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如何TRADE

(2016-03-17 14:25:52) 下一個

言逆耳,希望有人能有所得。

borrowed from here:  http://bbs.wenxuecity.com/finance/3782956.html

1.趨勢一旦形成,如果要做波段,隻做單向(做空或者做多),一直做下去直到趨勢改變。不要試圖做雙向兩麵賺錢,

因為倉位決定立場,會把自己弄成牛不牛熊不熊的怪物,浪費趨勢,虧錢是必然的。

DUST has been in obvious down for a few days.  So the best is to short it (or buying NUGT) when DUST is in rebound high.

2.當對一個趨勢有了初步判斷,開始一定要控製倉位進行試倉。第一單沒有盈利,絕不要加倉向下攤成本,也不要立刻

轉變立場。耐心等一段時間一定會有清晰走勢(牛,熊,豬,猴)。不要反複進出,進入一賣就漲,一買就跌的“股神

”狀態。一天不交易,就覺得跟不上形勢,這是個很難改的毛病,虧損之源。

For this point, even our master of Ceramic Baby, did not follow strictly.  When the first bullet was at a loss, should not double-down.  Instead, should have cut it immediately, as the trend is not up, as what you/he has wishfully thought.

3.TA一定用最簡單的指標,不要在圖上比畫令人眼花繚亂的線線道道,除了誤導自己沒有任何好處。圖上本無什麽支持

和阻力位,畫得線多了就有了。

This is really not very important, compared to 2.

4.盈利時找個沒人的地方想想: 這次確實是水平不是運氣?

Most of fellow member here probably won't have such opportunities in the whole trading career.  Sadly, this is truth.

5.最重要一點:加強紀律性,革命無不勝!道理都懂,一進場就幻想“這次不同”,那一切都是浮雲了。

This is really the key.  For example, if following strict cut loss rule, most people's DUST position shall have been stopped out at ~9, ~10, or ~11.

 

Note:  1. from 60 min charts, it looks a like a 3 push-down pattern, and currently maybe DUST is near the end of the 2nd push-down, and after some possible rebound (maybe not), there is almost certain a 3rd push-down (on 60 min chart).  Also on 240/daily/weekly, more down is almost certain.  Suggestion is to short at DUST rebound high (by selling or buying NUGT).  Unfortnately from timing wise, Friday's closing shows DUST may stay here or much lower for more than just 1-2 weeks (as I talked about 2-3 days ago in a post here).  It might be possible for it to stay low until Mid-march, the FOMC meeting time.

2.  If the trend is not clear, just cut and stay watching.  The only trade I did this whole week was to buy uvxy at 37.xx on Monday and then sold around 42.xx on Tuesday, although I have been spent time studying and monitoring charts every day.

3. Best wishes everyone.  Hope you can study, and find the right way on your trading career, and realize your dream of financial freedom one day.

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