4/22: Update on QQQ/SPY

With the afterhours jump (over 450 with volume),  it is safer to assume we have completed blue "b". In fact, QQQ even touched 454 in afterhours. With this assumption, we could start to look forward to the push to Green A/Red B area (roughly QQQ 490)

454 is already within the target of what a wave 1 would be as the subwave to Green A. So, normally this could mean a wave 2 pullback should start from here. However, it is possible that market could extend itself further given the the news, and then start wave ii pullback.

These micro level movements impossible to figure out (the actual target below not accurate and only as illustrative purpose), but I think from here, market should favor "buy on dip" on the way to Green A

[三心三意]

回複 'lilidaisy' 的評論 :4/22日 博文裏說了圖中的點位隻是“illustrative purpose”，當時波浪的結構還沒出來，所以不能做出評估。波浪理論裏麵，我們更注重的是趨勢和走勢結構。

當我們有了比較明顯的1，2浪後，你可以用它們為基礎去估算

藍色a.b 可以用來做參考估算higher degree 的波浪目標區， 但更精確的估算要在specific wave 裏麵 （也就是說c浪裏麵的1-2-3-4-5浪）

[lilidaisy]

請問您在藍色C結構裏 (4/21 至今), 您標注了 1-5 小浪, 第一浪 1 您標注到 0.5 FIB (454.24), 第三浪 3 在 1.272 (474.49), 這些FIB 是怎樣算的? FIB 1 大概是 藍色 a 的 位置, 但是 1.272 這個 474.49 是怎樣算的. 我估計是對您用的 這個 FIB 的計算方法 不了解. 我一般都是 以藍色a 和 b 為基礎, 但是 卻得不到你的結果. 我的計算是: 467.83 (4/9 high)-427.93 (4/21 low) = 39.9, 39.9*1.272+ 427.93 = 478.68. 謝謝?

[三心三意]

多謝。這樣我也方遍找了：）

[axp]

謝謝分享到博客, made our life much easier!!!

[Olive_2]

感謝分享到博客，這樣複習功課更容易了.

[這樣子]

謝謝分享！今天衝到了463，收在了1的位置454.56