周末看盤：問蒼茫大地誰主沉浮？

2017年1月20日（上周五），揮舞著“讓美國再次偉大”的旗幟，川普神氣活現地步入白宮。在他16分鍾的就職演講中（從視頻 1:30:38 時開始），他大聲疾呼：

“。。。。。。We, the citizens of America, are now joined in a great national effort to rebuild our country and restore its promise for all of our people. Together we will determine the course of America and the world for many, many years to come. 。。。。。。”

標普過去6個月日線5天均線走勢圖：

看圖說話：新年伊始，標普從2235點位反彈上升後，主要是在2260-2280點位之間窄幅震蕩。K線圖顯示：MACD慢速移動平均線（藍線）繼續和快速移動平均線（紅線）一起緩慢下降。MACD能量柱在0軸下方窄幅波動。所以，標普必須上衝突破2280點位的壓製後多頭才能旱地拔蔥。在標普沒有跌破2250點位的技術支撐前空頭亦不得放肆。

標普過去5年周線5周均線走勢圖：

看圖說話：在經曆五波上升浪後，標普漲勢目前停滯不前。K線圖顯示：標普周線圖在5周均線上連續出現十字星，暗示技術回調趨勢在增加。布林格線開口張大。MACD能量柱在下降。MACD慢速移動平均線（藍線）和快速移動平均線（紅線）在0軸上方30-45區間的乖離過大。標普周線出現量價背離，STO高位是否能夠上衝90區間尚無定論。

標普過去10年月線5個月均線走勢圖：

看圖說話：從2016年2月起，標普月線就一直沿5個月均線上升。目前，標普月線仍然維持3連陽的態勢。K線圖顯示：標普月線牛勢未盡。MACD能量柱仍在0軸上方。MACD慢速移動平均線（藍線）和快速移動平均線（紅線）在0軸上方70-75區間處出現金叉。拭目以待，看空頭能否在本月最後的7個交易日裏阻擋住標普月線繼續上升的步伐。

芝加哥交易所波動指數VIX過去6個月日線5天均線走勢圖：

看圖說話：在日線圖上，VIX強勢不再。K線圖顯示：VIX上周五實體中陰線下殺，一劍刺穿3條均線支撐。對大盤空頭來說，實乃凶兆。MACD能量柱出現下穿0軸的趨勢。STO在60區間附近即將出現死叉。VIX出現下探11的企圖。

美元過去12個月日線10天均線走勢圖：

看圖說話：2017年始，美元上升頹勢盡顯。在10日均線的壓迫下，美元節節敗退。能否守住$100美元的底線，大有疑問。STO在45區間附近出現死叉。但是，下跌空間有限。估計美元在$99左右會站穩腳跟，開始技術反彈。是否是形成頭肩頂的右肩後下跌還是展現一輪新的技術反轉還有待觀察。

黃金過去12個月日線10天均線走勢圖：

看圖說話：從2016年聖誕節起，黃金開始了新的一輪技術反彈。現在，黃金沿10日均線多頭排列，豪情萬丈。大有上衝$1250-$1275的趨勢。隻要黃金日線穩定在$1230上方，多方自然不會輕易放棄。一旦黃金跌破$1225的技術支撐，大千小散喜愛日衝和波段衝浪者還是應該鎖利退出觀望。K線圖顯示：黃金10日均線和20日均線之間乖離過大，大千小散要當心黃金當日衝高後MM抽樓板回調。MACD能量柱在向0軸回歸。MACD慢速移動平均線（藍線）和快速移動平均線（紅線）在0軸上方5-10區間處可能出現纏繞。STO在區間中段現在是處於可上可下的位置。

石油過去12個月日線10天均線走勢圖：

看圖說話：從日線圖上看，石油將開始一輪新的技術反彈。隻要石油維持在$55以上，石油日線上衝的希望不變。隻是反彈的強度和持續時間有待於受美元的疲軟程度和石油庫存及其他經濟技術指標的影響。K線圖顯示：MACD能量柱在向0軸回升。MACD慢速移動平均線（藍線）和快速移動平均線（紅線）在0軸上方0.25-0.5區間將相互接近。能否形成金叉，必須等待新出現的K線組合才能正確判斷。

結論：
川普政府組閣以及其經濟政策的不確定性將繼續影響未來一周美股大盤的短期走勢。所以，美元仍然暫時疲軟，黃金趁機技術反彈。但是，本周三石油庫存報告將影響石油油價的走勢。無疑，美股大盤走勢將由本周五即將出籠的GDP報告一錘定音。 因此， 美元和黃金的決戰即將展開。。。。。。

"Chief Justice Roberts, President Carter, President Clinton, President Bush, President Obama, fellow Americans and people of the world, thank you.

We, the citizens of America, are now joined in a great national effort to rebuild our country and restore its promise for all of our people. Together we will determine the course of America and the world for many, many years to come. We will face challenges. We will confront hardships, but we will get the job done. Every four years we gather on these steps to carry out the orderly and peaceful transfer of power and we are grateful to President Obama and First Lady Michelle Obama for their gracious aid throughout this transition. They have been magnificent. Thank you.

Today's ceremony, however, has very special meaning because, today, we are not merely transferring power from one administration to another or from one party to another, but we are transferring power from Washington, D.C., and giving it back to you, the people.

For too long, a small group in our nation's capital has reaped the rewards of government while the people have born the cost. Washington flourished, but the people did not share in its wealth. Politicians prospered, but the jobs left and the factories closed. The establishment protected itself, but not the citizens of our country. Their victories have not been your victories. Their triumphs have not been your triumphs and, while they celebrated in our nation's capital, there was little to celebrate for struggling families all across our land.

That all changes starting right here and right now because this moment is your moment. It belongs to you. It belongs to everyone gathered here today and everyone watching all across America. This is your day. This is your celebration, and this, the United States of America, is your country.

What truly matters is not which party controls our government, but whether our government is controlled by the people. January 20th, 2017, will be remembered as the day the people became the rulers of this nation again. The forgotten men and women of our country will be forgotten no longer.

Everyone is listening to you now. You came by the tens of millions to become part of an historic movement, the likes of which the world has never seen before. At the center of this movement is a crucial conviction that a nation exists to serve its citizens. Americans want great schools for their children, safe neighborhoods for their families, and good jobs for themselves. These are just and reasonable demands of righteous people and a righteous public, but for too many of our citizens, a different reality exists.

Mothers and children trapped in poverty in our inner cities, rusted out factories scattered like tombstones across the landscape of our nation, an education system flush with cash, but which leaves our young and beautiful students deprived of all knowledge and the crime and the gangs and the drugs that have stolen too many lives and robbed our country of so much unrealized potential. This American carnage stops right here and stops right now.

We are one nation and their pain is our pain. Their dreams are our dreams and their success will be our success. We share one heart, one home and one glorious destiny. The oath of office I take today is an oath of allegiance to all Americans. For many decades, we've enriched foreign industry at the expense of American industry, subsidized the armies of other countries, while allowing for the very sad depletion of our military.

We've defended other nations' borders, while refusing to defend our own, and spent trillions and trillions of dollars overseas, while America's infrastructure has fallen into disrepair and decay. We've made other countries rich while the wealth, strength and confidence of our country has dissipated over the horizon. One by one, the factories shuttered and left our shores with not even a thought about the millions and millions of American workers that were left behind. The wealth of our middle class has been ripped from their homes and then redistributed all across the world.

But, that is the past and now we are looking only to the future. We assembled here today, are issuing a new decree to be heard in every city, in every foreign capital, and in every hall of power. From this day forward, a new vision will govern our land. From this day forward, it's going to be only America first. America first. Every decision on trade, on taxes, on immigration, on foreign affairs will be made to benefit American workers and American families.

We must protect our borders from the ravages of other countries making our products, stealing our companies and destroying our jobs. Protection will lead to great prosperity and strength. I will fight for you with every breath in my body and I will never, ever let you down.

America will start winning again. Winning like never before. We will bring back our jobs. We will bring back our borders. We will bring back our wealth. And we will bring back our dreams. We will build new roads and highways and bridges and airports and tunnels and railways all across our wonderful nation. We will get our people off of welfare and back to work rebuilding our country with American hands and American labor. We will follow two simple rules: buy American and hire American. We will seek friendship and goodwill with the nations of the world, but we do so with the understanding that it is the right of all nations to put their own interests first.

We do not seek to impose our way of life on anyone, but rather to let it shine as an example. We will shine for everyone to follow. We will reinforce old alliances and form new ones and unite the civilized world against radical Islamic terrorism, which we will eradicate completely from the face of the earth. At the bedrock of our politics will be a total allegiance to the United States of America and, through our loyalty to our country, we will rediscover our loyalty to each other. When you open your heart to patriotism, there is no room for prejudice.

The bible tells us how good and pleasant it is when god's people live together in unity. We must speak our minds openly, debate our disagreements honestly, but always pursue solidarity. When America is united, America is totally unstoppable. There should be no fear. We are protected and we will always be protected. We will be protected by the great men and women of our military and law enforcement and most importantly, we will be protected by God.

Finally, we must think big and dream even bigger. In America, we understand that a nation is only living as long as it is striving. We will no longer accept politicians who are all talk and no action constantly complaining, but never doing anything about it. The time for empty talk is over. Now arrives the hour of action. Do not allow anyone to tell you that it cannot be done. No challenge can match the heart and fight and spirit of America. We will not fail. Our country will thrive and prosper again.

We stand at the birth of a new millennium ready to unlock the histories of space, to free the earth from the miseries of disease and to harness the energies, industries, and technologies of tomorrow. A new national pride will lift our sights and heal our divisions. It's time to remember that old wisdom our soldiers will never forget, that whether we are black or brown or white, we all bleed the same red blood of patriots. We all enjoy the same glorious freedoms, and we all salute the same great American flag.

And whether a child is born in the urban sprawl of Detroit or the windswept plains of Nebraska, they look up at the same night sky. They fill their heart with the same dreams and they are infused with the breath of life by the same almighty creator. So, to all Americans in every city near and far, small and large, from mountain to mountain, from ocean to ocean, hear these words: You will never be ignored again. Your voice, your hopes and your dreams will define our American destiny. And your courage and goodness and love will forever guide us along the way.

Together we will make America strong again. We will make America wealthy again. We will make America proud again. We will make America safe again. And, yes, together, we will make America great again. Thank you. God bless you and god bless America. Thank you. God bless America."

美股大盤綜合信息報導

周末看盤： 問蒼茫大地誰主沉浮？