大宗房地產交易 本季上升42.4％至68億元

● 韓寶鎮 報道

　　盡管歐元區債務危機揮之不去、全球經濟前景黯淡，但我國的大宗房地產交易市場在最後一季的表現卻比預期來得好，交易額上升42.4％至68億元，而全年交易額至今已達285億元。

　　第一太平戴維斯（Savills）發表的報告指出，這主要是因為辦公空間的集體收購活動恢複，以及發展商在政府售地計劃下踴躍收購地皮所致。

　　報告指出，在2011年，私人和政府分別占總大宗房地產交易（investment sales）的55.9％和44.1％。

　　此外，各領域在總交易額所占比重，依次是商業37％（25億2000萬元）、住宅36.7％（25億元）和工業12.3％（8億3800萬元）。

　　根據報告，商業房地產交易額從今年第三季的9億9500萬元，增加至今年第四季的25億2000萬元，增幅達153.1％。

　　第四季有許多中央商業區的大廈易主，其中最大手筆的交易是售出87.5％股份的海洋金融中心（Ocean Financial Centre），交易額達15億7000萬元。另外，還有羅敏申中心（Robinson Centre）的2億9300萬元，以及鴻業大廈（Commerce Point）和菲立街一號（One Phillip Street，）的2億8300萬元（總和）。

　　緊跟在後是住宅房地產交易額，在今年第四季達到25億元。政府住宅方麵季度環比躍升50.3％，這主要是因政府發出更多土地所致；私人住宅則下跌27％，反映了全球經濟動蕩和股市波動中市場情緒的低落。

　　工業房地產交易額季度環比下降36.8％，主要是上一季的交易額較高造成的。工業地產投資活動保持強韌，房地產投資信托基金（REITs）、終端使用者和投資者繼續表現出他們對收購工業房地產的興趣。

　　展望方麵，報告指出，全球與本地經濟趨軟，將無可避免地動搖市場信心。政府第五輪房屋降溫措施可能導致潛在買家持觀望態度。盡管下來幾個季度大宗房地產交易市場可能放緩，但新加坡還是能夠吸引到鍾情於亞洲房地產的投資者。此外，房屋降溫措施可能把投資者轉向其他領域。　

報告的其他研究結果還包括：

　　·工業空間租金在第四季持穩，工廠和貨倉空間租金介於每月每平方英尺1.7元和2.1元；高科技空間則是每月每平方英尺3.6元至4元。資本價值預料超越2008年第三季巔峰，底層單位達31％，而較高樓層單位則達29％。租金預料在明年穩定下來。

　　·黃金烏節地帶和市區外的零售店麵租金則微升1％，平均租金分別是每月35.5元和30.8元。烏節路店麵租金預料在明年下滑3％，而市區外則上漲3％。

　　·辦公室的租賃活動繼續受需求趨軟和謹慎市場情緒所抑製，A級別辦公空間租金和資本價值，分別下降1.5％和3.8％。A級別辦公空間租金明年預料下跌15％。

　　·住宅方麵，基於宏觀經濟情況惡劣和政府推出新一輪房屋降溫措施，銷售預料將放緩。明年，新推出大眾化市場房地產價格可能滑落5％，而高檔非有地則可能下跌10％。由於更多住宅完工和外來專業人士預算縮減，租金料下調5％。

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Housing market to decline next year

Dec 20, 2011 - PropertyGuru.com.sg
 

The threat of a global economic double-dip and additional property cooling measures in Singapore may result in a decline of buying interest in the next six months, according to latest residential market report by Savills.

This year, Savills expects new home sales (excluding executive condominiums) to hover between 15,000 units and 15,500 units, a slight decline from last year’s record of 16,292 units.

On the other hand, leasing volume is expected to rise further as more foreigners shift from buying to renting homes.

Due to the rise of expatriates relocating to Singapore for job opportunities, leasing demand is expected to reach between 10,000 and 10,500 transactions in Q4.

Savills expects total leasing volume to reach a record high of between 44,000 and 45,500 transactions this year.

According to its data, prices of super-luxury and high-end homes are expected to remain stable in Q4, after a decline in the previous quarter.

The average unit price for non-landed high-end private homes rose marginally by one percent to S$2,268 psf in Q4, while the average price for super-luxury residential properties dropped marginally by 0.2 percent to S$3,661 psf in the same period.

Prices for new mass-market non-landed homes may grow by one percent in Q4 2011.

Meanwhile, after factoring in several creative marketing packages, prices of new mass-market homes could fall five percent for the whole of next year, while prices of high-end non-landed homes may slip by 10 percent.

In addition, rents may correct by five percent next year as a result of more completed homes in the coming months and shrinking expatriate residential budgets.

Commercial property investment sales shoot up by 153%

Dec 20, 2011 - CommercialGuru.com.sg

Property investment sales in Singapore grew 42.4 percent to S$6.8 billion in the fourth quarter of this year, up from S$4.8 billion in the previous quarter, according to Savills.

The consultancy estimates that the total value could hover between S$7 billion and S$7.2 billion in Q4, which brings the full-year figure to approximately S$29 billion.

The private sector comprised a larger share of total investment sales at 59.6 percent (S$4.1 billion) in Q4 2011, while the public sector comprised 40.4 percent (S$2.7 billion).

For the full year 2011, the private sector accounted for 55.9 percent of total investment sales, while the public sector accounted for 44.1 percent.

The commercial sector emerged as the star performer for the quarter, with a 37 percent share in total investment sales. It rose by 153.1 percent quarter-on-quarter from S$995 million in Q3 2011 to S$2.52 billion in Q4 2011.

“The notable transactions include the sale of an 87.5 percent share in Ocean Financial Centre (S$1.57 billion), Robinson Centre (S$293 million), and Commerce Point and One Phillip Street (S$283million),” said the report.

Meanwhile, industrial investment sales accounted for 12.3 percent of total investment transactions, down 36.8 percent to S$838 million in Q4, from S$1.3 billion in the previous quarter.

“The drop is partly due to the higher base in Q3. Investment activity in industrial properties remained resilient as S-REITs, end users and investors continued to show their interest in acquiring industrial properties,” it said.