金融評論：美國非農就業率與加薪

大千股壇：

”美國公布的失業率其實是有相當水分的，也不是市場上就業緊缺程度的真實反應。如果勞動市場強勁，為什麽很多人沒有獲得加薪呢？”

 

天朝玉：

 

根據聯邦儲兩天前的報告（見下），許多公司加薪了, 福利報酬也更慷慨了，但整體來說增長還是modest, 而且，各個聯邦區也不一樣。From May 30th Fed report:

 

“Employment and Wages

 

Employment rose at a modest to moderate rate across most Districts. Again, the Dallas District was the exception, where solid and widespread employment growth was reported. Labor market conditions remained tight across the country, and contacts continued to report difficulty filling positions across skill levels. Shortages of qualified workers were reported in various specialized trades and occupations, including truck drivers, sales personnel, carpenters, electricians, painters, and information technology professionals. Many firms responded to talent shortages by increasing wages as well as the generosity of their compensation packages. In the aggregate, however, wage increases remained modest in most Districts. Contacts in some Districts expected similar employment and wage gains in the coming months.”

 

Nonfarm payroll is one of the most important economic indicators compiled by Bureau of Labor Statistics. Many economists and statisticians and data are behind it. 如果這個都不信，還信什麽呢？：）

 

至於為什麽沒有”很多人加薪”，首先，define “很多”, 其次，there is often adjustment delay, imperfections that keep demand and supply from equilibrium in the labor market, just as often happens in the stock market. 不奇怪 ～

 

上麵提到的那個Fed Report, Fed FOMC committee members 就是根據這個報告而決定是否加息減息的，它有來自各個聯邦區的經濟情況信息，非常及時重要，我信。 至於唱空城計，製造假數據，這個有可能，但更多是在別的國家吧 ～