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股票的運動規律:如何判斷趨勢

(2006-12-09 20:13:16) 下一個

In general stocks go through 4 phases:

1. bullish sideways movement



2. trend up



   During trending up process, there are two pullback characteristics

     a. First degree (pullbacks lasting less than 4 days)

            


     b. Second degree (pullbacks lasting less than 14 days)


           

     c.  Longer than 14 days( a new base is under way)

         

3. bearish sideways movement

   

4. trend down



  


Out job is to identify which stock is in bullish trading range and which is in bearish. Again price and volume are the most factors to do this.

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entry 回複 悄悄話 4 或 14天是經驗值

I have a turing point to decide whether it's a bottom or not

Thanks for your nice words
梁山石燕 回複 悄悄話 請問你的4天和14天是怎麽算出的,或者是經驗值,或者有統計或理論基礎?怎麽判斷你所處的那一天就是回調的底部或者說回調已到位可以再介入?
梁山石燕 回複 悄悄話 謝謝!已加入收藏!
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