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The Week Ahead – Beginning 1st June, 2015 -- 一些思考和展望

(2015-05-31 14:40:58) 下一個

下周的股市麵臨潛在的catalysts 因為6月份開始了。考慮到股市仍接近紀錄高點,並試圖在其間振幅,突破最高點後會不會向上wild ride?

下周:希臘的deadline仍然困擾,以及預定的OPEC會議。

在未來一周: 製造業景氣的數據,汽車銷售和就業增長報告將主宰股市。如果在未來的一周給出的數據是類似近期的住房數量,那麽它會支持這樣的觀點:即美聯儲可能會在九月加息。如果希臘未能製定出協議或未能支付,美元和債券市場會有大波動。

Economic Drivers for the Week Ahead in the Stock Market

有大量的重要經濟數據會影響下一周的股市。第一季度盈餘季節已經結束。周一:ISM manufacturing; 周二:汽車銷量;周五的五月就業報告,這些可能會左右MM以及美聯儲加息預期。

另外海外市場,China PMI數據將在周日,歐洲的通脹數據周二公布在歐洲央行利率會議之後。

Companies Reporting in the Week Ahead in the Stock Market

Monday: NGL Partners, PVH, Humana 

Tuesday: Medtronic, Dollar General, Cracker Barrel 

Wednesday: Vera Bradley, Five Below, Brown Forman 

Thursday: JM Smuckers, Lands End, Joy Global, Ciena, Diamond Foods, Cooper Cos, Verifone 

Friday: N/A 

Stocks to Consider for the Week Ahead in the Stock Market

** Raytheon,一個導彈防禦係統 --- 盈利具有紮實的收益率 - 使得公司rank strong buy

Lockheed Martin at current levels is also inexpensive and the stock could get a boost when the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter is likely to be declared ready for combat by the Marines this summer, and the Air Force is expected to follow up next year. 

Medical device maker Medtronic Plc is likely to beat Wall Street expectations. When the company reports fourth-quarter results on Tuesday, it is expected to have performed strongly in various segments including the surgical solutions business from its recent acquisition - Covidien. 

JM Smucker Co, the maker of Folgers coffee and Jif peanut butter, is likely to report fourth-quarter sales on Thursday, above analysts' average estimate. The company said in February it expects a modest decrease in net sales in the fourth quarter as demand for its coffee products is likely to stay low due to price increases in the United States. But the coffee business is likely to get back on track later this year as bean prices stabilize and the company introduces smaller Folgers coffee cans to win back customers it lost after raising prices. 

Verifone Systems Inc is expected to report second-quarter profit and revenue above the average analyst estimate on Thursday. Verifone expects its European business to get more clients as the industry continues to upgrade to near field communication technology. 

Chinese company Yingli Green Energy Holding Co Ltd reports first-quarter results on Friday. It is expected to report a smaller loss for the eighth straight quarter, helped by strong global demand for solar panels. Yingli, which flagged this month its inability to continue as a "going concern" due to substantial indebtedness, has been hurt by rising expenses as it moved manufacturing globally to bypass trade tariffs.

Conclusion for the Week Ahead in the Stock Market

Many traders expect the negative mood that was set last Friday to continue on Monday。然而,在過去的六個月中,MM在最後交易當月with a loss,但對下一個月的第一天,S&P 500 on the first day of the following month was higher three out of six times.

Historically, according to market data and analysis firm Kensho, all three indexes have turned in negative performances on average for the month of June – with the DOW, for instance, being down eight of the last 10 Junes and it has averaged a 1.6 percent decline. According to Bespoke, the month of June is the second-worst performer for the Dow over the past 20 years. The trend set in May might offset this downside. 

The roller-coaster ride有望在本周繼續,並可能延續在未來的幾個星期,直到下一個財報季節。





(材料來源:網上到處抄)
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