian Federation, depends on those UAVs.
In September, the European Commission agreed with Ukraine to allocate 2 billion for drone production. Over half of NATO countries have already made or at least declared their contributions, including 600 million from Norway, 106 million from the Netherlands, 8 million from Canada, and 4 million from Iceland, among others. Italy remains in limbo, suspended in an indefinite state of fine words and imponderable transfers of military equipment, covered by state secrecy and long unreported. However, examining the graphs of the Ukraine Support Tracker, recentlyupdatedby researchers at The Kiel Institute for the World Economy, its clear that Italy isnt particularly generous. Regardless of its share of EU aid, Italy (0.14%) lags behind Portugal (0.15%) in direct bilateral support to Ukraine in terms of its GDP share.
Given the radical shift in the American position on this issue, its clear thatinitiatives under the Prioritized Ukraine Requirement List (PURL) or inspired by the so-called Danish model play a crucial role for Europe in a war that directly affects it.
According to testimonies shared on social media by many civilians in the region,Mykolaiv was hit for the first time yesterday by a Russian KAB guided aerial bomb, which flew over 150 km at a speed of nearly 500 km/h. This is also bad news for Moldova and Romania, as similar devices dropped from the same launch point in the Black Sea could impact their territory.
Theresultsof the latest tests, which involved subjecting several integrated systems to demanding conditions at the Directorate General of Armaments testing grounds in France, have highlighted promising solutions developed by NATO, including the participation (for the first time in its history) of Ukrainian teams. Therefore, it is essential to maintain high levels of attention and funding for initiatives aimed at addressing common threats to both Ukraine and the members of the Atlantic Alliance.
Every dollar invested in Ukraines defense ensures the security of Europe.
投資烏克蘭,捍衛歐洲
作者:Giorgio Provinciali
來自烏克蘭的報道
基輔昨晚,俄羅斯聯邦發射了320架無人機和37枚其他導彈,其中包括28枚彈道導彈,襲擊烏克蘭。烏克蘭的防空部隊成功擊落了俄羅斯發射的283架無人機和7枚Kh-59製導火箭彈中的5枚。所有26枚伊斯坎德爾-M/KNN-23型敵方導彈、2枚Kh-47M2匕首高超音速導彈以及2枚伊斯坎德爾-K巡航導彈都躲過了烏克蘭的防空火力,其中有18枚因為未被探測到而失去蹤跡。自十月以來,這已經是第六次發生數十枚導彈襲擊與天然氣供應和供暖有關的民用目標,造成了烏克蘭石油天然氣公司技術人員和工人的傷亡。這促使烏克蘭石油天然氣公司董事會主席謝爾蓋科列茨基呼籲民眾節約這種珍貴的碳氫化合物,並表示,公司將有實力克服這種情況,但每一立方米的節約都至關重要。
作為回應,烏克蘭武裝部隊在夜間襲擊了俄羅斯聯邦最古老的煉油廠之一:薩拉托夫的煉油廠,該廠每年生產480萬噸精煉石油產品,滿足了普京軍隊的大部分需求。
(圖:我,拍攝於近期俄羅斯對基輔的一次襲擊後,襲擊情況如文中所描述--版權所有,Giorgio Provinciali)
除了莫斯科方麵調整了導彈的軌跡、發射方式和硬件之外,核心問題是外國對烏克蘭的武器供應大幅下降。基爾世界經濟研究所的估計顯示,西方對烏克蘭的援助下降了43%,主要是由於兩個因素:軍事裝備的交付往往低於承諾的數量;烏克蘭不斷提高的生產能力意味著許多合作夥伴現在正在轉移資金而不是武器本身。
正如烏克蘭國防部長丹尼斯什米哈爾在拉姆施泰因會議後解釋的那樣,烏克蘭的目標是到2026年生產多達2000萬架無人機。這是一個相當大的數量,特別是考慮到烏克蘭這個飽受戰爭摧殘的國家在能源、物流和勞動力方麵的嚴峻形勢,12年來,烏克蘭被剝奪了大部分最富饒的領土和最具生產力的工業設施,並且每天都是前述規模的襲擊目標,這樣已經持續了1330天。烏克蘭的目標還包括攔截無人機,什米哈爾承諾在不久的將來達到每天1000架的創紀錄數量。到那時烏克蘭天空的大部分都會被這些無人機覆蓋,而現在卻隻能受到俄羅斯聯邦的致命打擊。
(圖:在視頻中,Alla從克拉馬托爾斯克解釋說,頓巴斯曾經是烏克蘭經濟的驅動力,但現在卻依賴於該國其他地區,因為頓巴斯遭受了12年的俄羅斯襲擊。--版權所有,Giorgio Provinciali)
今年9月,歐盟委員會與烏克蘭同意為無人機生產撥款20億歐元。超過一半的北約國家支付或至少申領了他們的份額,其中包括挪威的6億歐元,荷蘭的1.06億歐元,加拿大的800萬歐元以及冰島的400萬歐元等等。意大利仍然處於懸而未決的狀態,隻有無休止的地華詞,和未知的軍事裝備轉移,並以國家保密為由無信息披露。然而,從基爾世界經濟研究所研究人員最近更新的烏克蘭支持追蹤圖表來看,很明顯,意大利並不是特別慷慨。無論其在歐盟援助中所占的份額如何,以其GDP份額而言,意大利(0.14%)在對烏克蘭的直接雙邊支持方麵落後於葡萄牙(0.15%)。
(圖:來源與版權:Trebesch et al. (2023),烏克蘭援助追蹤器,基爾世界經濟研究所)
鑒於美國在此問題上的立場發生了根本性轉變,很明顯,在烏克蘭優先需求清單(PURL)下的倡議或受所謂的丹麥模式啟發,將在直接影響歐洲的戰爭中對歐洲發揮關鍵作用。
(圖:來源與版權:Trebesch et al. (2023),烏克蘭援助追蹤器,基爾世界經濟研究所)
根據尼古拉耶夫許多平民在社交媒體上分享的證詞,該地區昨天首次遭到俄羅斯KAB製導航空炸彈的襲擊,該炸彈以接近500公裏/小時的速度飛行了150多公裏。這對摩爾多瓦和羅馬尼亞來說也是個壞消息,因為從黑海的同一發射點投放的類似裝置可能會影響到他們的領土。
在法國軍備總局的試驗場中涉及幾個集成係統處於苛刻的條件的最新測試的結果,突出顯示了北約開發的有前景的解決方案,也包括有史以來第一次的烏克蘭團隊的參與。因此,必須保持高度關注並資助旨在解決烏克蘭和北大西洋聯盟成員麵臨的共同威脅的倡議。
投資於烏克蘭國防的每一元都在確保歐洲的安全。