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23-08-2012:高檔私宅市場回顧

(2012-08-23 07:47:37) 下一個

第一太平戴維斯:更多價廉高檔私宅將推出

李敏雯 (2012-08-23)

 第一太平戴維斯(Savills)最新研究報告指出,經曆了10%至30%的調整後,新加坡豪宅市場似乎已經見底,但隨著更多新私宅項目完工,未來高檔私宅市場還有大量價廉物美的房產可尋。

  昨天出爐的研究報告說,投資者過去數個月就進場掃貨,發展商也全力出擊,今年至今已經推出八個主要豪宅項目,認購率相對穩健。

  報告指出,自政府在去年12月推出額外買方印花稅(簡稱ABSD)之後,新加坡高檔私宅的銷售一度下跌至三年來的低點,在今年第一季度僅為453個單位。不過隨著高檔私宅與中檔和大眾化私宅價格的收窄,高檔私宅的買氣重現。

  今年次季,各個新高檔私宅領域都出現回彈。新私宅銷售環比上揚了246%,今年第二季達到235個單位,未完工的樓花銷售也增加到94個,環比漲幅達34%。

今年7月份,新高檔私宅領域創下2011年4月以來的最佳銷量,主要由V on Shenton帶動。(檔案照片)

  即使是轉售高檔私宅,今年第二季度也表現優異,在屋主叫價變得更實際之後,轉售私宅成交量上揚了86%,為585個單位。事實上,轉售私宅在高檔私宅領域的比重也較過去兩年顯著提高,從2010年的39%,上揚到去年的50%,而今年上半年更達到66%。

  另一方麵,市場對於超級豪華私宅的胃口也出現改善。第一太平戴維斯研究與谘詢部副董事張敏璋說,平均每平方英尺價格超過3000元的私宅需求,從去年第三季的11個單位,上揚到今年第二季的31個。

  其中6月份的兩宗交易來自詩閣廣場(Scotts Square),分別以每平方英尺4566元和4803元成交。另外一個位於卓錦豪庭(Orchard Residences)52樓、1808平方英尺的單位以每平方英尺4399元成交,Boulevard Vue也有兩個單位分別以每平方英尺4326元和3934元賣出。

  張敏璋指出,一些新登場的項目如安哥烈園(Angullia Park)21號,在過去三個月吸引到五宗交易,尺價介於每平方英尺3950元至4338元。

高檔項目“1919”推出首個月幾乎售罄

  發展商見市場情緒好轉,也讓手上的高檔私宅新項目陸續登場。從今年初開始,就有八個主要高檔私宅項目登場,總共為市場注入1200個新單位。

  其中最大的項目要屬擁有510個單位、位於中央商業區的V on Shenton,其他登場的項目還有擁有180個單位的26 Newton、132個單位的EON Shenton等。

  報告指出,這些項目的認購率穩健,比如75個單位的高檔項目“1919”在推出的首個月就幾乎售罄,而EON Shenton則在首推兩個月內獲得了73%的認購率。這可能是因為每平方英尺1400元至2800元的價格較吸引人。

  此外已登場的高檔私宅也展開更積極的行銷活動。這包括36個單位的Newton Imperial、34個單位的富怡首府(Ferrell Residences)、102個單位的Paterson Suites等。

  這些項目的價格也格外吸引人。比如Paterson Suites有19個單位今年是以平均每平方英尺2619元買下的,這相等於在去年價格上的10%折扣,當時價位每平方英尺2915元,也比2007年高峰期下跌了15%。

黃金地段未售出單位達1萬2855個

  另外烏節景園(Orchard View)也有12個單位是以平均每平方英尺2604元成交,這要比2010年高峰期的價位低了21%。

  瑞吉居(St Regis Residences)今年上半年的表現最差,成交價格從高峰期已經跌了28%,平均為每平方英尺2228元。

  張敏璋說,過去一年,已經有約4000個新高檔私宅單位竣工,這相等於高檔非有地私宅供應總量的7%。其中16%或約600個私宅單位未被售出。這意味著黃金地段的未售出單位達到1萬2855個,其中731個是已竣工單位,而1萬2124個屬於未完工單位,但有半數屬於可以被推出市場的單位。

  報告指出,非有地高檔私宅的價格已經在今年第一季環比下滑5%至每平方英尺2374元,並在第二季再滑落至每平方英尺2230元。

未來數月 價格仍可能下調

  展望未來,張敏璋認為,由於目前未售出高檔私宅數目居多以及額外買方印花稅的影響,未來數個月的價格仍然可能出現下調,這可能令高檔私宅市場的買氣持續。

  張敏璋也指出,由於發展商必須在完工後的兩年期限內清完所有的剩餘單位,否則每延長一年,將麵對相等於地價8%、16%和24%的罰款額(根據未售出單位按比例繳交延長款項),所以當這些高檔項目接近兩年銷售期限,一些沒有持守能力的發展商將給予更高的折扣以清貨,到時趁低吸購的投資者更會傾巢而出。

  至於有持守能力的發展商可能選擇延長銷售期限,或支付10%的額外買方印花稅,將剩餘單位注入投資公司以出租,並等待價格出現回彈。

《聯合早報》

Luxury-home prices may have peaked

By Reico Wong, Thursday, Aug 23, 2012my paper

SINGAPORE - The high-end property market in Singapore may have reached a peak, with prices of luxury homes - in districts one, two, four, nine, 10 and 11, and priced around $2,000 per sq ft - down by about 5 per cent since the start of the year, due to the euro- zone debt crisis and a surge in home completions here.

Real-estate firm Savills Singapore said current luxury-home prices have also fallen between 10 and 30 per cent from their peak during the 2007 property boom.

Savills said yesterday that bargain hunters hoping to snag a good buy may find some ripe pickings, with property launches back in full swing after a lull last year and the increased number of unsold units likely to exert downward pressure on prices.

Click here to find out more!
Mr Alan Chong, head of research at Savills, told my paper: "With supply chasing demand, property prices for luxury homes could see a drop of another 5 per cent within the next six months, although developers of new project launches will have more pricing power compared to those of...units already launched, or existing ones in the market which are being flipped."

Eight major projects, yielding about 1,200 new units, have been launched since the start of the year.

These include the 510-unit luxury apart- ment V on Shenton, located in the Central Business District; the 180-unit freehold high-rise 26 Newton; and the 132-unit mixed development Eon Shenton.

While the take-up rate for some of these projects was relatively healthy, the increase in supply - amid a market already hit by lacklustre demand - means increased competition among newly completed luxury developments, many of which still have a sizeable amount of units unsold, according to Savills.

The total number of unsold luxury homes in prime districts stands at about 12,855 units. Of this, 12,124 units have yet to be completed, but half of them are ready to be launched. At least another seven major projects are slated to be launched in the next six months.

One factor that buyers should bear in mind is the two-year post-completion deadline for developments: Developers would have to pay an additional charge - a percentage of their land price - if they were to extend their sale period beyond those two years, pro-rated according to the number of units they are left with.

This could motivate developers, especially those with shallow pockets, to mark down prices of the remaining units.

"Together with a looming pipeline supply of 19,056 units to be completed in the next few years, any price cuts could trigger a resumption in demand, possibly resulting in sales hitting 1,000 units per quarter until the end of the year," said Savills.

reicow@sph.com.sg


Get my paper for more stories.

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