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Put/Call ratio 表明目前市場牛氣指數過高

(2026-05-12 02:19:57) 下一個

從4月份以來QQQ漲了16%,跌一點正常。如果其它經濟指標變差,也許有個更大的回調。

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As of May 11, 2026, the?CBOE Equity Put/Call Ratio?is 0.53, indicating a generally bullish sentiment among investors. A lower ratio (typically below 0.7) means fewer puts are traded relative to calls, signaling market optimism.?

Key Sentiment Indicators (May 8-11, 2026):

  • Equity Put/Call Ratio:?0.53.
  • Total Put/Call Ratio (CBOE):?0.81 (10-day moving average).
  • SP 500 Index ($SPX) Put/Call Ratio:?1.14 (suggesting hedging activity).?

What the Numbers Mean:

  • 0.7:?Generally indicates bullish sentiment.
  • 1.0:?Generally indicates bearish sentiment or high hedging activity.?

The 21-day moving average for the equity ratio is 0.59. High put/call ratios often indicate excessive fear, which can suggest a market rebound, while very low ratios may indicate market euphoria, potentially signalling a pullback.?

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'I he 'aho 11 'o ??Me, 2026, 'Oku 0.53 'a e CBOE 'Ekitiviti Put/Call Ratio, 'o fakahaa'i ai ha ongo fakalukufua 'o e 'inivesitoa 'i he lotolotonga 'o e kau 'inivesitoa. Ko ha ratio ma'ulalo ange ('oku angamaheni 'aki 'i lalo 'i he 0.7) 'oku 'uhinga ia 'oku si'isi'i ange 'a e ngaahi puts 'oku fefakatau'aki 'o fakatatau ki he ngaahi ui, signaling 'a e 'amanaki lelei 'o e maketi.?

Ngaahi Faka?ilonga Tefito ?o e Ongo?í (Mē 8-11, 2026):

* 'Ekitiviti Tuku/Ui 'a e Ratio: 0.53.

* Fakakatoa 'o e 'ai/Ui 'o e 'uhinga (CBOE): 0.81 ('avalisi 'o e 'aho 'e 10 'oku nga'unu).

* SP 500 Index ($SPX) Tuku/Ui 'a e 'uhinga: 1.14 (fokotu'u 'a e ngaue 'o e malu'i).?

Ko e ?Uhinga ?o e Ngaahi Fiká:

* 0.7: 'Oku fakahaa'i fakalukufua 'a e ongo'i 'o e bullish.

* 1.0: 'Oku fakahaa'i fakalukufua 'a e ongo'i bearish pe 'ekitiviti hedging ma'olunga.?

Ko e 'avalisi 'o e 'aho 'e 21 ki he 'ekitiviti 'oku 0.59. 'Oku fa'a fakahaa'i 'e he ngaahi 'inasi ma'olunga 'o e tuku/ui 'a e manavasi'i lahi, 'a ia 'e lava ke ne fokotu'u mai ha maketi rebound, lolotonga ia 'e lava ke fakahaa'i 'e he ngaahi 'inasi ma'ulalo 'aupito 'a e euphoria 'o e maketi, 'e malava ke faka'ilonga'i ha pullback.

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截至2026年5月11日,CBOE股票看跌/看漲期權比率為0.53,這表明投資者整體情緒偏向看漲。較低的比率(通常低於0.7)意味著相對於看漲期權而言,看跌期權的交易量較少,這預示著市場情緒較為樂觀。

關鍵情緒指標(2026年5月8日至11日):

* 股票看跌/看漲期權比率:0.53。

* 總體看跌/看漲期權比率(CBOE):0.81(10日移動平均值)。

* 標普500指數($SPX)看跌/看漲期權比率:1.14(表明存在對衝活動)。

數據解讀:

* 0.7:通常表明市場情緒看漲。

* 1.0:通常表明市場情緒看跌,或存在大量的對衝活動。

該股票比率的21日移動平均值為0.59。較高的看跌/看漲期權比率往往預示著市場存在過度恐慌情緒,這可能暗示市場即將反彈;而極低的比率則可能表明市場情緒過於亢奮(即“狂熱”),這或許預示著市場即將迎來回調。

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